Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Part of: Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?. Crowd probability estimates from prediction markets, not financial advice.

Yes probability

37%

24h change

-2.0pp

7d change

-9.5pp

Volume

$1.7M

Resolves by

Jan 1, 2027

Probability history

Gridlines at 25, 50 and 75 percent. History covers the recorded price path of the YES outcome.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (H.R.3633) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.

Source: Polymarket via the public gamma API, synced by Kresmion. Last updated 2026-07-15 00:23 UTC. Trade on the venue itself: this page is research context, not an order book. Percentages are YES prices and can move fast.