Daily Brief
Daily Brief
An automated daily market summary generated from Kresmion's own data: the signals that fired, the macro and positioning backdrop, and notable on-chain flows. It is written by software from the day's data and published after automated checks. Information-only, Kresmion makes no buy or sell recommendations. For long-form analysis, read the Research Notes.
- October 14, 2026Volatility Leads Market While Risk Appetite Holds Modest
- October 13, 2026Risk-on Sentiment Rises on Volatility, Bitcoin Fell Modestly
- October 12, 2026Risk-On Macro Persists as Bitcoin Changes 1.08% Amid Large OKX Inflow
- October 11, 2026Liquidity Risk Appetite Faces 5.22% Treasury Yield, High Debt Service Ratios
- October 10, 2026High conviction assessment firmed amid risk-on macro signals and elevated debt-service ratios
- October 8, 2026Risk-On Macro Model, Elevated Debt Ratios, Large ETH Inflows
- October 7, 2026Neutral Macro Regime Amid Elevated Debt-Service Ratios and Whale Transfers
- October 5, 2026Kresmion US Macro Score Rises Slightly; Strong Risk-Off Remains
- October 4, 2026Strong Risk-Off Regime Persists Amid Mixed Growth and Liquidity Signals
- October 3, 2026Risk-Off Regime Persists Amid Liquidity Strain and Elevated Debt Ratios
- October 2, 2026Risk-Off Environment Persists Ahead of US Payroll Report
- October 1, 2026Strong Risk-Off Regime Persists Amid Tight Liquidity and 5.26% Treasury Yield
- September 30, 2026Risk-Off Environment Prevails with Positive Growth Indicator
- September 28, 2026US 10-Year Yield 5.18% as High-Yield Spread Stands 293bps
- September 27, 2026Risk-Off Conditions, Negative Regime Score, 10-Year Yield 5.18%
- September 26, 2026BIS Flags Elevated Systemic Risk in Four Nations Amid Risk-Off Regime
- September 25, 2026Dow posts three-session decline as yields reach 20-year high, oil rises
- September 24, 2026Risk-On Regime Holds; $282M ETH Transfer to Coinbase
- September 23, 2026Risk-On Stance Highlights High Appetite, Volatility, and Debt Ratios
- September 22, 2026Macro Regime Shifts to Neutral Amid Elevated BIS Debt Ratios
- September 20, 2026Neutral Macro Outlook Amid Mixed Risk, Liquidity and Yield Signals
- September 19, 2026Mixed Asset Activity Amid Neutral Macro Regime and Bitcoin Outflows
- September 17, 2026Risk-Off macro regime persists amid modest score improvement and elevated debt-service ratios
- September 15, 2026FOMC Sets Rate at 4.0%, 1,316 BTC Transfer, Risk-Off Regime
- September 13, 2026Risk-Off Regime Persists as Canada Inflation Looms, Yields Steady
- September 11, 2026Whale Inflows to Coinbase as Regime Score Remains Negative
- September 10, 2026Risk Appetite Deeply Negative; Treasury 10-Year Yield at 4.8%
- September 9, 2026Jordan Intercepts Iranian Missiles, Risk-Off Regime Continues
- September 8, 2026Risk-Off Macro Regime Persists Amid Energy Disruptions and Stablecoin Inflows
- September 7, 2026Risk-Off Regime Amid Russian Refinery Fire and Iranian Tanker Sinking
- September 6, 2026Macro Regime Score Edges Up, Risk-Off Label Maintained
- September 5, 2026Market Sentiment Turns Slightly More Negative Amid Weak Growth
- September 3, 2026Macro Regime Shifts to Risk-Off Ahead of ISM Services PMI
- September 2, 2026Risk-Off Environment Persists as Growth, Liquidity, Volatility Decline
- September 1, 2026Neutral Macro Regime Amid EU Inflation Flash, US Data, Binance BTC Shift
- August 31, 2026Risk Appetite Positive, Growth Negative; Treasury Yield Curve 47 bps
- August 29, 2026Neutral Macro Regime Amid Elevated Systemic Risks and Ethereum Whale Flows
- August 28, 2026Macro Regime Score Rises, Risk-On Label Maintained
- August 27, 2026Macro Regime Slightly Higher, Remains Neutral Amid Yield Spread
- August 26, 2026Neutral Macro Regime, Mixed Growth Signals, Positive Yield Curve
- August 25, 2026Neutral macro outlook, modest growth drag, elevated systemic risk
- August 24, 2026Macro Score Drops Slightly, Neutral; Whales Move BTC, ETH from Binance
- August 23, 2026Macro Regime Score Slightly Lower, Neutral Stance Maintained
- August 22, 2026Neutral Macro Regime Shifts Center Amid $1.3B Binance Outflows
- August 21, 2026Macro Regime Classified Neutral as Volatility and Growth Weigh
- August 20, 2026Macro Regime Neutral as Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana Post Gains
- August 19, 2026Macro Regime Score Holds Neutral as Volatility and Liquidity Weigh
- August 18, 2026Neutral macro regime amid mixed growth, liquidity, and risk signals
- August 17, 2026Risk-On macro regime with elevated BIS systemic risk in multiple countries
- August 16, 2026Neutral Macro Regime Amid Easing Inflation and New Geopolitical Risks
- August 15, 2026Macro Regime Scores Neutral as Risk Appetite Offsets Liquidity
- August 14, 2026Risk-On Regime Dominated by Growth, Liquidity Loose, Five Firms Flagged
- August 12, 2026Markets Hold Neutral Stance Ahead of U.S. CPI Release
- August 11, 2026Liquidity Dominates Macro Regime Amid Geopolitical Energy Risks
- August 10, 2026Macro Regime Score Rises to +0.124 Amid Neutral Outlook
- August 9, 2026Neutral Macro Regime Balances Growth, Liquidity with Risk, Volatility
- August 7, 2026Macro Regime Score Drops, Remains Neutral Amid Payroll Focus
- August 4, 2026Macro Regime Remains Neutral Amid Strong Growth, Negative Risk Appetite
- August 3, 2026Macro Regime Holds Neutral Stance Amid Mixed Growth and Risk Signals
- August 1, 2026Macro Regime Index Slightly Higher; Growth Positive, Risk Appetite Negative