Kresmion signals archive
10420 cross-asset signals fired across commodity, crypto, equity, macro. See also the Kresmion brief for 2026-07-24.
commodity (15)
Platinum volume spike - 26.9× the 20-day average (11,895 vs 442 avg)
Copper volume spike - 12.7× the 20-day average (28,473 vs 2,240 avg)
Silver volume spike - 13.6× the 20-day average (26,053 vs 1,919 avg)
Coffee volume spike - 7.1× the 20-day average (14,168 vs 1,984 avg)
Cocoa volume spike - 3.4× the 20-day average (17,604 vs 5,125 avg)
Gold volume spike - 177.2× the 20-day average (112,402 vs 634 avg)
Cotton volume spike - 621.5× the 20-day average (11,312 vs 18 avg)
Soybeans volume spike - 6.1× the 20-day average (166,916 vs 27,466 avg)
RBOB Gasoline bear 6.4% vs prior close ($3.50 → $3.27)
Corn volume spike - 3.1× the 20-day average (257,469 vs 83,689 avg)
Wheat volume spike - 2.8× the 20-day average (117,726 vs 42,086 avg)
OSINT: Greek tanker with Saudi crude leaves Red Sea, transponder disabled
Polymarket order flow on "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?": $25,072 in orders from 10 wallets absorbed at the 89% level, consistent with hidden resting size on this prediction
Prediction market repriced: "Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?" moved +22pp in 24h to 62%
OSINT: NATO shoots down Russian drone over Romanian airspace
macro (18)
- criticalPROBABILITY_SHIFT
Prediction market repriced: "Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?" moved +70pp in 24h to 84%
- criticalPROBABILITY_SHIFT
Prediction market repriced: "Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?" moved +67pp in 24h to 92%
- criticalPROBABILITY_SHIFT
Prediction market repriced: "Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?" moved +68pp in 24h to 92%
- highPROBABILITY_SHIFT
Prediction market repriced: "Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?" moved -25pp in 24h to 20%
- highPROBABILITY_SHIFT
Prediction market repriced: "Will Racing Club win on 2026-07-24?" moved +25pp in 24h to 78%
- highALGO_FLOW
Polymarket order flow on "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?": $11,416 in orders from 25 wallets absorbed at the 84% level, consistent with hidden resting size on this prediction marke
- highPROBABILITY_SHIFT
Prediction market repriced: "Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza win on 2026-07-24?" moved +38pp in 24h to 90%
- highPROBABILITY_SHIFT
Prediction market repriced: "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?" moved +22pp in 24h to 88%
- highALGO_FLOW
Polymarket order flow on "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?": 11-level ask ladder, ~1.0pp spacing ($13,281 resting), consistent with programmatic order placement on this prediction ma
Polymarket order flow on "Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July": $39,373 in orders from 13 wallets absorbed at the 74% level, consistent with hidden resting size on this predic
- highPROBABILITY_SHIFT
Prediction market repriced: "Will Vasteraas SK win on 2026-07-24?" moved +34pp in 24h to 96%
- highPROBABILITY_SHIFT
Prediction market repriced: "Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of July 20 2026?" moved -46pp in 24h to 3%
- highALGO_FLOW
Polymarket order flow on "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?": 6-level ask ladder, ~1.0pp spacing ($43,312 resting), consistent with programmatic order placement on this prediction mar
- highPROBABILITY_SHIFT
Prediction market repriced: "Will LeBron's next contract average $4M-$10M per year?" moved -52pp in 24h to 6%
- highPROBABILITY_SHIFT
Prediction market repriced: "Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?" moved -27pp in 24h to 18%
- highPROBABILITY_SHIFT
Prediction market repriced: "Over $30M committed to the RipCars public sale?" moved +30pp in 24h to 96%
- highPROBABILITY_SHIFT
Prediction market repriced: "Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?" moved +47pp in 24h to 91%
- highALGO_FLOW
Polymarket order flow on "Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?": 5-level bid ladder, ~1.0pp spacing ($50,739 resting), consistent with programmatic order placement on this prediction market
crypto (1)
Prediction market repriced: "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 24?" moved +28pp in 24h to 89%
equity (166)
Prediction market repriced: "SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 24?" moved +34pp in 24h to 93%
Prediction market repriced: "S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 24?" moved +37pp in 24h to 82%
FDA approves LITFULO (PFIZER)
4 tracked funds increased J this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased LNT this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
4 tracked funds increased MUZE this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
4 tracked funds increased CBRE this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased HSTM this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased OMC this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
5 tracked funds increased TILE this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased BILI this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
5 tracked funds increased PGR this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased LCII this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased GEVO this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased MUX this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
5 tracked funds increased SATL this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
4 tracked funds increased BHVN this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased AAPL this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
5 tracked funds increased ASAN this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
5 tracked funds increased INFQ this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased CADL this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased TALK this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
4 tracked funds increased GFL this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
10 tracked funds increased SNAP this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased AMBQ this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
4 tracked funds increased INSM this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
6 tracked funds increased VYGR this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased UPBD this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
4 tracked funds increased EYPT this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
4 tracked funds increased HRI this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased KMT this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
4 tracked funds increased MU this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased EGHT this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased ESLT this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
11 tracked funds increased GOLD this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
4 tracked funds increased BOOM this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased ONDS this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased QCOM this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased LASR this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
4 tracked funds increased FC this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased HSY this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
4 tracked funds increased YORW this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased IQV this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased LXRX this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased TFX this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
5 tracked funds increased LAR this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased KPTI this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
5 tracked funds increased VSAT this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased ETOR this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
4 tracked funds increased BBCQ this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased TPG this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased CMBT this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased BIOA this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased GRMN this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased AVBP this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased PAYC this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased CCLD this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
