Kresmion event archive
459 cross-asset events fired across commodity, crypto, equity, forex, macro. See also the Kresmion brief for 2026-07-28.
commodity (41)
- criticalFutures volume spikeSI=F
Silver volume spike - 50.8× the 20-day average (32,020 vs 630 avg)
- criticalFutures volume spikeGC=F
Gold volume spike - 390.7× the 20-day average (165,324 vs 423 avg)
- criticalFutures volume spikePL=F
Platinum volume spike - 141.1× the 20-day average (13,132 vs 93 avg)
- criticalFutures volume spikeKC=F
Coffee volume spike - 6.3× the 20-day average (21,644 vs 3,425 avg)
- criticalFutures volume spikeCT=F
Cotton volume spike - 738.5× the 20-day average (13,662 vs 18 avg)
- criticalFutures volume spikeHG=F
Copper volume spike - 22.2× the 20-day average (33,903 vs 1,525 avg)
- criticalFutures volume spikeZS=F
Soybeans volume spike - 6.3× the 20-day average (152,358 vs 24,059 avg)
- highFutures volume spikeCC=F
Cocoa volume spike - 2.4× the 20-day average (16,476 vs 6,725 avg)
- highFutures volume spikeZC=F
Corn volume spike - 2.7× the 20-day average (196,973 vs 72,407 avg)
- highOSINT energyOIL
OSINT: Kentucky Gov. Beshear Demands McConnell Resign or Prove Capacity to Serve
- highPrediction market repricedCL=F
Prediction market repriced: "Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?" moved -22pp in 24h to 4%
- highCommodityOIL
Oil -4.85%: significant decline on the session
- highPrediction market repricedCL=F
Prediction market repriced: "Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?" moved +26pp in 24h to 41%
- highOSINT energyOIL
OSINT: Kuwait Halts Oil Production Amid Unspecified Disruption
- highOSINT energyOIL
OSINT: 7.1-Magnitude Quake Hits Southern Japan, Tsunami Alert Issued
- highPrediction-market order flowCL=F
Polymarket order flow on "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?": 6-level bid ladder, ~1.0pp spacing ($11,887 resting), consistent with programmatic order placement on this predicti
- highOSINT energyOIL
OSINT: US Left Splits into Five Factions, Shaping Policy Outlook
- mediumOSINT eventOIL
OSINT: Iran launches attack on U.S. base amid regional tensions
- mediumOSINT eventOIL
OSINT: Jordan's Muwaffaq Salti Base Hosts US F-15E, F-35A, A-10C Fleet
- mediumOSINT eventOIL
OSINT: Iran Launches Attack on Jordan, Breaching Ceasefire Amid US Hostilities
- mediumCommodityOIL
Oil -1.40%: significant decline on the session
- mediumFutures price gapCL=F
WTI Crude Oil bear 4.2% vs prior close ($82.61 → $79.13)
- mediumFutures price gapBZ=F
Brent Crude Oil bear 5.2% vs prior close ($88.36 → $83.76)
- mediumFutures price gapKC=F
Coffee bull 4.9% vs prior close ($324.55 → $340.50)
- mediumOSINT eventOIL
OSINT: Brent Crude Slides >5% on Strait of Hormuz Progress
- mediumOSINT eventOIL
OSINT: Ukrainian Drone Swarms Target Moscow Daily, Raising Tensions
- mediumOSINT eventOIL
OSINT: Iran warns Ukraine against missile strikes, calling any launch a grave error
- mediumOSINT eventOIL
OSINT: Brent crude falls 4.8% to $84.09 per barrel
- mediumOSINT eventOIL
OSINT: Saudi Military Thwarts Drone Attack on Oil Facilities, Iran-Backed Militias
- mediumOSINT eventOIL
OSINT: Iran says US has not sought talks in 15 days, heightening tensions
- mediumOSINT eventENERGY
OSINT: AI-Powered Market Research Automation Platform Launches
- mediumOSINT eventOIL
OSINT: Explosion Heard by Tanker Triggers UKMTO Advisory in Southern Red Sea
- mediumOSINT eventOIL
OSINT: US Deploys Over 20 Navy Warships Across Middle East for Security
- mediumOSINT eventOIL
OSINT: EU sanctions prompt Navka to seek €2 m compensation
- mediumOSINT eventOIL
OSINT: Bogdanov Highlights Strong H1 Bank Results, Boosts MOEX Outlook
- mediumOSINT eventOIL
OSINT: Ruble Slides Moderately as Oil Prices Fall
- mediumOSINT eventOIL
OSINT: Houthis claim missile strike on Saudi oil tanker in Red Sea
- mediumOSINT eventOIL
OSINT: GCC Foreign Ministers Call for De-Escalation in Strait of Hormuz
- mediumCommodityGOLD
Gold -1.08%: significant decline on the session
- mediumOSINT eventOIL
OSINT: Zelensky Says White House Meeting with Trump Went Well
- mediumOSINT eventOIL
OSINT: Trump says new tariffs won’t damage economy
crypto (42)
- criticalPrediction market repricedBTC
Prediction market repriced: "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 28?" moved +68pp in 24h to 96%
- highPrediction market repricedETH
Prediction market repriced: "Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?" moved -24pp in 24h to 40%
- highPrediction-market order flowBTC
Polymarket order flow on "Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?": $10,804 in orders from 12 wallets absorbed at the 66% level, consistent with hidden resting size on this prediction market
- highPrediction market repricedETH
Prediction market repriced: "Ethereum Up or Down on July 28?" moved -44pp in 24h to 6%
- highPrediction market repricedBTC
Prediction market repriced: "Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?" moved +41pp in 24h to 67%
- highPrediction market repricedETH
Prediction market repriced: "Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in July?" moved +30pp in 24h to 44%
- highPrediction market repricedBTC
Prediction market repriced: "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 28?" moved -44pp in 24h to 35%
- mediumOSINT eventCRYPTO
OSINT: Morgan Stanley's Solana Staking ETF $MSOL sees $19M volume on debut
- mediumOSINT eventCRYPTO
OSINT: BulkTrade Launches BIP-1 for Near-Zero Cost Perp Market Deployment on Solana
- mediumOSINT eventCRYPTO
OSINT: SEC poised to set crypto rules if Congress stalls Clarity Act
- mediumOSINT eventCRYPTO
OSINT: New wallet pulls 10,000 ETH ($18.8M) from Bybit exchange
- mediumOSINT eventCRYPTO
OSINT: Fed Rate Hike Uncertainty Grows Amid Kevin Warsh Comments
- mediumOSINT eventCRYPTO
OSINT: Ukrainian Drone Swarms Target Moscow Daily, Raising Tensions
- mediumOSINT eventCRYPTO
OSINT: Senate to Vote on CLARITY Act After Russia Sanctions Bill
- mediumOSINT eventCRYPTO
OSINT: NVIDIA Grows Open Secure AI Alliance, Adding Dozens of Industry Leaders
- mediumOSINT eventCRYPTO
OSINT: JurassicFi to Launch World's First Tokenized Dinosaur on Solana Aug 17
- mediumOSINT eventCRYPTO
OSINT: US Senate Delays Crypto Clarity Act Amid Russia Sanctions Focus
- mediumOSINT eventCRYPTO
OSINT: Core Scientific Q2 Revenue Doubles to $164.2M, AI Colocation Leads Growth
- mediumOSINT eventCRYPTO
OSINT: SEC Chair backs CLARITY Act, odds of passage dip to 34%
- mediumOSINT eventCRYPTO
OSINT: Institutions Seek Stablecoin Layer as Assets Shift On-Chain
- mediumOSINT eventCRYPTO
OSINT: Vitalik Buterin unveils Diamond iO cryptography design
- mediumOSINT eventCRYPTO
OSINT: Bitcoin Slides Below $63K, $134M Longs Liquidated Ahead of Fed Meeting
- mediumOSINT eventCRYPTO
OSINT: Ankr launches Forge rewards platform to sustain Web3 campaign momentum
- mediumOSINT eventCRYPTO
OSINT: AI-Powered Market Research Automation Platform Launches
- mediumOSINT eventCRYPTO
OSINT: Keiko Fujimori Sworn In as Peru's First Elected Female President
- mediumOSINT eventCRYPTO
OSINT: TradFi Perpetual Open Interest Doubles, Binance Holds 35% Share
- mediumOSINT eventCRYPTO
OSINT: Peter Schiff predicts broader US stock overvaluation and larger Bitcoin selloff
- mediumOSINT eventCRYPTO
OSINT: Over 60 Crypto Firms Collapse in 2026, Most Remain Unnoticed
- mediumOSINT eventCRYPTO
OSINT: Kamino Introduces PAXG Market on Solana, Allowing Gold-Backed Crypto Loans
- mediumOSINT eventCRYPTO
OSINT: Fed Decision Looms Amid Divided Market Expectations
- mediumOSINT eventCRYPTO
OSINT: DCG's Fortitude Unveils 12 MW Zcash Mine, Cuts Costs 43%
- mediumOSINT eventCRYPTO
OSINT: Uzbekistan launches tax-free crypto mining zone, Besqala Mining Valley
- mediumOSINT eventCRYPTO
OSINT: Cramer likens AI financing to dot-com bubble
- mediumOSINT eventCRYPTO
OSINT: Bitcoin Halving Approaches: 90,000 Blocks Left
- mediumOSINT eventCRYPTO
OSINT: MetaDAO Ownership Coins Gain Attention After Strong ICOs
- mediumOSINT eventCRYPTO
OSINT: BulkTrade launches BIP-1, enabling low-cost perpetual markets on Solana
- mediumOSINT eventCRYPTO
OSINT: Market Maker Token Loans Unveiled: OTC Deals & Call Options Exposed
- mediumOSINT eventCRYPTO
OSINT: Whale Accumulation Grows as Retail Bitcoin Demand Slows
- mediumOSINT eventCRYPTO
OSINT: Saylor claims Bitcoin plagued by internal corruption, attacks BIP-110
- mediumOSINT eventCRYPTO
OSINT: Russia drafts rules for organized crypto trading, sets depository equity floor
- mediumOSINT eventCRYPTO
OSINT: Morgan Stanley Launches Ethereum and Solana Trust ETFs
- mediumOSINT eventCRYPTO
OSINT: TradFi Perpetual Futures Open Interest Doubles to $2B
equity (39)
Activist 13D filing, dividend
Prediction market repriced: "SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 28?" moved +42pp in 24h to 94%
Prediction market repriced: "S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 28?" moved +34pp in 24h to 85%
Prediction market repriced: "Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?" moved +26pp in 24h to 77%
Prediction market repriced: "Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?" moved +20pp in 24h to 74%
Prediction market repriced: "Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?" moved -26pp in 24h to 20%
- highPrediction market repriced
Prediction market repriced: "Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?" moved -22pp in 24h to 49%
Prediction market repriced: "US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?" moved -17pp in 24h to 36%
OSINT: BulkTrade Launches BIP-1 for Near-Zero Cost Perp Market Deployment on Solana
OSINT: Sweden to Establish MI6-Style Foreign Intelligence Agency
OSINT: US Insurance Stocks Hit Record Highs as Investors Shift to Defensive Sectors
OSINT: Retail investors flood US Big Tech call options, now 55% of new positions
OSINT: SEC poised to set crypto rules if Congress stalls Clarity Act
OSINT: NVIDIA Grows Open Secure AI Alliance, Adding Dozens of Industry Leaders
OSINT: Fed Rate Hike Uncertainty Grows Amid Kevin Warsh Comments
OSINT: JurassicFi to Launch World's First Tokenized Dinosaur on Solana Aug 17
OSINT: Senate to Vote on CLARITY Act After Russia Sanctions Bill
OSINT: USAF RC-135 Rivet Joint loses contact on approach to Mildenhall
OSINT: US Senate Delays Crypto Clarity Act Amid Russia Sanctions Focus
OSINT: Hunan Unveils 3-Year Talent Attraction Plan for HR Service Industry
S&P 500 MINI: speculators net short 16,784 contracts (+2.6σ vs 52w mean), still net short but far less short than usual, positioning unwinding toward long
CubeSmart search volume spiked +33 pts, unusual interest
OSINT: Core Scientific Q2 Revenue Doubles to $164.2M, AI Colocation Leads Growth
OSINT: AI-Powered Market Research Automation Platform Launches
OSINT: Vitalik Buterin unveils Diamond iO cryptography design
OSINT: Ankr launches Forge rewards platform to sustain Web3 campaign momentum
OSINT: Ukraine, Lockheed Martin Discuss Joint Production After White House Talks
OSINT: Visa to Cut 2,600 Jobs in Cost-Saving Move
OSINT: Over 60 Crypto Firms Collapse in 2026, Most Remain Unnoticed
OSINT: Peter Schiff predicts broader US stock overvaluation and larger Bitcoin selloff
OSINT: Retired Israeli F-16A Jets Moved for US Red-Air Training
NEW YORK TIMES CO search volume spiked +100 pts, unusual interest
OSINT: Cramer likens AI financing to dot-com bubble
OSINT: DCG's Fortitude Unveils 12 MW Zcash Mine, Cuts Costs 43%
OSINT: Uzbekistan launches tax-free crypto mining zone, Besqala Mining Valley
OSINT: Fed Decision Looms Amid Divided Market Expectations
OSINT: JPMorgan Last Week: Do not buy stocks right now JPMorgan This Week: Stocks are s
OSINT: Bitcoin Halving Approaches: 90,000 Blocks Left
OSINT: Singapore Explores Joining UK-Led GCAP Fighter Program
macro (48)
- highPrediction market repriced
Prediction market repriced: "Will AA Ponte Preta win on 2026-07-28?" moved +34pp in 24h to 56%
- highPrediction market repriced
Prediction market repriced: "Will Athletic Club win on 2026-07-28?" moved -32pp in 24h to 16%
- highPrediction-market order flowCL=F
Polymarket order flow on "Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?": 5-level bid ladder, ~1.0pp spacing ($23,879 resting), consistent with programmatic order placement on this prediction market
- highPrediction-market order flowCL=F
Polymarket order flow on "Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?": $10,488 in orders from 9 wallets absorbed at the 23% level, consistent with hidden resting size on this prediction market
- highPrediction market repriced
Prediction market repriced: "Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?" moved +20pp in 24h to 38%
- highPrediction market repriced
Prediction market repriced: "Will FC Thun win on 2026-07-28?" moved +58pp in 24h to 70%
- highPrediction market repriced
Prediction market repriced: "Will Rīga FC win on 2026-07-28?" moved -20pp in 24h to 54%
- highPrediction market repriced
Prediction market repriced: "Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?" moved -20pp in 24h to 70%
- highPrediction-market order flowDXY
Polymarket order flow on "Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July": $12,210 in orders from 32 wallets absorbed at the 72% level, consistent with hidden resting size on this predic
- highPrediction market repriced
Prediction market repriced: "Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 28?" moved +22pp in 24h to 24%
- mediumOSINT eventDEFENSE
OSINT: Jordan's Muwaffaq Salti Base Hosts US F-15E, F-35A, A-10C Fleet
- mediumOSINT eventDEFENSE
OSINT: Sweden to Establish MI6-Style Foreign Intelligence Agency
- mediumOSINT eventDEFENSE
OSINT: Iran launches attack on U.S. base amid regional tensions
- mediumOSINT eventSHIPPING
OSINT: Japan Deploys Defence Forces for Rescue After 7.1+ Quake Hits Kumamoto
- mediumOSINT eventDEFENSE
OSINT: Japan Deploys Defence Forces for Rescue After 7.1+ Quake Hits Kumamoto
- mediumOSINT eventDEFENSE
OSINT: Iran Launches Attack on Jordan, Breaching Ceasefire Amid US Hostilities
- mediumOSINT eventSHIPPING
OSINT: Brent Crude Slides >5% on Strait of Hormuz Progress
- mediumOSINT eventDEFENSE
OSINT: Ukrainian Drone Swarms Target Moscow Daily, Raising Tensions
- mediumOSINT eventDEFENSE
OSINT: Iran warns Ukraine against missile strikes, calling any launch a grave error
- mediumPrediction market repriced
Prediction market repriced: "Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?" moved +15pp in 24h to 30%
- mediumOSINT eventDEFENSE
OSINT: USAF RC-135 Rivet Joint loses contact on approach to Mildenhall
- mediumOSINT eventSHIPPING
OSINT: Changsha Watermelon Prices Plummet as Free Distribution Begins
- mediumPrediction market repriced
Prediction market repriced: "Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?" moved +15pp in 24h to 64%
- mediumOSINT eventDEFENSE
OSINT: Saudi Military Thwarts Drone Attack on Oil Facilities, Iran-Backed Militias
- mediumOSINT eventDEFENSE
OSINT: Iran says US has not sought talks in 15 days, heightening tensions
- mediumVIXVIX
VIX at 18.2: CAUTION territory
- mediumOSINT eventDEFENSE
OSINT: AI-Powered Market Research Automation Platform Launches
- mediumOSINT eventSHIPPING
OSINT: Explosion Heard by Tanker Triggers UKMTO Advisory in Southern Red Sea
- mediumPrediction market repriced
Prediction market repriced: "Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-07-28?" moved -18pp in 24h to 36%
- mediumPrediction market repriced
Prediction market repriced: "U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?" moved +19pp in 24h to 24%
- mediumOSINT eventSHIPPING
OSINT: US Deploys Over 20 Navy Warships Across Middle East for Security
- mediumOSINT eventDEFENSE
OSINT: EU sanctions prompt Navka to seek €2 m compensation
- mediumOSINT eventSHIPPING
OSINT: EU sanctions prompt Navka to seek €2 m compensation
- mediumOSINT eventDEFENSE
OSINT: US Deploys Over 20 Navy Warships Across Middle East for Security
- mediumOSINT eventDEFENSE
OSINT: Ukraine, Lockheed Martin Discuss Joint Production After White House Talks
- mediumOSINT eventDEFENSE
OSINT: Retired Israeli F-16A Jets Moved for US Red-Air Training
- mediumPrediction market repriced
Prediction market repriced: "Will NK Celje win on 2026-07-28?" moved -17pp in 24h to 52%
- mediumOSINT eventDEFENSE
OSINT: Houthis claim missile strike on Saudi oil tanker in Red Sea
- mediumOSINT eventSHIPPING
OSINT: Houthis claim missile strike on Saudi oil tanker in Red Sea
- mediumOSINT eventDEFENSE
OSINT: Singapore Explores Joining UK-Led GCAP Fighter Program
- mediumPrediction-market order flowDXY
Polymarket order flow on "Fed rate hike in 2026?": 4-level bid ladder, ~1.0pp spacing ($17,012 resting), consistent with programmatic order placement on this prediction market
- mediumPrediction market repriced
Prediction market repriced: "Will Apóllon Lemesoú win on 2026-07-28?" moved +18pp in 24h to 90%
- mediumOSINT eventSHIPPING
OSINT: GCC Foreign Ministers Call for De-Escalation in Strait of Hormuz
- mediumOSINT eventDEFENSE
OSINT: Air Force to Rename Joint Base Charleston for Sen. Lindsey Graham
- mediumOSINT eventSHIPPING
OSINT: Air Force to Rename Joint Base Charleston for Sen. Lindsey Graham
- mediumOSINT eventDEFENSE
OSINT: Zelensky Says White House Meeting with Trump Went Well
- mediumOSINT eventDEFENSE
OSINT: France Accused of Allowing Small Boat Crossings Despite UK Funding
- mediumOSINT eventSHIPPING
OSINT: Trump says new tariffs won’t damage economy
forex (30)
- mediumOSINT eventFOREX
OSINT: Iran launches attack on U.S. base amid regional tensions
- mediumOSINT eventFOREX
OSINT: Sweden to Establish MI6-Style Foreign Intelligence Agency
- mediumOSINT eventFOREX
OSINT: UK Household Inflation Expectations Slip to 3.4% in July
- mediumOSINT eventFOREX
OSINT: Japan Deploys Defence Forces for Rescue After 7.1+ Quake Hits Kumamoto
- mediumOSINT eventFOREX
OSINT: Iran Launches Attack on Jordan, Breaching Ceasefire Amid US Hostilities
- mediumOSINT eventFOREX
OSINT: Iran warns Ukraine against missile strikes, calling any launch a grave error
- mediumOSINT eventFOREX
OSINT: Brent Crude Slides >5% on Strait of Hormuz Progress
- mediumOSINT eventFOREX
OSINT: Senate to Vote on CLARITY Act After Russia Sanctions Bill
- mediumOSINT eventFOREX
OSINT: Fed Rate Hike Uncertainty Grows Amid Kevin Warsh Comments
- mediumOSINT eventFOREX
OSINT: Ukrainian Drone Swarms Target Moscow Daily, Raising Tensions
- mediumOSINT eventFOREX
OSINT: Hunan Unveils 3-Year Talent Attraction Plan for HR Service Industry
- mediumCrowded short positioningEURUSD
EUR/USD: speculators net short 41,338 contracts (-2.5σ vs 52w mean), crowded short positioning, contrarian bull signal
- mediumOSINT eventFOREX
OSINT: Saudi Military Thwarts Drone Attack on Oil Facilities, Iran-Backed Militias
- mediumOSINT eventFOREX
OSINT: Iran says US has not sought talks in 15 days, heightening tensions
- mediumOSINT eventFOREX
OSINT: Institutions Seek Stablecoin Layer as Assets Shift On-Chain
- mediumOSINT eventFOREX
OSINT: Brent crude falls 4.8% to $84.09 per barrel
- mediumOSINT eventFOREX
OSINT: Bitcoin Slides Below $63K, $134M Longs Liquidated Ahead of Fed Meeting
- mediumOSINT eventFOREX
OSINT: AI-Powered Market Research Automation Platform Launches
- mediumOSINT eventFOREX
OSINT: Keiko Fujimori Sworn In as Peru's First Elected Female President
- mediumOSINT eventFOREX
OSINT: EU sanctions prompt Navka to seek €2 m compensation
- mediumOSINT eventFOREX
OSINT: TradFi Perpetual Open Interest Doubles, Binance Holds 35% Share
- mediumOSINT eventFOREX
OSINT: Bogdanov Highlights Strong H1 Bank Results, Boosts MOEX Outlook
- mediumOSINT eventFOREX
OSINT: Ruble Slides Moderately as Oil Prices Fall
- mediumOSINT eventFOREX
OSINT: Fed Decision Looms Amid Divided Market Expectations
- mediumOSINT eventFOREX
OSINT: VTB cuts dividend payout, cannot allocate 50% of profit to shareholders in 2026
- mediumOSINT eventFOREX
OSINT: GCC Foreign Ministers Call for De-Escalation in Strait of Hormuz
- mediumOSINT eventFOREX
OSINT: Russia drafts rules for organized crypto trading, sets depository equity floor
- mediumOSINT eventFOREX
OSINT: Zelensky Says White House Meeting with Trump Went Well
- mediumOSINT eventFOREX
OSINT: OPEC+ likely to pause oil output hikes after September for the rest of 2026, per
- mediumOSINT eventFOREX
OSINT: Trump says new tariffs won’t damage economy