Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 15?

Part of: Bitcoin above ___ on July 15?. Crowd probability estimates from prediction markets, not financial advice.

Yes probability

84%

24h change

+69.0pp

Volume

$136K

Resolves by

Jul 15, 2026

Probability history

Gridlines at 25, 50 and 75 percent. History covers the recorded price path of the YES outcome.

Other outcomes in this event

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 15?99%Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 15?13%

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Source: Polymarket via the public gamma API, synced by Kresmion. Last updated 2026-07-15 00:23 UTC. Trade on the venue itself: this page is research context, not an order book. Percentages are YES prices and can move fast.