Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in July?

Part of: What price will Ethereum hit in July?. Crowd probability estimates from prediction markets, not financial advice.

Yes probability

13%

24h change

-21.5pp

7d change

-31.5pp

Volume

$43K

Resolves by

Aug 1, 2026

Probability history

Gridlines at 25, 50 and 75 percent. History covers the recorded price path of the YES outcome.

Other outcomes in this event

Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in July?89%Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?25%Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in July?11%Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in July?7%

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the month specified in the title has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No”. Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT “High” and “Low” prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Source: Polymarket via the public gamma API, synced by Kresmion. Last updated 2026-07-15 00:23 UTC. Trade on the venue itself: this page is research context, not an order book. Percentages are YES prices and can move fast.