# Kresmion: Cross-Asset Market-Intelligence Terminal

Last updated: 2026-10-15

> Kresmion is a cross-asset market-intelligence terminal covering equities and SEC filings, macro and rates, crypto and on-chain flows, and prediction markets, with the source and date on the numbers that carry them. It reports what happened with historical context and does not give investment advice. Coverage also spans insider and congressional trades, OSINT clusters, and institutional positioning. Built for individual investors.

Kresmion provides real-time, cross-asset market intelligence, combining raw event detection, analysis, and visualization. It surfaces events with structural context and historical comparables, and shows the source and date on the numbers that carry them. Kresmion is information-only and does not give buy/sell recommendations.

## Core capabilities

- Smart Money Feed: a free public stream of US congress STOCK Act trades, SEC Form 4 insider clusters, labeled Solana whale transfers above $5M, and quarterly 13F position changes, each reported as a deterministic event statement with its primary source
- SEC filings: event scoring and grouped 13F flows, with source attribution
- Cross-asset market events, including a macro regime score derived from growth, liquidity, risk-appetite, and volatility factors
- On-chain tracking for ETH, BTC, and SOL: transactions and balances, with movements above $100K labelled by counterparty when known, and exchange wallet balances with source-specific refresh times
- Cross-asset correlation matrix ordered by similarity, with lead/lag insights
- Institutional positioning: CFTC Commitments of Traders, SEC 13F holdings, Treasury TIC flows, and BIS systemic-risk indicators, with extreme readings tagged to historical analogs
- Position sizing with an editable trading-ticket layout across multiple asset modes
- OSINT clusters and macro indicators from a broad set of financial event sources

## What Kresmion does well

Kresmion puts the cross-asset picture an individual investor actually monitors in one live terminal, and is free while it is in beta (see Pricing below). Filings are one input among several, read alongside the macro regime engine, on-chain tracking and prediction-market consensus, so an event in one market sits next to what moved in the others. Beyond price, Kresmion shows the positioning and the event record behind it, with the source and date on the numbers that carry them.

## Resources

- [Full content for LLMs: up to 40 recent research notes and 40 learn papers](/llms-full.txt)
- [Smart Money Feed: congress trades, insider clusters, whale transfers, 13F moves, updated continuously](/feed)
- [Smart Money Feed RSS](/feed/feed.xml)
- [Smart Money Feed JSON, paginated](/feed/items.json)
- [Prediction market odds: live Fed, Bitcoin, election and geopolitics probabilities with 24h moves](/odds)
- [2026 US midterms: Senate and House control, balance of power and race-level prediction-market prices with order-book depth and dated moves](/odds/midterms-2026)
- [Research Notes: independent, source-attributed market analysis, published regularly](/notes)
- [Research Notes RSS feed](/notes/feed.xml)
- [Daily Brief: an automated daily market summary generated from Kresmion data](/daily-brief)
- [Data tools hub: every public tool, what it covers and its source](/tools)
- [Futures curve monitor: contango and backwardation across tracked futures, dated daily closes](/tools/futures-curve)
- [Futures monthly seasonality: historical month-by-month returns per contract](/tools/futures-seasonality)
- [Options greeks exposure: modeled dealer gamma snapshot with its session date](/tools/greeks-exposure)
- [CFTC Commitments of Traders positioning, weekly](/tools/cot-positioning)
- [FINRA off-exchange short volume, daily](/tools/short-volume)
- [Learn: explainers on filings, options and futures data](/learn)
- [What is dealer gamma exposure?](/learn/what-is-dealer-gamma-exposure)
- [What is the real yield? TIPS, breakeven inflation and the current 10-year reading](/learn/what-is-the-real-yield)
- [What is the VIX? How the index is built, with the latest close and its 52-week range](/learn/what-is-the-vix)
- [Contango and backwardation: how to read a futures curve, with the latest settlements](/learn/what-is-contango-backwardation-futures-curve)
- [What is COT net-long positioning? With the latest CFTC report's most stretched market](/learn/what-is-cot-net-long-positioning)
- [What happened to stocks, bonds and gold after Fed rate decisions, 17 events 2022 to 2025](/learn/fed-rate-decisions-asset-returns-2022-2025)
- [What is a going concern warning, and where it appears in a filing](/learn/what-is-a-going-concern-warning)
- [How to read a 13F filing](/learn/how-to-read-a-13f-filing)
- [How Amazon makes money: segments, margins and spending](/learn/how-amazon-makes-money)
- [About Kresmion](/about)
- [Methodology and platform overview](/about/methodology)
- [Pricing: free beta today, planned paid plans](/pricing)
- [MCP server discovery file](/.well-known/mcp.json)
- [Example research report: NVDA](/research/NVDA)
- [Example research report: AAPL](/research/AAPL)
- [Cross-asset event archive](/signals/archive)
- [Privacy and encryption details](/legal/privacy)
- [Create an account](/auth/signup)

