France to win the second half?
Part of: France vs. Spain - Second Half Result. Crowd probability estimates from prediction markets, not financial advice.
Probability history
Gridlines at 25, 50 and 75 percent. History covers the recorded price path of the YES outcome.
Resolution criteria
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between France and Spain, scheduled for July 14, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "France" if France score more goals than Spain in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if France and Spain score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Spain" if Spain score more goals than France in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Source: Polymarket via the public gamma API, synced by Kresmion. Last updated 2026-07-14 20:48 UTC. Trade on the venue itself: this page is research context, not an order book. Percentages are YES prices and can move fast.