Kresmion signals archive
75 cross-asset signals fired across commodity, crypto, equity, forex, macro. See also the Kresmion brief for 2026-09-13.
equity (19)
3 insiders at CRWV sold $42.1M this week
3 insiders at KIDS sold $19.1M this week
2 insiders at HNGE sold $27.3M this week
5 insiders at DELL sold $143.8M this week
6 insiders at ESTC sold $18.8M this week
3 insiders at CRWV sold $42.1M this week
3 insiders at KIDS sold $19.1M this week
2 insiders at HNGE sold $27.3M this week
5 insiders at DELL sold $143.8M this week
OSINT: Mystical Marketing Campaign Sparks Consumer Backlash Over Lack of Empathy
AAPL RSI 70.6, overbought (crossed above 70)
ABEONA THERAPEUTICS INC. search volume spiked +100 pts, unusual interest
OSINT: US Stock Capital Flight Peaks as Fed Rate Hike Looms
AAPL RSI 70.6, overbought (crossed above 70)
OSINT: DeepSeek ($500B) targets STAR Market with CITIC as sponsor
ABEONA THERAPEUTICS INC. search volume spiked +100 pts, unusual interest
OSINT: AI Takes Control of Petrochemical and Industrial Machinery, Says Sina Finance
OSINT: Sweden faces government shift as migration policy stays firm
OSINT: WSJ: Over-65s Now Hold Majority of Economic Wealth
commodity (13)
OSINT: Iran launches anti-ship missile at commercial vessel in US-secured Strait of Hor
OSINT: Ukraine Navy Shows USV-to-USV Combat Using Sargan 3000 Drone
OSINT: Putin says BRICS to offset sanctions, boost intra-bloc trade
Arctic ice extent 4.60 Mkm² on 2026-09-11 - -1.63 vs 1981-2010 median (-26.1%); NSR open: False
OSINT: Iran launches anti-ship missile at commercial vessel in US-secured Strait of Hor
OSINT: Ukrainian drones hit Russia's Slavyansk ECO refinery, igniting fire
OSINT: Ukraine uses surplus Sea Sparrow missiles on FrankenBuk to down Russian drones
OSINT: Enemy attack cuts power to multiple Mykolaiv districts
OSINT: Ship Attacked in Strait of Hormuz Raises Tensions
OSINT: Ukrainian Drone Strike Ignites Fuel Tanks at Russia's Taganrog Airbase
OSINT: Missile strike hits strategic site near 47.235058,38.857352 in eastern Ukraine
OSINT: AI Takes Control of Petrochemical and Industrial Machinery, Says Sina Finance
OSINT: US blocks 100 commercial vessels amid Iran blockade tensions
macro (21)
Polymarket order flow on "Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the Sept": $11,328 in orders from 29 wallets absorbed at the 20% level, consistent with hidden resting size on this predic
tanker_freight_etf shipping +11.8%, potential inflation signal
- highPROBABILITY_SHIFT
Prediction market repriced: "Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-09-12?" moved -34pp in 24h to 16%
- highPROBABILITY_SHIFT
Prediction market repriced: "Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-09-12?" moved -26pp in 24h to 2%
- mediumALGO_FLOW
Polymarket order flow on "Fed rate hike in 2026?": 4-level bid ladder, ~1.0pp spacing ($38,600 resting), consistent with programmatic order placement on this prediction market
- mediumPROBABILITY_SHIFT
Prediction market repriced: "Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by Se" moved -16pp in 24h to 26%
OSINT: Iran launches anti-ship missile at commercial vessel in US-secured Strait of Hor
OSINT: Iran launches anti-ship missile at commercial vessel in US-secured Strait of Hor
- mediumPROBABILITY_SHIFT
Prediction market repriced: "Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?" moved -16pp in 24h to 30%
OSINT: Ukrainian drones hit Russia's Slavyansk ECO refinery, igniting fire
Polymarket order flow on "Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?": 4-level ask ladder, ~1.0pp spacing ($38,072 resting), consistent with programmatic order placement on this prediction market
OSINT: Ukraine uses surplus Sea Sparrow missiles on FrankenBuk to down Russian drones
- mediumPROBABILITY_SHIFT
Prediction market repriced: "Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?" moved +16pp in 24h to 34%
OSINT: Enemy attack cuts power to multiple Mykolaiv districts
OSINT: Ship Attacked in Strait of Hormuz Raises Tensions
OSINT: Ukrainian Drone Strike Ignites Fuel Tanks at Russia's Taganrog Airbase
OSINT: Missile strike hits strategic site near 47.235058,38.857352 in eastern Ukraine
Financial conditions loosening: NFCI at -0.56, liquidity supportive
- mediumALGO_FLOW
Polymarket order flow on "Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the Sep": 4-level bid ladder, ~1.0pp spacing ($378,727 resting), consistent with programmatic order placement on this pre
OSINT: Sweden faces government shift as migration policy stays firm
OSINT: US blocks 100 commercial vessels amid Iran blockade tensions
crypto (5)
OSINT: Argentina's Milei Faces Mixed Sentiment as Reforms Stall
SOL DEX volume/liquidity ratio elevated (1.12x): on-chain trade volume 1.12x liquidity
OSINT: US Stock Capital Flight Peaks as Fed Rate Hike Looms
Prediction market repriced: "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 13?" moved -15pp in 24h to 8%
Polymarket order flow on "Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?": 4-level ask ladder, ~1.0pp spacing ($75,852 resting), consistent with programmatic order placement on this prediction market
forex (17)
OSINT: Argentina's Milei Faces Mixed Sentiment as Reforms Stall
OSINT: Putin says BRICS to offset sanctions, boost intra-bloc trade
OSINT: Iran launches anti-ship missile at commercial vessel in US-secured Strait of Hor
OSINT: Ukrainian drones hit Russia's Slavyansk ECO refinery, igniting fire
OSINT: US Stock Capital Flight Peaks as Fed Rate Hike Looms
OSINT: Hong Kong Philharmonic Performs in Chengdu, Celebrating Pandas with Music
OSINT: A-shares plunge to YTD lows as institutions prep for two major events
OSINT: Enemy attack cuts power to multiple Mykolaiv districts
OSINT: Wuhan's First Post-Policy Land Auction Sells 8 Plots at 14.1% Premium
OSINT: DeepSeek ($500B) targets STAR Market with CITIC as sponsor
OSINT: Ship Attacked in Strait of Hormuz Raises Tensions
OSINT: Missile strike hits strategic site near 47.235058,38.857352 in eastern Ukraine
OSINT: Ukrainian Drone Strike Ignites Fuel Tanks at Russia's Taganrog Airbase
OSINT: Sweden faces government shift as migration policy stays firm
OSINT: US blocks 100 commercial vessels amid Iran blockade tensions
OSINT: WSJ: Over-65s Now Hold Majority of Economic Wealth
OSINT: Buttigieg dismisses Trump's $5,000 payment pledge as unrealistic