Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

Part of: Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner. Crowd probability estimates from prediction markets, not financial advice.

Yes probability

64%

24h change

-13.0pp

7d change

-22.0pp

Volume

$285K

Resolves by

Aug 4, 2026

Probability history

Gridlines at 25, 50 and 75 percent. History covers the recorded price path of the YES outcome.

Other outcomes in this event

Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?34%

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan. If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Source: Polymarket via the public gamma API, synced by Kresmion. Last updated 2026-07-15 00:23 UTC. Trade on the venue itself: this page is research context, not an order book. Percentages are YES prices and can move fast.