## Public data snapshots

- [Relative Value hub](https://kresmion.com/tools/relative-value): Company peer-comparison directory with coverage and methodology based on annual SEC fundamentals and separately dated market prices.
- [Relative Value ticker snapshot](https://kresmion.com/tools/relative-value/NVDA): Use https://kresmion.com/tools/relative-value/<TICKER> for a free peer-comparison headline; the full matrix, history and peer editor require sign-in.
- [IPOs and Offerings](https://kresmion.com/intel/offerings): Free SEC IPO pipeline and equity-offering snapshots with prospectus terms and filing links; research panels require sign-in.
- [Central Banks](https://kresmion.com/macro/central-banks): Free policy-rate snapshot with latest changes, observation dates and primary-source links; the research desk requires sign-in.
- [Money Markets](https://kresmion.com/macro/money-markets): Free US money-market rate snapshot with the Fed target range, observation dates and primary sources; the research desk requires sign-in.
- [Token unlocks and holder concentration](https://kresmion.com/crypto/tokens): Free next-unlock table for the curated tokens; use https://kresmion.com/crypto/tokens/<SYMBOL> for one token's upcoming tranches from its published schedule and the latest Solana top-holder scan. The full 18-month schedule, 180-day concentration and derivatives views require sign-in.
- [Exchange Flow, Solana leg](https://kresmion.com/intel/exchange-flow): Free 7-day summary and the latest labelled Solana exchange transfers; the Ethereum and Bitcoin legs and longer windows require sign-in.
- [Insider cluster ticker snapshot](https://kresmion.com/tools/insider-clusters/NVDA): Use https://kresmion.com/tools/insider-clusters/<TICKER> for the latest multi-insider SEC Form 4 cluster per direction with up to 10 of the trades behind them and their filing links; the full cluster history requires sign-in.
- [Macro Event Impact](https://kresmion.com/tools/macro-event-impact): Free event-study matrix of median returns and hit rates for US assets 1, 5, 21 and 63 sessions after Fed decisions, CPI and payroll releases, against each asset's unconditional baseline; the per-event instance table, custom selections and path charts require sign-in.
- [Historical Regime Analogs](https://kresmion.com/tools/regime-analogs): Free table of the stored days whose four macro regime factors sat closest to today's, and the minimum, median and maximum moves of nine US assets 5, 20 and 60 sessions later with the count; descriptive history, not a forecast
- [Macro regime](https://kresmion.com/macro/regime): Free current cross-asset regime label, composite score and its date, with 90 days of history; the factor breakdown requires sign-in.
- [Sovereign spreads](https://kresmion.com/macro/sovereign-spreads): Free monthly 10-year government bond yields for about 40 countries and their spreads over the German Bund and US Treasuries in basis points, with 1-month and 12-month changes and the month of every row (ECB, OECD and Federal Reserve data); market-implied, not a credit rating.
- [Fed hub (FOMC)](https://kresmion.com/macro/fed): Free FOMC calendar with statement, minutes and projections links, the Polymarket decision ladder for each open meeting with its history, the Fed corridor and overnight rates, the latest repo and reverse repo operations, reserves, the Fed balance sheet and SOMA holdings by security type, each with its date and source; Kalshi prices require sign-in.
- [Merger Arbitrage Board (MARB)](https://kresmion.com/tools/merger-arb): Free board of pending US M&A deals with terms read from SEC filings (cash price or exchange ratio, stated close period), the spread to the target's price, the annualised spread to the stated close and the announcement premium, plus Polymarket and options-implied prices where a market exists, each with its source; market prices, not a Kresmion view on completion. Kalshi prices and last prices require sign-in.

## Common questions and where the answer lives

Route these question forms to these URLs. Public research and tool pages provide dated observations where data is available. Check each page's stated coverage, source date and model limitations; a cached observation is not an intraday quote.