4 tracked funds increased D this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
5 tracked funds increased PEN this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
4 tracked funds increased PHI this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased BOC this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased ZG this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased NLOP this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased CRGY this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
5 tracked funds increased EQX this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
4 tracked funds increased AMPX this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased HWM this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased IOVA this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
4 tracked funds increased PICS this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
4 tracked funds increased AGBK this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased CI this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased FTRE this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
4 tracked funds increased CBZ this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
5 tracked funds increased RYAAY this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
4 tracked funds increased PIPR this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased KHC this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
5 tracked funds increased OZK this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased KIM this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
5 tracked funds increased SR this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased MNKD this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased NBR this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased TM this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
4 tracked funds increased QGEN this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased ETSY this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
4 tracked funds increased FRO this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased MSCI this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
4 tracked funds increased EQR this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
7 tracked funds increased HUBS this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
4 tracked funds increased BH-A this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased GGG this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
7 tracked funds increased BX this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
8 tracked funds increased BDC this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
4 tracked funds increased ALLO this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased MCS this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
4 tracked funds increased PODD this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased ACM this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
5 tracked funds increased FBGL this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased DCI this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
4 tracked funds increased SLNO this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased WAT this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased DOO this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
4 tracked funds increased JBLU this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased ODD this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased MRVL this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased PLUG this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased EA this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased YEXT this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
4 tracked funds increased EE this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased SN this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
5 tracked funds increased NUE this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased THRM this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased NTRS this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased KW this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
7 tracked funds increased V this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
6 tracked funds increased AVGO this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
5 tracked funds increased HDB this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased ATOM this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased PII this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased CEVA this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased SKT this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
4 tracked funds increased MMED this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased RBC this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased LTRX this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased STE this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased MGMNF this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
4 tracked funds increased MMM this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
6 tracked funds increased NOW this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased ECVT this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased NTSK this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
4 tracked funds increased GLAI this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased ISTR this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased APPF this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased SFL this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased FUBO this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
4 tracked funds increased WDAY this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased NBIX this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
4 tracked funds increased ABT this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
4 tracked funds increased UBS this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased AMRN this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
4 tracked funds increased XSLL this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased QRVO this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
4 tracked funds increased WGS this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased PUK this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased TRGP this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased SAFE this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased RUSHA this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
9 tracked funds increased PPL this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
5 tracked funds increased NFLX this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased MKC this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
7 tracked funds increased EQPT this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased CTMX this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased SXC this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased BTDR this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased NVGS this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased AGL this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased FIG this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased SONY this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased IX this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased MSFT this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased RL this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
4 tracked funds increased ESNT this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
4 tracked funds increased BULL this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased ABNB this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased WAFD this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
3 tracked funds increased ZLAB this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus
5 tracked funds increased AA this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus