Israeli parliament dissolved by July 16?
Part of: Israeli parliament dissolved by...?. Crowd probability estimates from prediction markets, not financial advice.
Probability history
Gridlines at 25, 50 and 75 percent. History covers the recorded price path of the YES outcome.
Other outcomes in this event
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between market creation and July 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Source: Polymarket via the public gamma API, synced by Kresmion. Last updated 2026-07-15 01:23 UTC. Trade on the venue itself: this page is research context, not an order book. Percentages are YES prices and can move fast.