Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Part of: Pro Football: 2027 Champion. Crowd probability estimates from prediction markets, not financial advice.
Polymarket traders priced "Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?" at 7% as of Sep 22, 2026, 15:07 UTC, the same as a week earlier.
As of . Source: Polymarket gamma API, market 1357398. Method and limitations.
One message when it happens. Nothing else. No account needed.
Probability history
Gridlines at 25, 50 and 75 percent. History covers the recorded price path of the YES outcome.
History in numbers
Since Jul 30, 2026, this market has traded between 3 percent (Aug 30, 2026) and 9 percent (Sep 21, 2026), across 1,946 recorded prices. The current price of 7 percent is 0.8 percentage points above where it stood 7 days ago (7 percent), and 3.4 percentage points above where it stood 30 days ago (4 percent).
Weekly closes
| Week start | YES probability |
|---|---|
| Jul 27, 2026 | 4% |
| Aug 3, 2026 | 4% |
| Aug 10, 2026 | 4% |
| Aug 17, 2026 | 4% |
| Aug 24, 2026 | 4% |
| Aug 31, 2026 | 4% |
| Sep 7, 2026 | 6% |
| Sep 14, 2026 | 8% |
| Sep 21, 2026 | 7% |
Other outcomes in this event
Yes probabilityMarket details
Venues: Polymarket
How this market resolves
The market currently prices the YES outcome at 7 percent, with the NO outcome at 93 percent. This is read as the crowd's probability estimate for this event, not a forecast or advice.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFL league championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL league championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2027 NFL league championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
More sports markets
Live markets priced by the same venue, with their latest YES price.
Background reading
Evergreen explainers from Kresmion Learn on how prediction-market prices work.
Cite this data
Kresmion stores the venue's YES price on a fixed capture schedule. The figures here are those stored prices and the differences between them, not a Kresmion estimate.
Upstream: Polymarket gamma API, market 1357398
Kresmion, "Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? (prediction market probability)", data as of 2026-09-22, https://kresmion.com/odds/will-the-san-francisco-49ers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship. Upstream data: Polymarket gamma API, market 1357398.
Get the smart money brief
Insider trades, 13F flows, and cross asset positioning reads with the source on every number, in your inbox when there is something in the data, or live on Telegram. Free, no account.
No fixed schedule: it goes out when the data has something in it. Unsubscribe anytime.
Source: Polymarket via the public gamma API, synced by Kresmion. Last updated 2026-09-22 15:07 UTC. This page is research context, not an order book. Kresmion accepts no orders and holds no funds. Percentages are YES prices and can move fast.
Kresmion reports prediction market prices as market data. We are not an operator of any prediction market, we take no positions and hold no funds, and nothing on this page is an invitation to trade on any venue. Prediction markets are not authorised in every jurisdiction. Check the rules that apply where you are before using one.