Kresmion signals archive
149 cross-asset signals fired across commodity, crypto, equity, forex, macro.
crypto (23)
Prediction market repriced: "Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?" moved -22pp in 24h to 52%
Prediction market repriced: "Will Solana dip to $70 in July?" moved -22pp in 24h to 13%
OSINT: Australia regulator sues Telegram over alleged pro-terror content
OSINT: Spot ETF Flows Show Inflows for BTC, SOL, XRP, Outflow for ETH on July 29
OSINT: Ark Invest Dumps Crypto-Related Stocks Worth $5.3M
OSINT: Analyst Caprioleio Calls Bitcoin Undervalued, Signals Optimism
OSINT: Solana Block Capacity Rises 66% After SIMD-0286 Activation
OSINT: Arthur Hayes warns of three triggers that could burst AI hype bubble
OSINT: OpenAI Models Escape Sandbox, Attempt to Cheat in UC Berkeley Cyber Test
OSINT: Bitcoin July Spot Volume May Reach Lowest Since Nov 2023
OSINT: CLARITY Act May Bridge CeFi, TradFi and DeFi, Says 1inch CLO
OSINT: Survey: 69% of Americans Say Rising Costs Threaten Retirement
OSINT: AI Startup Polsia Targets $10M Revenue with Zero Employees
OSINT: Key Macro Data Release Scheduled for July 30, 2026
OSINT: S&P 500 rebounds, posts gain after Fed holds rates steady
OSINT: Russia's Top Crypto Miner Founder Detained Over $10M Fraud Allegations
OSINT: US Dollar Slides as Fed Holds Rates, Rate-Hike Bets Ease
OSINT: Lazarus Group transfers $7.7M in Bitcoin
OSINT: Ethereum Foundation appoints SEAL 911 co-founder pcaversaccio to board
Prediction market repriced: "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 30?" moved +18pp in 24h to 64%
OSINT: Trump claims US leads China in AI development
OSINT: Crypto Whale Takes $2.26M Loss on $SKHX After $34M Long Position
Polymarket order flow on "Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?": 4-level ask ladder, ~1.0pp spacing ($12,838 resting), consistent with programmatic order placement on this prediction market
macro (34)
Polymarket order flow on "Fed rate hike in 2026?": 5-level bid ladder, ~1.0pp spacing ($258,454 resting), consistent with programmatic order placement on this prediction market
- highPROBABILITY_SHIFT
Prediction market repriced: "Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?" moved -20pp in 24h to 12%
Polymarket order flow on "Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?": $27,374 in orders from 14 wallets absorbed at the 25% level, consistent with hidden resting size on this prediction market
OSINT: Ukrainian strike hits Russia's Taman oil export terminal
OSINT: Saudi Arabia Pushes for International Coalition to Safeguard Red Sea Shipping
OSINT: Saudi Arabia Pushes for International Coalition to Safeguard Red Sea Shipping
OSINT: Ukraine's Drone Strikes Outpace Russian Counter-Drones in Recent Month
OSINT: US-Iran clash escalates, hits Hormuz shipping; Black Sea fighting intensifies
OSINT: US-Iran clash escalates, hits Hormuz shipping; Black Sea fighting intensifies
OSINT: 15+ Killed in Checkpoint Attack in Pakistan
OSINT: Ukrainian drone hits Wildberries distribution hub in Udmurtia
OSINT: Ukrainian drone hits Wildberries distribution hub in Udmurtia
OSINT: US Senate Completes Second Vote on Graham Sanctions Bill Targeting Russia
OSINT: Ukraine port strikes hit grain exports, pressure economy
OSINT: US Senate Completes Second Vote on Graham Sanctions Bill Targeting Russia
OSINT: China's Auto Exports Slip Into Deep-Water Zone
OSINT: OpenAI Models Escape Sandbox, Attempt to Cheat in UC Berkeley Cyber Test
- mediumPROBABILITY_SHIFT
Prediction market repriced: "Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?" moved +18pp in 24h to 20%
OSINT: Russia readies massive missile and drone strike on Ukraine
OSINT: Russia readies massive missile and drone strike on Ukraine
OSINT: US CENTCOM redirects 20 vessels, disables 2, boards 2 amid Iran blockade
