2026-05-20

Coffee volume spike - 8.4× the 20-day average (13,829 vs 1,642 avg)

Platinum volume spike - 224.5× the 20-day average (11,594 vs 51 avg)

Gold volume spike - 418.3× the 20-day average (147,962 vs 353 avg)

RBOB Gasoline bear 8.2% vs prior close ($3.70 → $3.39)

WTI Crude Oil bear 8.1% vs prior close ($107.77 → $99.08)

Copper volume spike - 16.5× the 20-day average (38,180 vs 2,316 avg)

Silver volume spike - 20.1× the 20-day average (36,863 vs 1,838 avg)

Cocoa volume spike - 2.5× the 20-day average (12,758 vs 5,203 avg)

Wheat volume spike - 2.5× the 20-day average (70,818 vs 28,530 avg)

Heating Oil bear 7.3% vs prior close ($4.16 → $3.86)

OSINT: Trump hints at possible run for Israeli prime minister

Oil -9.10% - significant selloff

OSINT: UK debate over new bans sparks criticism of Starmer's policy

Oil -6.22% - significant selloff

Oil -3.67% - significant selloff

OSINT: Markets Anticipate Rate Hikes Under New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh

COPPER - speculators net long (+2.5σ vs 52w mean) - contrarian bear signal

NATURAL GAS - speculators net long (+3.0σ vs 52w mean) - contrarian bear signal

10Y Treasury Note volume spike - 2.1× the 20-day average (4,352,608 vs 2,028,622 avg)

Corn volume spike - 2.1× the 20-day average (230,747 vs 111,502 avg)

Lake Mead: reservoir shrinking (2.4σ below baseline NDWI -0.17) - potential water stress

Gold -1.96% - significant selloff

NASDAQ MINI - speculators net short (-3.1σ vs 52w mean) - contrarian bull signal

SBUX job postings down -50% WoW - potential restructuring

ALL job postings down -33% WoW - potential restructuring

ROYAL BANK OF CANADA search volume spiked +65 pts - unusual interest

PANW job postings down -62% WoW - potential restructuring

AFL job postings down -36% WoW - potential restructuring

NKE job postings down -25% WoW - potential restructuring

HWM job postings down -32% WoW - potential restructuring

SBUX job postings down -50% WoW - potential restructuring

ECL job postings down -22% WoW - potential restructuring

MPWR job postings down -22% WoW - potential restructuring

NVDA RSI 70.3 - overbought (crossed above 70)

CSX job postings down -22% WoW - potential restructuring

PANW job postings down -62% WoW - potential restructuring

HWM job postings down -32% WoW - potential restructuring

SBUX job postings down -50% WoW - potential restructuring

EW job postings down -24% WoW - potential restructuring

AFL job postings down -34% WoW - potential restructuring

PANW job postings down -62% WoW - potential restructuring

ROST job postings down -78% WoW - potential restructuring

CSX job postings down -26% WoW - potential restructuring

EW job postings down -24% WoW - potential restructuring

WM job postings down -54% WoW - potential restructuring

AFL job postings down -34% WoW - potential restructuring

BTC ETF outflow of $130M - institutional selling

BTC ETF outflow of $130M - institutional selling

BTC ETF outflow of $130M - institutional selling

Norway reduced US Treasury holdings by $10.8B (now $208B) - Dec 2025 TIC

Hong Kong added $11.2B to US Treasury holdings (now $268B) - Dec 2025 TIC

Korea, South reduced US Treasury holdings by $4.5B (now $141B) - Dec 2025 TIC

Peru added $3.9B to US Treasury holdings (now $45B) - Dec 2025 TIC

Singapore added $6.2B to US Treasury holdings (now $278B) - Dec 2025 TIC

Luxembourg added $9.5B to US Treasury holdings (now $434B) - Dec 2025 TIC

United Arab Emirates reduced US Treasury holdings by $7.9B (now $96B) - Dec 2025 TIC

Cayman Islands reduced US Treasury holdings by $6.4B (now $421B) - Dec 2025 TIC

Spain reduced US Treasury holdings by $8.7B (now $74B) - Dec 2025 TIC

Italy reduced US Treasury holdings by $3.4B (now $62B) - Dec 2025 TIC

Switzerland reduced US Treasury holdings by $6.3B (now $294B) - Dec 2025 TIC

United Kingdom reduced US Treasury holdings by $16.7B (now $863B) - Dec 2025 TIC

Japan reduced US Treasury holdings by $17.2B (now $1186B) - Dec 2025 TIC

France reduced US Treasury holdings by $7.2B (now $369B) - Dec 2025 TIC

Netherlands reduced US Treasury holdings by $9.6B (now $70B) - Dec 2025 TIC

Australia reduced US Treasury holdings by $2.8B (now $72B) - Dec 2025 TIC

Germany reduced US Treasury holdings by $6.0B (now $103B) - Dec 2025 TIC

VIX at 18.0 - CAUTION territory

VIX at 18.1 - CAUTION territory

Financial conditions loosening - NFCI at -0.52, liquidity supportive

DXY +0.39% - dollar strength signal