Will John Healey be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Q: Will John Healey be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

YES. This prediction market resolved YES on Dec 31, 2026, having last priced the outcome at 100%. Source: Polymarket settlement, via Kresmion.

Part of: Next UK Chancellor of the Exchequer in 2026?. This market has settled. The prices below are historical and are no longer tradable.

Outcome

Resolved YES

This market resolved YES. Resolution date Dec 31, 2026. The last recorded YES price before resolution was 100 percent. The market priced the eventual outcome at 1 percent 23 days before resolution.

Resolved

Dec 31, 2026

Final YES price

100%

Priced at lead

Lead

23 days

Probability history

Gridlines at 25, 50 and 75 percent. History covers the recorded price path of the YES outcome up to resolution.

Weekly closes

Last recorded YES probability of each week, oldest first.
Week start	YES probability
Jun 22, 2026	1%
Jul 13, 2026	0%
Jul 20, 2026	100%

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Source: Polymarket via the public gamma API, synced by Kresmion. This market is settled, so the figures on this page are a historical record kept for research context, not a live order book.

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