2026-07-24

Cotton volume spike - 621.5× the 20-day average (11,312 vs 18 avg)

Coffee volume spike - 7.1× the 20-day average (14,168 vs 1,984 avg)

Copper volume spike - 12.7× the 20-day average (28,473 vs 2,240 avg)

Gold volume spike - 177.2× the 20-day average (112,402 vs 634 avg)

Silver volume spike - 13.6× the 20-day average (26,053 vs 1,919 avg)

Soybeans volume spike - 6.1× the 20-day average (166,916 vs 27,466 avg)

Cocoa volume spike - 3.4× the 20-day average (17,604 vs 5,125 avg)

Platinum volume spike - 26.9× the 20-day average (11,895 vs 442 avg)

RBOB Gasoline bear 6.4% vs prior close ($3.50 → $3.27)

Wheat volume spike - 2.8× the 20-day average (117,726 vs 42,086 avg)

Corn volume spike - 3.1× the 20-day average (257,469 vs 83,689 avg)

OSINT: Greek tanker with Saudi crude leaves Red Sea, transponder disabled

Polymarket order flow on "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?": $25,072 in orders from 10 wallets absorbed at the 89% level, consistent with hidden resting size on this prediction

Prediction market repriced: "Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?" moved +22pp in 24h to 62%

OSINT: NATO shoots down Russian drone over Romanian airspace

Prediction market repriced: "Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?" moved +70pp in 24h to 84%

Prediction market repriced: "Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?" moved +67pp in 24h to 92%

Prediction market repriced: "Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?" moved +68pp in 24h to 92%

Prediction market repriced: "Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?" moved -25pp in 24h to 20%

Prediction market repriced: "Will Racing Club win on 2026-07-24?" moved +25pp in 24h to 78%

Polymarket order flow on "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?": $11,416 in orders from 25 wallets absorbed at the 84% level, consistent with hidden resting size on this prediction marke

Prediction market repriced: "Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza win on 2026-07-24?" moved +38pp in 24h to 90%

Prediction market repriced: "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?" moved +22pp in 24h to 88%

Polymarket order flow on "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?": 11-level ask ladder, ~1.0pp spacing ($13,281 resting), consistent with programmatic order placement on this prediction ma

Polymarket order flow on "Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July": $39,373 in orders from 13 wallets absorbed at the 74% level, consistent with hidden resting size on this predic

Prediction market repriced: "Will Vasteraas SK win on 2026-07-24?" moved +34pp in 24h to 96%

Prediction market repriced: "Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of July 20 2026?" moved -46pp in 24h to 3%

Polymarket order flow on "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?": 6-level ask ladder, ~1.0pp spacing ($43,312 resting), consistent with programmatic order placement on this prediction mar

Prediction market repriced: "Will LeBron's next contract average $4M-$10M per year?" moved -52pp in 24h to 6%

Prediction market repriced: "Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?" moved -27pp in 24h to 18%

Prediction market repriced: "Over $30M committed to the RipCars public sale?" moved +30pp in 24h to 96%

Prediction market repriced: "Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?" moved +47pp in 24h to 91%

Polymarket order flow on "Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?": 5-level bid ladder, ~1.0pp spacing ($50,739 resting), consistent with programmatic order placement on this prediction market

Prediction market repriced: "SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 24?" moved +34pp in 24h to 93%

Prediction market repriced: "S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 24?" moved +37pp in 24h to 82%

FDA approves LITFULO (PFIZER)

4 tracked funds increased CBZ this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

4 tracked funds increased AMPX this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

5 tracked funds increased RYAAY this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

4 tracked funds increased D this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased TPG this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

5 tracked funds increased PEN this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

4 tracked funds increased PIPR this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased DOO this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased SAIL this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

4 tracked funds increased SLNO this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

4 tracked funds increased INSM this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

4 tracked funds increased GFL this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

6 tracked funds increased VYGR this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased PAYP this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

4 tracked funds increased BTE this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

5 tracked funds increased NUE this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

4 tracked funds increased JBLU this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

5 tracked funds increased LAR this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

