Kresmion signals archive
155 cross-asset signals fired across commodity, crypto, equity, forex, macro. See also the Kresmion brief for 2026-06-27.
commodity (24)
10Y Treasury Note volume spike - 3.9× the 20-day average (2,087,283 vs 538,035 avg)
30Y Treasury Bond volume spike - 3.6× the 20-day average (413,954 vs 116,355 avg)
OSINT: Iran warns of possible Hormuz Strait closure, raising geopolitical risk
Oil -3.74%: significant decline on the session
Silver volume spike - 2.6× the 20-day average (148 vs 55 avg)
OSINT: Israel strikes Hezbollah targets in Southern Lebanon
Oil -3.74%: significant decline on the session
OSINT: Bahrain Condemns Iranian Attacks on Its Territory
Oil -3.74%: significant decline on the session
OSINT: Ukrainian Flamingo missiles strike Russia's Titan‑Barrikady defense plant
Oil -3.74%: significant decline on the session
Gold +1.20%: significant gain on the session
OSINT: Israel strikes Hezbollah targets in Southern Lebanon
OSINT: Ukrainian Drone Strike Destroys Key E58 Bridge, Halting Russian Supply Route
Gold +1.20%: significant gain on the session
OSINT: Tanker Hit by Projectile in Strait of Hormuz Triggers UKMTO Advisory
Gold +1.20%: significant gain on the session
Gold +1.80%: significant gain on the session
OSINT: Ukrainian Flamingo missiles strike Russia's Titan‑Barrikady defense plant
OSINT: Ukrainian Forces Hit Volgograd with Flamingo Cruise Missile
OSINT: Ukrainian drones smash Russian supply convoys on E58 highway
Natural Gas bear 3.4% vs prior close ($3.34 → $3.23)
Sugar No. 11 bull 3.2% vs prior close ($13.55 → $13.98)
WTI Crude Oil bear 3.7% vs prior close ($71.92 → $69.23)
crypto (23)
BTC ETF outflow of $648M - institutional selling
ETH ETF outflow of $104M - institutional selling
SOL open interest -70.9% - OI collapse
BTC open interest -45.4% - OI collapse
ETH open interest +208.7% - OI surge
SOL open interest +243.6% - OI surge
ETH open interest -68.6% - OI collapse
BTC open interest -44.8% - OI collapse
USDC/USDT has $97.0M 24h volume on $884K liquidity (110x turnover): thin market, elevated slippage
SOL open interest +250.5% - OI surge
BTC open interest -44.8% - OI collapse
ETH open interest -68.6% - OI collapse
ETH open interest +219.2% - OI surge
BTC open interest +230.4% - OI surge
SOL open interest +255.5% - OI surge
OSINT: Crypto leader Erik Voorhees warns AI will split fortunes, urges adoption
SOL DEX volume/liquidity ratio elevated (0.74x): on-chain trade volume 0.74x liquidity
OSINT: US ETFs Attract Over $1T in 2026, Poised to Hit $2T by Year‑End
OSINT: Erik Voorhees backs free AI answers, warns regulation curtails thought
SOL DEX volume/liquidity ratio elevated (0.53x): on-chain trade volume 0.53x liquidity
SOL DEX volume/liquidity ratio elevated (0.63x): on-chain trade volume 0.63x liquidity
OSINT: Whales Accumulate $38.6M in ETH and HYPE via New Wallet
SOL DEX volume/liquidity ratio elevated (0.81x): on-chain trade volume 0.81x liquidity
equity (83)
Phase 3 trial terminated early - JOHNSON A Study to Evaluate the Effectiveness and Safety of Tapentadol(CG5503) in the Tr
Phase 3 trial terminated early - ELI A Study of Lasmiditan (LY573144) Treatment in Children Aged 6 to 17 With Migrain
Phase 3 trial terminated early - BRISTOL Efficacy and Safety Study of Pegylated Interferon Lambda-1a With Ribavirin and D
Phase 3 trial terminated early - AMGEN Trial Assessing the Effectiveness of Ivabradine Started at Discharge From the Ob
Phase 3 trial terminated early - AbbVie Study of BOTOX Injections in Prevention of Migraine in Adult Participants With E
Phase 3 trial terminated early - Merck Efprezimod Alfa (CD24Fc, MK-7110) for the Prevention of Acute Graft Versus Host
