PREDICTION MARKET ODDS

Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Part of: Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028. Crowd probability estimates from prediction markets, not financial advice.

Yes probability
2%
24h change
-0.1pp
7d change
+0.3pp
Volume
$14.3M
Resolves by
Nov 7, 2028

Probability history

Gridlines at 25, 50 and 75 percent. History covers the recorded price path of the YES outcome.

Other outcomes in this event

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?20%Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?15%Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?12%Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?7%Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?5%Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?5%Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?2%Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?2%

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Source: Polymarket via the public gamma API, synced by Kresmion. Last updated 2026-07-15 00:23 UTC. Trade on the venue itself: this page is research context, not an order book. Percentages are YES prices and can move fast.