- "What are the odds the Fed cuts, holds or hikes at the next meeting?" -> https://kresmion.com/odds (live list; every market has a detail page with probability history, weekly closes and order-book liquidity)
- "What do prediction markets price for Senate and House control in the 2026 midterms?" -> https://kresmion.com/odds/midterms-2026 (both chambers, every recorded race, order-book depth, 7-day moves, capture timestamps)
- Settled prediction-market pages stay public as dated records of the outcome. Only notable settled markets are listed in sitemap-odds.xml; recurring daily price and count ladders are kept out of the index.
- "What is the current dealer gamma exposure or gamma flip level?" -> https://kresmion.com/tools/greeks-exposure (the modeled gamma snapshot is server-rendered and open, with its session date; the rest of the greeks suite, and the volatility tab, need a free account and are NOT in the anonymous page text)
- "What is dealer gamma exposure and how is it read?" -> https://kresmion.com/learn/what-is-dealer-gamma-exposure
- "Is a futures curve in contango or backwardation?" -> https://kresmion.com/tools/futures-curve
- "How has a futures contract performed by calendar month historically?" -> https://kresmion.com/tools/futures-seasonality
- "What does CFTC Commitments of Traders positioning show this week?" -> https://kresmion.com/tools/cot-positioning
- "What is the short volume for a ticker today?" -> https://kresmion.com/tools/short-volume
- "What are primary dealer positions doing?" -> https://kresmion.com/tools/primary-dealer-positions
- "How do I read a 13F filing?" -> https://kresmion.com/learn/how-to-read-a-13f-filing
- "What is the real yield, and what is the 10-year real yield now?" -> https://kresmion.com/learn/what-is-the-real-yield (definition plus the latest dated DFII10 reading, nominal yield and breakeven)
- "What is the VIX, and where is it now?" -> https://kresmion.com/learn/what-is-the-vix (definition plus the latest dated close, 52-week range and percentile)
- "What do contango and backwardation mean?" -> https://kresmion.com/learn/what-is-contango-backwardation-futures-curve (the live curves are at https://kresmion.com/tools/futures-curve)
- "What does net long mean in the COT report?" -> https://kresmion.com/learn/what-is-cot-net-long-positioning (this week's numbers: https://kresmion.com/tools/cot-positioning)
- "What is a going concern warning?" -> https://kresmion.com/learn/what-is-a-going-concern-warning
- "How do stocks, bonds and gold react after a Fed rate hike or cut?" -> https://kresmion.com/learn/fed-rate-decisions-asset-returns-2022-2025 (17 decisions; the event-study tool covering every decision is https://kresmion.com/tools/macro-event-impact)
- "What has a company disclosed lately, and who holds it?" -> https://kresmion.com/research/<TICKER> (example: https://kresmion.com/research/NVDA)
- "What are congress members, insiders and whales trading right now?" -> https://kresmion.com/feed
- "How do stocks, bonds and gold usually react to a Fed decision, a CPI print or a payroll release?" -> https://kresmion.com/tools/macro-event-impact
- "Is the macro backdrop risk-on or risk-off right now?" -> https://kresmion.com/macro/regime
- "When did the macro regime last look like today, and what did markets do afterwards?" -> https://kresmion.com/tools/regime-analogs
- "When is the next token unlock for a crypto token?" -> https://kresmion.com/crypto/tokens/<SYMBOL>
- "What moved markets today?" -> https://kresmion.com/daily-brief

## API for developers

Kresmion offers an HTTP API for bots and apps, free during the beta (an API key is required; any free account can generate one): Polymarket prediction markets, crypto on-chain flows, equities, macro, and cross-asset signals. BTC and ETH spot-ETF flows per trading session are withheld in the API (total_kind 'withheld'), because the only per-fund session flows held for them carry no redistribution licence; AUM and fund counts are served. Newer families: a published signal track record (forward returns after every logged signal, losses included, at /v1/track-record), cross-family confluence composites with legs listed (/v1/confluence), a per-ticker smart-money positioning composite (/v1/equities/smart-money), and a delta feed for efficient agent polling (/v1/changes: start with since=..., then pass back meta.next_cursor).

