PREDICTION MARKET ODDS

Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?

Part of: Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?. Crowd probability estimates from prediction markets, not financial advice.

Yes probability
3%
24h change
-0.1pp
7d change
+0.1pp
Volume
$967K
Resolves by
Dec 31, 2026

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.

Source: Polymarket via the public gamma API, synced by Kresmion. Last updated 2026-07-15 00:23 UTC. Trade on the venue itself: this page is research context, not an order book. Percentages are YES prices and can move fast.