PREDICTION MARKET ODDS

Over $40M committed to the Credible public sale?

Part of: Total commitments for the Credible public sale on MetaDAO. Crowd probability estimates from prediction markets, not financial advice.

Yes probability
13%
24h change
-23.5pp
Volume
$68K
Resolves by
Aug 31, 2026

Probability history

Gridlines at 25, 50 and 75 percent. History covers the recorded price path of the YES outcome.

Other outcomes in this event

Over $25M committed to the Credible public sale?99%Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?63%Over $50M committed to the Credible public sale?7%Over $60M committed to the Credible public sale?6%Over $70M committed to the Credible public sale?4%Over $100M committed to the Credible public sale?1%

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if total commitments for the Credible raise on MetaDAO exceeds the number specified in the title before the raise closes. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the “committed” figure displayed on the official Credible sale page at https://www.metadao.fi/projects/credible/fundraise. If the displayed figure reaches the threshold at any point before August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of subsequent refunds or cancellations. If the sale is on hold and no commitment total is verifiable by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the raise event is otherwise cancelled or rescheduled to a time past that date, this market resolves to "No". If requisite information for this market’s resolution becomes permanently unavailable within this market’s timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. If the sale begins and is extended before the official closing time, commitments made during the extended period will count toward resolution.

Source: Polymarket via the public gamma API, synced by Kresmion. Last updated 2026-07-15 00:23 UTC. Trade on the venue itself: this page is research context, not an order book. Percentages are YES prices and can move fast.