4 tracked funds increased BBCQ this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased GRMN this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased CCLD this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased ZG this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

5 tracked funds increased EQX this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

4 tracked funds increased PICS this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased FTRE this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased AAPL this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

4 tracked funds increased BOOM this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

5 tracked funds increased ASAN this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased UPBD this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased DCI this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased KHC this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

4 tracked funds increased SPSC this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

4 tracked funds increased CBRE this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased YEXT this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased LXRX this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased OMC this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

4 tracked funds increased FC this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased ODD this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

5 tracked funds increased FBGL this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased EGHT this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

5 tracked funds increased TILE this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased WAT this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

6 tracked funds reduced OPEN this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

10 tracked funds reduced FE this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds reduced MKTX this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds reduced PINS this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds reduced TERN this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

4 tracked funds increased CRWV this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

4 tracked funds increased COIN this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased ACM this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased LCII this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased RMTI this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

4 tracked funds increased PODD this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

5 tracked funds increased SATL this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased HSTM this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

4 tracked funds increased GGB this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased CHDN this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

4 tracked funds increased YORW this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased QCOM this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

4 tracked funds increased EYPT this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

4 tracked funds increased BHVN this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased CADL this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased TALK this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

10 tracked funds increased SNAP this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased AMBQ this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased ASND this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased NWBI this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

5 tracked funds increased TER this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

5 tracked funds increased VRSN this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

4 tracked funds increased DOCS this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

5 tracked funds increased AA this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased EA this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased PLUG this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

4 tracked funds increased ALLO this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

5 tracked funds increased VSAT this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased TFX this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased ETOR this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased CMBT this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased BIOA this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased AVBP this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased PAYC this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

4 tracked funds increased PHI this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased BOC this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased NLOP this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased CRGY this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased HWM this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased IOVA this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

4 tracked funds increased AGBK this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased CI this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds reduced EQNR this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased ATO this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased NET this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

5 tracked funds increased SF this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased ADMA this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

4 tracked funds increased KBH this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

6 tracked funds increased VIK this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased NUVB this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds reduced TXG this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased CAE this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased EQT this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

8 tracked funds increased FWONA this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased RZLT this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased FLO this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased MZYX this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

6 tracked funds increased GPRK this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

4 tracked funds increased MDLN this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased HUBB this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

4 tracked funds increased VSEC this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

5 tracked funds increased VZ this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased ARTNA this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased TCRX this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

4 tracked funds increased PJT this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased TTMI this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased VST this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

4 tracked funds reduced MCHP this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

4 tracked funds reduced ADBE this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds reduced QCOM this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased RCUS this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

4 tracked funds increased HPQ this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

7 tracked funds increased CRWS this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased CLW this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

6 tracked funds increased UUUU this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased AVA this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased DRH this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

4 tracked funds increased HTO this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

4 tracked funds increased COGT this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased ENS this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased BKE this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

4 tracked funds increased CORT this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased ONC this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased KEN this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

7 tracked funds increased RDW this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

4 tracked funds increased BCS this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased FLS this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased YETI this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

4 tracked funds increased TROX this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased ESLT this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased SGI this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

4 tracked funds increased REG this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased HSY this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

4 tracked funds increased MU this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

4 tracked funds increased MUZE this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

4 tracked funds increased ZBIO this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased CLVT this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased MRVL this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased ONDS this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased KMT this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

5 tracked funds increased PGR this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased BILI this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased LNT this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

4 tracked funds increased J this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased VTEX this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased HBIO this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased KPTI this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased IQV this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased LASR this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased PBA this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

11 tracked funds increased GOLD this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

4 tracked funds increased HRI this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased MUX this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased GEVO this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

5 tracked funds increased INFQ this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

3 tracked funds increased PLRX this 2026Q1 - institutional consensus

Prediction market repriced: "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 24?" moved +28pp in 24h to 89%