Phase 3 trial terminated early - Merck TRUST Study: Raptiva ® in Hand & Foot Psoriasis
Phase 3 trial terminated early - Merck A Study of Xevinapant (Debio 1143) in Combination With Platinum-Based Chemothera
Phase 3 trial terminated early - PFIZER A Ten-Week Study Evaluating The Effectiveness And Safety Of Zoloft In Children A
Phase 3 trial terminated early - PFIZER A Study of Tofacitinib in Patients With Ulcerative Colitis in Stable Remission
Phase 3 trial terminated early - PFIZER The Effects of Eplerenone on Markers of Myocardial Fibrosis in Adult Congenital
Phase 3 trial terminated early - PFIZER A Long-Term Safety and Tolerability Study in Subjects With Mild to Moderate Alzh
Phase 3 trial terminated early - PFIZER Pregabalin In Partial Seizures (PREPS): An Open-Label, Multicenter Add On Therap
Phase 3 trial terminated early - PFIZER A Study to Evaluate the Long-term Safety of Inclacumab Administered to Participa
Phase 3 trial terminated early - ABBOTT Growth and Tolerance of Healthy Term Infants to a New Infant Formula
Phase 3 trial terminated early - ABBOTT A Prospective Multicenter Clinical Study to Evaluate the Safety and Effectivenes
Phase 3 trial terminated early - ABBOTT Pilot Assessment of Lopinavir/Ritonavir and Maraviroc
Phase 3 trial terminated early - GILEAD Efficacy, Tolerability and Acceptability of Biktarvy by TPLWH
Phase 3 trial terminated early - GILEAD Immune Reconstitution of Lopinavir/Ritonavir-Based vs Efavirenz-based HAART in A
Activist 13D filing - strategic alternative
Activist 13D filing - strategic alternative
Birkenstock Holding plc search volume spiked +100 pts - unusual interest
OSINT: South Korean equity margin loans hit record $26B, double since early 2025
Owens Corning search volume spiked +60 pts - unusual interest
Firefly Aerospace Inc. search volume spiked +83 pts - unusual interest
LOWES COMPANIES INC search volume spiked +51 pts - unusual interest
OSINT: US consumers lag on $1.25T credit‑card debt, WSJ reports
OSINT: Crypto leader Erik Voorhees warns AI will split fortunes, urges adoption
OSINT: US Tech Funds See $15B Weekly Outflow, Biggest in 2.5 Years
Owens Corning search volume spiked +60 pts - unusual interest
LOWES COMPANIES INC search volume spiked +51 pts - unusual interest
Firefly Aerospace Inc. search volume spiked +83 pts - unusual interest
OSINT: S&P 500 Equal‑Weight ETF Outpaces SPY, Signaling Broad Market Rally
OSINT: Erik Voorhees backs free AI answers, warns regulation curtails thought
Sanofi search volume spiked +37 pts - unusual interest
Owens Corning search volume spiked +60 pts - unusual interest
LOWES COMPANIES INC search volume spiked +51 pts - unusual interest
Firefly Aerospace Inc. search volume spiked +83 pts - unusual interest
CVS HEALTH Corp search volume spiked +88 pts - unusual interest
Q4-2019: Beat consensus by 9635.9% - EPS $14.59 vs $-0.153 estimate
Q4-2024: Missed consensus by 233.3% - EPS $-0.68 vs $-0.204 estimate
Q1-2026: Missed consensus by 7.1% - EPS $-1.53 vs $-1.428 estimate
Q2-2025: Beat consensus by 47.7% - EPS $0.35 vs $0.237 estimate
Q1-2017: Beat consensus by 8.6% - EPS $-6 vs $-6.565 estimate
Q2-2017: Beat consensus by 16.2% - EPS $-5.5 vs $-6.565 estimate
Q1-2025: Missed consensus by 52.1% - EPS $-0.47 vs $-0.309 estimate
Q4-2021: Beat consensus by 360.8% - EPS $0.47 vs $0.102 estimate
Q2-2025: Missed consensus by 156.0% - EPS $-0.08 vs $0.1428 estimate
Q4-2025: Missed consensus by 18.3% - EPS $0.57 vs $0.698 estimate
Q4-2025: Beat consensus by 14.4% - EPS $-0.06 vs $-0.0701 estimate
Q4-2015: Missed consensus by 174.3% - EPS $-3 vs $4.04 estimate
Q2-2015: Missed consensus by 98.0% - EPS $-3.6 vs $-1.818 estimate
Q3-2015: Missed consensus by 18.8% - EPS $-2.4 vs $-2.02 estimate
Q2-2025: Beat consensus by 10.6% - EPS $0.79 vs $0.714 estimate
Q3-2025: Beat consensus by 12.4% - EPS $0.86 vs $0.765 estimate
Q3-2026: Missed consensus by 23.5% - EPS $0.26 vs $0.34 estimate
Q4-2025: Missed consensus by 411.9% - EPS $-158.21 vs $-30.906 estimate
Q2-2025: Beat consensus by 89.8% - EPS $-19.7 vs $-192.882 estimate
Q1-2026: Beat consensus by 67.9% - EPS $-10.24 vs $-31.875 estimate
Q3-2025: Beat consensus by 56.7% - EPS $-31.1 vs $-71.808 estimate
Q4-2025: Beat consensus by 21.0% - EPS $0.9 vs $0.744 estimate
Q1-2026: Beat consensus by 40.9% - EPS $1.21 vs $0.8585 estimate
Q3-2025: Beat consensus by 15.5% - EPS $0.65 vs $0.563 estimate
Q4-2012: Missed consensus by 197.0% - EPS $-0.24 vs $-0.0808 estimate
Q4-2025: Beat consensus by 80.4% - EPS $-0.01 vs $-0.051 estimate
Q3-2024: Beat consensus by 92.5% - EPS $-0.1 vs $-1.326 estimate
Q4-2025: Missed consensus by 161.4% - EPS $-1.32 vs $-0.505 estimate
Q1-2026: Missed consensus by 22.1% - EPS $-2.29 vs $-1.876 estimate
Q3-2025: Beat consensus by 19.5% - EPS $1.7 vs $1.423 estimate
Q3-2025: Missed consensus by 5.6% - EPS $11.36 vs $12.036 estimate
Q3-2025: Beat consensus by 21.1% - EPS $2.16 vs $1.784 estimate
Bond issued at elevated rate 4.9% - credit-stress signal
Sanofi search volume spiked +37 pts - unusual interest
Owens Corning search volume spiked +60 pts - unusual interest
LOWES COMPANIES INC search volume spiked +51 pts - unusual interest
Firefly Aerospace Inc. search volume spiked +83 pts - unusual interest
OSINT: U.S. Homeownership Costs Hit Record $28,596, Up 39% Since 2019
OSINT: F-35B ‘Green Knights’ Conduct Ops from USS Tripoli Amphibious Assault Ship
Q4-2025: EPS $0.40 vs $0.002 estimate, +0.40 on a near-zero consensus
Q1-2024: EPS $0.01 vs $-0.0101 estimate, +0.02 on a near-zero consensus
Q4-2025: EPS $-0.237 vs $-0.0196 estimate, -0.22 on a near-zero consensus
Q3-2024: EPS $-0.01 vs $-0.0051 estimate, in line on a near-zero consensus
Q4-2024: EPS $-0.01 vs $-0.0051 estimate, in line on a near-zero consensus
macro (15)
VIX at 18.4: CAUTION territory
OSINT: Israel strikes Hezbollah targets in Southern Lebanon
OSINT: Israel strikes Hezbollah targets in Southern Lebanon
OSINT: Ukrainian Drone Strike Destroys Key E58 Bridge, Halting Russian Supply Route
OSINT: Ukrainian Drone Strike Destroys Key E58 Bridge, Halting Russian Supply Route
VIX at 18.4: CAUTION territory
OSINT: Tanker Hit by Projectile in Strait of Hormuz Triggers UKMTO Advisory
VIX at 18.4: CAUTION territory
VIX at 18.4: CAUTION territory
OSINT: Ukrainian Flamingo missiles strike Russia's Titan‑Barrikady defense plant
OSINT: Ukrainian Forces Hit Volgograd with Flamingo Cruise Missile
Financial conditions loosening: NFCI at -0.52, liquidity supportive
OSINT: F-35B ‘Green Knights’ Conduct Ops from USS Tripoli Amphibious Assault Ship
OSINT: Ukrainian drones smash Russian supply convoys on E58 highway
OSINT: F-35B ‘Green Knights’ Conduct Ops from USS Tripoli Amphibious Assault Ship
forex (10)
OSINT: China imports 163 tonnes of gold in May, highest since March 2024
OSINT: US consumers lag on $1.25T credit‑card debt, WSJ reports
OSINT: US Tech Funds See $15B Weekly Outflow, Biggest in 2.5 Years
OSINT: Israel strikes Hezbollah targets in Southern Lebanon
OSINT: Ukrainian Drone Strike Destroys Key E58 Bridge, Halting Russian Supply Route
OSINT: Tanker Hit by Projectile in Strait of Hormuz Triggers UKMTO Advisory
OSINT: First Ultra All-Inclusive Resort Opens in Russia, Managed by Global Hotel Chain
OSINT: Ukrainian Flamingo missiles strike Russia's Titan‑Barrikady defense plant
OSINT: U.S. Homeownership Costs Hit Record $28,596, Up 39% Since 2019
OSINT: Ukrainian Forces Hit Volgograd with Flamingo Cruise Missile