Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?

Part of: Anthropic IPO by __?. Crowd probability estimates from prediction markets, not financial advice.

Yes probability

67%

24h change

+1.0pp

7d change

+6.0pp

Volume

$163K

Resolves by

Jul 1, 2027

Probability history

Gridlines at 25, 50 and 75 percent. History covers the recorded price path of the YES outcome.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: Polymarket via the public gamma API, synced by Kresmion. Last updated 2026-07-15 00:23 UTC. Trade on the venue itself: this page is research context, not an order book. Percentages are YES prices and can move fast.