Kresmion signals archive
137 cross-asset signals fired across commodity, crypto, equity, forex, macro. See also the Kresmion brief for 2026-06-15.
commodity (22)
Platinum volume spike - 4.0× the 20-day average (53 vs 13 avg)
OSINT: SpaceX Valuation Hits $2.5T, Becomes World’s 6th Largest Public Company
OSINT: Trump arrives in Geneva for G7 summit
OSINT: Israel Says Not Bound by Lebanon Clause, Tells Trump
CFTC BITCOIN speculator at extreme long - contrarian bear signal
CFTC SILVER speculator at extreme short - contrarian bull signal
CFTC NATURAL GAS speculator at extreme long - contrarian bear signal
OSINT: Iran claims military gains secured US MOU
RBOB Gasoline bear 5.0% vs prior close ($3.05 → $2.90)
Cotton bull 4.9% vs prior close ($72.94 → $76.50)
WTI Crude Oil bear 4.5% vs prior close ($84.88 → $81.04)
Cocoa bull 5.8% vs prior close ($3,779.00 → $3,998.00)
Heating Oil bear 5.5% vs prior close ($3.40 → $3.22)
OSINT: S&P 500 jumps 1.7% on US‑Iran deal, adds $1.2 trn market cap
OSINT: Belarus Declares No Military Action Against Ukraine
NATURAL GAS - speculators net long (+2.3σ vs 52w mean) - contrarian bear signal
OSINT: Market Calendar Update for June 15, 2026
OSINT: Russia’s Kyiv Drone & Missile Strike Ignites Historic Dovzhenko Film Studio
Sugar No. 11 bull 3.4% vs prior close ($13.70 → $14.16)
Nasdaq E-mini bull 4.0% vs prior close ($29,662.00 → $30,846.75)
Platinum bull 3.7% vs prior close ($1,709.20 → $1,772.40)
Silver bull 3.3% vs prior close ($67.86 → $70.12)
crypto (22)
SOL open interest -63.3% - OI collapse
ETH open interest -67.8% - OI collapse
BTC open interest +235.9% - OI surge
BTC open interest -49.0% - OI collapse
ETH open interest -66.2% - OI collapse
SOL open interest +47.0% - OI surge
SOL open interest -64.3% - OI collapse
BTC open interest -40.7% - OI collapse
ETH open interest -65.8% - OI collapse
BTC open interest +216.4% - OI surge
ETH open interest +221.9% - OI surge
SOL open interest +291.7% - OI surge
SPYx/USDC has $39.7M volume but only $782K liquidity - thin market, slippage risk
SOL/USDC crashed -50.2% in 24h on orca DEX
ETH DEX volume/liquidity ratio elevated (0.58x) - strong on-chain trading activity
OSINT: Solana Firm Turns Down Forward's Bid Amid Treasury Pressure
SOL DEX volume/liquidity ratio elevated (1.01x) - strong on-chain trading activity
ETH DEX volume/liquidity ratio elevated (0.52x) - strong on-chain trading activity
SOL DEX volume/liquidity ratio elevated (0.86x) - strong on-chain trading activity
BITCOIN - speculators net long (+2.5σ vs 52w mean) - contrarian bear signal
SOL DEX volume/liquidity ratio elevated (0.71x) - strong on-chain trading activity
OSINT: Trader 0xa2e8 nets $4.93M in 5 days on ETH, 90% win rate
equity (81)
Phase 3 trial terminated early - JOHNSON Treatment of Anemic Patients With Cancer Who Are Not Receiving Chemotherapy or R
Phase 3 trial terminated early - ELI A Comparison of Two Treatment Strategies in Older Participants With Type 2 Diabe
Phase 3 trial terminated early - ELI A Study of Evacetrapib (LY2484595) in Participants With High Cholesterol
Phase 3 trial terminated early - ELI A Rheumatoid Arthritis Study in Participants on a Background Treatment of Methot
Phase 3 trial terminated early - BIOGEN Study to Evaluate the Efficacy and Safety of Dimethyl Fumarate (Tecfidera) and P
Phase 3 trial terminated early - BIOGEN Natalizumab and Chronic Inflammation
Phase 3 trial terminated early - BIOGEN A Study to Investigate the Radiological Onset of Action After Treatment Initiati
