Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?
Part of: How many SpaceX launches in 2026?. Crowd probability estimates from prediction markets, not financial advice.
Yes probability
31%
7d change
+5.5pp
Volume
$94K
Resolves by
Dec 31, 2026
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between January 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
Source: Polymarket via the public gamma API, synced by Kresmion. Last updated 2026-07-15 00:23 UTC. Trade on the venue itself: this page is research context, not an order book. Percentages are YES prices and can move fast.