OSINT: US CENTCOM redirects 20 vessels, disables 2, boards 2 amid Iran blockade
VIX at 20.7: CAUTION territory
OSINT: U.S. CENTCOM launches heavy airstrike on Iran after missile attacks
OSINT: U.S. CENTCOM launches heavy airstrike on Iran after missile attacks
OSINT: Air raid sirens sound in Poland as Russia attacks Western Ukraine
OSINT: Intense Airstrikes Hit Ahvaz, Iran, Escalating Regional Tensions
OSINT: Intense Airstrikes Hit Ahvaz, Iran, Escalating Regional Tensions
OSINT: US HIMARS strike hits Iran from Kuwait, raising Middle East tensions
OSINT: Trump claims US leads China in AI development
- mediumPROBABILITY_SHIFT
Prediction market repriced: "Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?" moved -16pp in 24h to 22%
Polymarket order flow on "Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the Se": 4-level bid ladder, ~0.1pp spacing ($15,124 resting), consistent with programmatic order placement on this pred
Polymarket order flow on "Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?": 4-level ask ladder, ~1.0pp spacing ($45,752 resting), consistent with programmatic order placement on this prediction market
Financial conditions loosening: NFCI at -0.55, liquidity supportive
equity (47)
Polymarket order flow on "US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?": 9-level bid ladder, ~1.0pp spacing ($10,581 resting), consistent with programmatic order placement on this prediction market
OSINT: Australia regulator sues Telegram over alleged pro-terror content
OSINT: Fed Holds Rates Amid Uncertainty, Markets React
OSINT: JPMorgan Signals Broad Stock Buy Opportunity
OSINT: Ark Invest Dumps Crypto-Related Stocks Worth $5.3M
OSINT: Ukrainian drone hits Wildberries distribution hub in Udmurtia
OSINT: TSE morning closing, Nikkei average rebounds 784 yen higher on the back of risin
OSINT: Solana Block Capacity Rises 66% After SIMD-0286 Activation
OSINT: AI Startup Polsia Targets $10M Revenue with Zero Employees
OSINT: China's Auto Exports Slip Into Deep-Water Zone
OSINT: Arthur Hayes warns of three triggers that could burst AI hype bubble
OSINT: OpenAI Models Escape Sandbox, Attempt to Cheat in UC Berkeley Cyber Test
OSINT: CLARITY Act May Bridge CeFi, TradFi and DeFi, Says 1inch CLO
OSINT: Survey: 69% of Americans Say Rising Costs Threaten Retirement
OSINT: Fed Chair Warsh Highlights Resilient US Economy Amid Elevated Inflation
OSINT: Apple stock reaches record high as earnings approach, options signal 3.8% jump
OSINT: S&P 500 rebounds, posts gain after Fed holds rates steady
CubeSmart search volume spiked +33 pts, unusual interest
OSINT: Russia's Top Crypto Miner Founder Detained Over $10M Fraud Allegations
OSINT: US Dollar Slides as Fed Holds Rates, Rate-Hike Bets Ease
OSINT: US Firms Show Highest 5-Year Survival Rate Among Major Economies
OSINT: Trump claims US leads China in AI development
POWERCOMPUTE, INC. 8-K references BTC treasury activity · filed 2026-07-29
QQQ RSI 21.8, oversold (crossed below 30)
Q2-2026: Beat consensus by 7.4%, EPS $0.43 vs $0.4003 estimate
Q2-2026: Beat consensus by 13.2%, EPS $1.85 vs $1.6337 estimate
Q2-2026: Beat consensus by 31.6%, EPS $-0.17 vs $-0.2484 estimate
Q2-2026: Beat consensus by 9.8%, EPS $0.56 vs $0.51 estimate
Q2-2026: Missed consensus by 107.9%, EPS $-0.06 vs $0.7637 estimate
Q2-2026: Beat consensus by 59.6%, EPS $4.17 vs $2.6134 estimate
Q4-2026: Beat consensus by 24.8%, EPS $0.35 vs $0.2805 estimate
Q2-2026: Beat consensus by 31.1%, EPS $0.43 vs $0.3279 estimate
Q2-2026: Beat consensus by 19.7%, EPS $1.62 vs $1.3532 estimate
Q2-2026: Beat consensus by 15.3%, EPS $0.12 vs $0.1041 estimate
Q2-2026: Missed consensus by 8.9%, EPS $1.37 vs $1.5035 estimate
Q2-2026: Beat consensus by 6.3%, EPS $0.31 vs $0.2915 estimate
Q2-2026: Beat consensus by 10.5%, EPS $3.13 vs $2.8318 estimate
Q2-2026: Beat consensus by 21.6%, EPS $-0.04 vs $-0.051 estimate
Q2-2026: Missed consensus by 22.9%, EPS $0.38 vs $0.493 estimate
Q2-2026: Beat consensus by 5.9%, EPS $0.54 vs $0.51 estimate
Q2-2026: Missed consensus by 9.1%, EPS $0.57 vs $0.6271 estimate
Q2-2026: Missed consensus by 25.2%, EPS $0.34 vs $0.4545 estimate
Q4-2026: Missed consensus by 12.9%, EPS $1.08 vs $1.2393 estimate
Q2-2026: Missed consensus by 9.3%, EPS $-1.75 vs $-1.6008 estimate
Q2-2026: Beat consensus by 8.4%, EPS $0.75 vs $0.6919 estimate
Q2-2026: Beat consensus by 20.3%, EPS $1.26 vs $1.047 estimate
Q2-2026: Missed consensus by 5.5%, EPS $-0.8986 vs $-0.8517 estimate
commodity (17)
OSINT: Intense Airstrikes Hit Ahvaz, Iran, Escalating Regional Tensions
OSINT: Saudi Arabia Pushes for International Coalition to Safeguard Red Sea Shipping
OSINT: Ukrainian strike hits Russia's Taman oil export terminal
OSINT: Ukraine's Drone Strikes Outpace Russian Counter-Drones in Recent Month
OSINT: US-Iran clash escalates, hits Hormuz shipping; Black Sea fighting intensifies
OSINT: 15+ Killed in Checkpoint Attack in Pakistan
Oil +1.17%: significant gain on the session
OSINT: US Senate Completes Second Vote on Graham Sanctions Bill Targeting Russia
Gold +1.59%: significant gain on the session
OSINT: China's Auto Exports Slip Into Deep-Water Zone
OSINT: Russia readies massive missile and drone strike on Ukraine
OSINT: Key Macro Data Release Scheduled for July 30, 2026
OSINT: US CENTCOM redirects 20 vessels, disables 2, boards 2 amid Iran blockade
OSINT: U.S. CENTCOM launches heavy airstrike on Iran after missile attacks
OSINT: Air raid sirens sound in Poland as Russia attacks Western Ukraine
OSINT: US HIMARS strike hits Iran from Kuwait, raising Middle East tensions
OSINT: Intense Airstrikes Hit Ahvaz, Iran, Escalating Regional Tensions
forex (28)
OSINT: Saudi Arabia Pushes for International Coalition to Safeguard Red Sea Shipping
OSINT: Ukrainian strike hits Russia's Taman oil export terminal
OSINT: Fed Holds Rates Amid Uncertainty, Markets React
OSINT: Ukraine's Drone Strikes Outpace Russian Counter-Drones in Recent Month
OSINT: US-Iran clash escalates, hits Hormuz shipping; Black Sea fighting intensifies
OSINT: Ukraine port strikes hit grain exports, pressure economy
OSINT: British Museum Launches 150-Year Japanese Sliding-Door Art Exhibition
OSINT: US Senate Completes Second Vote on Graham Sanctions Bill Targeting Russia
OSINT: Yen rises to ~¥163 per dollar after FOMC and Fed Chair briefing
OSINT: High Yields on Long-Term Russian OFZs Persist, Finance Ministry’s Options Limite
OSINT: Arthur Hayes warns of three triggers that could burst AI hype bubble
OSINT: China's Auto Exports Slip Into Deep-Water Zone
OSINT: CLARITY Act May Bridge CeFi, TradFi and DeFi, Says 1inch CLO
OSINT: Survey: 69% of Americans Say Rising Costs Threaten Retirement
OSINT: Russia readies massive missile and drone strike on Ukraine
OSINT: S&P 500 rebounds, posts gain after Fed holds rates steady
OSINT: Key Macro Data Release Scheduled for July 30, 2026
OSINT: US CENTCOM redirects 20 vessels, disables 2, boards 2 amid Iran blockade
OSINT: Fed Chair Warsh Highlights Resilient US Economy Amid Elevated Inflation
OSINT: Russia's Top Crypto Miner Founder Detained Over $10M Fraud Allegations
OSINT: US Dollar Slides as Fed Holds Rates, Rate-Hike Bets Ease
OSINT: U.S. CENTCOM launches heavy airstrike on Iran after missile attacks
OSINT: Air raid sirens sound in Poland as Russia attacks Western Ukraine
OSINT: Intense Airstrikes Hit Ahvaz, Iran, Escalating Regional Tensions
OSINT: US Firms Show Highest 5-Year Survival Rate Among Major Economies
OSINT: Trump claims US leads China in AI development
OSINT: US HIMARS strike hits Iran from Kuwait, raising Middle East tensions
DXY -0.49%, dollar weakness signal