Phase 3 trial terminated early - BIOGEN Corticosteroids for Immune Reconstitution Inflammatory Syndrome (IRIS)
Phase 3 trial terminated early - BIOGEN Bardoxolone Methyl in Patients With Connective Tissue Disease-associated Pulmona
Phase 3 trial terminated early - AMGEN Multicenter,Single-arm Study to Evaluate Efficacy, Safety, & Pharmacokinetics of
Phase 3 trial terminated early - AMGEN A Study of CAD106 and CNP520 Versus Placebo in Participants at Risk for the Onse
Phase 3 trial terminated early - AMGEN Effect of Darbepoetin Alfa (Aranesp®) on Anemia in Patients With Advanced Hormon
Phase 3 trial terminated early - AMGEN A Study of CNP520 Versus Placebo in Participants at Risk for the Onset of Clinic
Phase 3 trial terminated early - INCYTE A Study of Ruxolitinib in Pancreatic Cancer Patients
Phase 3 trial terminated early - INCYTE To Evaluate Efficacy and Safety of Parsaclisib and Ruxolitinib in Participants W
Phase 3 trial terminated early - INCYTE To Evaluate the Efficacy and Safety of Parsaclisib and Ruxolitinib in Participan
Phase 3 trial terminated early - Medtronic DIAM™ Spinal Stabilization System vs. Decompression, Formerly vs. Posterolateral
Phase 3 trial terminated early - Medtronic Diagnostic Outcome Trial in Heart Failure (DOT-HF Trial)
Phase 3 trial terminated early - Medtronic Condition of Approval Study
Phase 3 trial terminated early - AbbVie An Oral GnRH Antagonist to Treat Mild Autonomous Cortisol Excess (MACE) Due to A
Phase 3 trial terminated early - AbbVie Upadacitinib for Prurigo Nodularis
Phase 3 trial terminated early - ABBOTT Catheter Ablation Versus Amiodarone for Shock Prophylaxis in Defibrillator Patie
Phase 3 trial terminated early - ABBOTT Effects of a Supplement Enriched in Hydroxymethylbutyrate and Vitamin D on Muscl
Phase 3 trial terminated early - ABBOTT Comparative Study of the Effect of Ezetimibe Versus Extended-Release Niacin on A
Phase 3 trial terminated early - ABBOTT Study to Examine the Longer-Term Efficacy and Safety of Sibutramine Hydrochlorid
Phase 3 trial terminated early - ABBOTT Efficacy and Tolerability of ABT-869 Versus Sorafenib in Advanced Hepatocellular
Phase 3 trial terminated early - PFIZER Vaspect Study - An Open-Label Trial Of Donepezil in Vascular and Mixed Dementia
Phase 3 trial terminated early - PFIZER Desvenlafaxine for Treatment of Hot Flashes in Women With Breast Cancer Taking T
Phase 3 trial terminated early - PFIZER Strategy for Adequate Blood Pressure Lowering in the Patients With Intracranial
Phase 3 trial terminated early - GILEAD Study to Evaluate the Efficacy and Safety of Remdesivir in Participants With Sev
Phase 3 trial terminated early - GILEAD DORADO-EX: Long-Term Safety Extension Study to the Phase 3 DORADO Study (Protoco
Phase 3 trial terminated early - GILEAD Ambisome and Management of Culture-negative Neutropenic Fever Unresponsive to An
Phase 3 trial terminated early - GILEAD Value of Inhaled Treatment With Aztreonam Lysine in Bronchiectasis
Phase 3 trial terminated early - GILEAD Study of Cilofexor in Adults With Primary Sclerosing Cholangitis
Phase 3 trial terminated early - GILEAD Rapid Start vs. Standard Start Antiretroviral Therapy (ART) in HIV
5 congress members traded TSCO - net BEAR (0B/0S)
OSINT: Solana Firm Turns Down Forward's Bid Amid Treasury Pressure
OSINT: US Air Force B‑52 bomber crashes at Edwards AFB, crew status unknown
5 congress members traded TSCO - net BEAR (0B/0S)
Q1-2027: Beat consensus by 73.0% - EPS $-0.09 vs $-0.3333 estimate
Bond issued at elevated rate 4.75% - credit-stress signal
Bond issued at elevated rate 4.75% - credit-stress signal
Q3-2026: Missed consensus by 717.0% - EPS $-0.5 vs $-0.0612 estimate
Q1-2026: Missed consensus by 15.9% - EPS $-0.39 vs $-0.3366 estimate
Q4-2025: Missed consensus by 77.7% - EPS $-0.58 vs $-0.3264 estimate
Beat consensus by 198.0% - EPS $0.05 vs $-0.051 estimate
Q4-2026: Missed consensus by 140.9% - EPS $-0.23749 vs $-0.0986 estimate
Q4-2025: Missed consensus by 8.0% - EPS $2.63 vs $2.8583 estimate
Q2-2025: Missed consensus by 12.2% - EPS $0.63 vs $0.7177 estimate
Beat consensus by 8.2% - EPS $0.63 vs $0.582 estimate
Q4-2025: Beat consensus by 7.9% - EPS $0.69 vs $0.6396 estimate
Q3-2025: Beat consensus by 9.3% - EPS $0.79 vs $0.7225 estimate
Beat consensus by 21.6% - EPS $-0.4 vs $-0.51 estimate
Q1-2026: Missed consensus by 24.8% - EPS $-0.21 vs $-0.1683 estimate
Q4-2025: Beat consensus by 65.4% - EPS $-0.06 vs $-0.1734 estimate
Beat consensus by 47.2% - EPS $0.24 vs $0.163 estimate
Q3-2025: Missed consensus by 15.9% - EPS $0.58 vs $0.6894 estimate
Q1-2026: Beat consensus by 18.3% - EPS $0.5 vs $0.4228 estimate
Q4-2025: Beat consensus by 215.8% - EPS $0.15 vs $-0.1295 estimate
Q1-2026: Beat consensus by 21.4% - EPS $0.26 vs $0.2142 estimate
Q2-2025: Beat consensus by 13.8% - EPS $-0.5 vs $-0.5799 estimate
Q3-2025: Missed consensus by 19.6% - EPS $-0.67 vs $-0.5602 estimate
Missed consensus by 20.8% - EPS $-0.93 vs $-0.77 estimate
Q3-2025: Beat consensus by 19.9% - EPS $0.48 vs $0.4002 estimate
Q4-2025: Beat consensus by 13.3% - EPS $0.5 vs $0.4413 estimate
Q2-2025: Beat consensus by 7.0% - EPS $-16 vs $-17.2125 estimate
Beat consensus by 34.6% - EPS $-8 vs $-12.24 estimate
Q1-2025: Beat consensus by 26.5% - EPS $-13 vs $-17.6802 estimate
Q3-2025: Beat consensus by 10.8% - EPS $-13.5 vs $-15.1302 estimate
Beat consensus by 19.0% - EPS $1.16 vs $0.975 estimate
Q3-2025: Beat consensus by 10.6% - EPS $0.97 vs $0.8767 estimate
Q1-2026: Beat consensus by 54.8% - EPS $0.7 vs $0.4523 estimate
5 congress members traded TSCO - net BEAR (0B/0S)
Seagate Technology Holdings plc search volume spiked +100 pts - unusual interest
ABBOTT LABORATORIES search volume spiked +54 pts - unusual interest
OSINT: Market Calendar Update for June 15, 2026
5 congress members traded TSCO - net BEAR (0B/0S)
Seagate Technology Holdings plc search volume spiked +100 pts - unusual interest
ABBOTT LABORATORIES search volume spiked +54 pts - unusual interest
Q4-2026: EPS $0.12 vs $-0.0102 estimate, +0.13 on a near-zero consensus
Q1-2027: EPS $0.10 vs $-0.0408 estimate, +0.14 on a near-zero consensus
forex (4)
OSINT: Belarus Declares No Military Action Against Ukraine
OSINT: S&P 500 jumps 1.7% on US‑Iran deal, adds $1.2 trn market cap
OSINT: Market Calendar Update for June 15, 2026
OSINT: Russia’s Kyiv Drone & Missile Strike Ignites Historic Dovzhenko Film Studio
macro (8)
OSINT: Belarus Declares No Military Action Against Ukraine
OSINT: Belarus Declares No Military Action Against Ukraine
OSINT: S&P 500 jumps 1.7% on US‑Iran deal, adds $1.2 trn market cap
OSINT: US Air Force B‑52 bomber crashes at Edwards AFB, crew status unknown
OSINT: Market Calendar Update for June 15, 2026
OSINT: Market Calendar Update for June 15, 2026
OSINT: Russia’s Kyiv Drone & Missile Strike Ignites Historic Dovzhenko Film Studio
Financial conditions loosening - NFCI at -0.51, liquidity supportive