PREDICTION MARKET ODDS / RESOLVED
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
This market has settled. The prices below are historical and are no longer tradable.
This market resolved NO. Resolution date Jun 30, 2026. The last recorded YES price before resolution was 12 percent. The market priced the eventual outcome at 12 percent 0 days before resolution.
Probability history
Gridlines at 25, 50 and 75 percent. History covers the recorded price path of the YES outcome up to resolution.
Get the smart money brief
Insider trades, 13F flows, and cross asset positioning reads with the source on every number, in your inbox when there is something in the data, or live on Telegram. Free, no account.
No fixed schedule: it goes out when the data has something in it. Unsubscribe anytime.
Source: Polymarket via the public gamma API, synced by Kresmion. This market is settled, so the figures on this page are a historical record kept for research context, not a live order book.
Kresmion reports prediction market prices as market data. We are not an operator of any prediction market, we take no positions and hold no funds, and nothing on this page is an invitation to trade on any venue. Prediction markets are not authorised in every jurisdiction. Check the rules that apply where you are before using one.