Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?

Part of: María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?. Crowd probability estimates from prediction markets, not financial advice.

Yes probability

17%

24h change

-1.0pp

7d change

-11.5pp

Volume

$218K

Resolves by

Jul 31, 2026

Probability history

Gridlines at 25, 50 and 75 percent. History covers the recorded price path of the YES outcome.

Resolution criteria

If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Source: Polymarket via the public gamma API, synced by Kresmion. Last updated 2026-07-15 00:23 UTC. Trade on the venue itself: this page is research context, not an order book. Percentages are YES prices and can move fast.