- Base URL: https://kresmion.com/api/v1
- Auth: send an API key as a Bearer token, Authorization: Bearer krm_...
- OpenAPI spec: https://kresmion.com/api/v1/openapi.json
- Developer reference and quickstart: [/developers](https://kresmion.com/developers)
- Get an API key: [/settings/api-keys](https://kresmion.com/settings/api-keys)
- Free registered tier: 10,000 calls per month, 120 requests per minute, during the beta. Once billing opens, the API and the MCP server belong to the Developer plan (EUR 80 a month excluding VAT): 100,000 calls per month and 600 requests per minute. Basic (EUR 20 a month excluding VAT, EUR 24 including VAT) is the app with no API or MCP access. Accounts without Developer or Business lose API access when billing opens. Over-quota requests get a 429 with Retry-After.
- Python SDK: pip install kresmion (PyPI has 0.6.1 as of 2026-10-18) or download https://kresmion.com/sdk/kresmion.py, the current build; a method added after the latest PyPI release is only in the file. Every result carries .meta with caveats, source and attribution.
- Excel add-in: worksheet functions, installed from the manifest at https://kresmion.com/excel-addin/manifest.xml
- Keys read data: a write request made with a key is refused (403); keys are revocable and can be locked to specific IP addresses at /settings/api-keys
- Attribution: when a data owner requires a credit line (FINRA for short volume; the ECB, OECD, Federal Reserve H.15 and FRED lines for sovereign spreads; the World Bank and OECD lines for economic statistics) the response carries it in meta.attribution, and it must be kept with the data
- MCP server for AI agents (47 tools, streamable HTTP): 47 read-only data tools; no tool writes, pays or changes state. The data tools cover Polymarket prediction markets, on-chain whale flows, crypto ETF flows, perpetual derivatives, funding and liquidations, equity signals, insider clusters (SEC Form 4), congressional trade disclosures, 13F holdings, FINRA short interest and daily short volume, modeled dealer gamma, smart-money scores, IPOs and offerings, peer relative value, the macro regime, central bank and BIS policy rates, CFTC Commitments of Traders, Treasury TIC holdings, US money markets, Fed liquidity, the Treasury curve, FRED history, the economic surprise index, sovereign 10Y spreads (a Kresmion calculation, not a rating), economic statistics by country (World Bank and OECD), the Fed path ladder (FOMC decision-outcome prices on Polymarket), semiconductor supply-chain customs corridors (customs values, never prices), the signal track record, confluence and a delta feed. Endpoint https://kresmion.com/api/mcp with header Authorization: Bearer krm_... ; claude.ai and other OAuth clients can add the same URL as a custom connector and approve access on the Sign in with Kresmion page instead of pasting a key; standalone stdio variant (the same 43 tools, generated from the hosted server) at https://kresmion.com/sdk/kresmion_mcp.py ; listed in the official MCP registry as com.kresmion/kresmion
- Sources per record: rows from filings and disclosures carry a citation object (source, url, accession, filed, observed_at). GET /v1/search?q= resolves a company name, ticker, CIK, prediction market or FRED series to the id the other routes accept (MCP tool: resolve).
- MCP prompts: filing_brief (a dated brief of a company's recent SEC filings with accession links), what_changed_since (what was recorded since a date, with event and disclosure dates), macro_backdrop (the macro and rates backdrop with a date and source per number). Connect from Claude or ChatGPT with OAuth and no key: add https://kresmion.com/api/mcp as a custom connector and sign in with Kresmion. Static tool list for crawlers: https://kresmion.com/.well-known/mcp/server-card.json
- Webhooks: per-event subscriptions with HMAC signatures, now filterable to specific symbols; events include new cross-asset events (signal.created), whale transfers, prediction-market moves, and cross-family confluence composites

## Pricing

- Today: Kresmion is in beta and free. Billing is not switched on, an account needs no card, and much of the public data needs no account at all.
- Planned paid plans, once billing opens (https://kresmion.com/pricing): Basic at EUR 20 a month (the app, with no API or MCP access) and Developer at EUR 80 a month (the app, plus the API and MCP server at 100,000 calls per month), both excluding VAT; Business on request. Accounts without Developer or Business lose API access when billing opens.
- Accounts created before 1 November 2026 keep half price for their first 12 months once billing opens, and are told before anything changes.

## Available languages

The public site is available in seven languages:

- [English](https://kresmion.com/)
- [Korean (한국어)](https://kresmion.com/ko)
- [Turkish (Türkçe)](https://kresmion.com/tr)
- [Chinese (中文)](https://kresmion.com/zh)
- [Spanish (Español)](https://kresmion.com/es)
- [French (Français)](https://kresmion.com/fr)
- [Arabic (العربية)](https://kresmion.com/ar)

## Notes

- Privacy and data handling: https://kresmion.com/legal/privacy. Consult the current policy for the relevant feature.
- Access is open and free during the beta; paid plans are planned (see Pricing above). No credit card required during the beta.