2026-09-13

Silver volume spike - 35.0× the 20-day average (52,640 vs 1,504 avg)

Corn volume spike - 4.6× the 20-day average (387,147 vs 84,834 avg)

Platinum volume spike - 1854.4× the 20-day average (17,431 vs 9 avg)

Gold volume spike - 214.2× the 20-day average (185,690 vs 866 avg)

Cocoa volume spike - 4.4× the 20-day average (14,585 vs 3,321 avg)

Coffee volume spike - 5.8× the 20-day average (14,448 vs 2,506 avg)

Soybeans volume spike - 22.0× the 20-day average (245,874 vs 11,173 avg)

Copper volume spike - 17.7× the 20-day average (41,484 vs 2,342 avg)

Wheat volume spike - 2.8× the 20-day average (88,251 vs 30,980 avg)

OSINT: Oil Prices Surge as OPEC+ Extends Production Cuts, Kobeissi Letter Reports

OSINT: Iran seeks membership in BRICS New Development Bank

Prediction market repriced: "Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?" moved +22pp in 24h to 55%

Polymarket order flow on "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?": 5-level bid ladder, ~1.0pp spacing ($18,177 resting), consistent with programmatic order placement on this predic

OSINT: Iran launches anti-ship missile at commercial vessel in US-secured Strait of Hor

OSINT: Ukraine Navy Shows USV-to-USV Combat Using Sargan 3000 Drone

Prediction market repriced: "Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?" moved -17pp in 24h to 45%

OSINT: Trump urges Ukraine to halt attacks on Russian diesel plants

Prediction market repriced: "Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?" moved +18pp in 24h to 51%

GOLD RSI 28.9, oversold (crossed below 30)

Oil +3.14%: significant gain on the session

Heating Oil fell 5.7% vs prior close ($5.06 → $4.77)

OSINT: US Diesel Prices Hit Record $6.20/gal, California Peaks at $8.14

Prediction market repriced: "Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?" moved +17pp in 24h to 70%

NATURAL GAS: speculators net long 268,533 contracts, 67.00% of open interest (+2.4σ vs 3y mean), crowded long positioning

OSINT: Irish Air Force Tracks Russian Shadow Tanker Near West Ireland

OSINT: US Inflation Data Raises Monetary Policy Concerns

OSINT: Private Data Center Construction Surges in Dec 2023, WSJ Reports

OSINT: Natural Gas Hits New All-Time High of $5.85

OSINT: Costco Rations Motor Oil Amid Iranian Conflict, Limits Purchases

OSINT: Ukrainian Precision Strike Kills Senior Russian General

OSINT: Iranian hardliners sabotage US peace deal, hit commercial shipping

OSINT: US Consumer Inflation Expectations Jump to 4.6% for Next Year

OSINT: Russian drones hit medical teams in Kherson, destroying ambulance

OSINT: Russian drones drop antipersonnel mines in Kherson, injuring civilian

OSINT: Poland ramps up border readiness amid rising Russian attacks

OSINT: Polish FM Sikorski claims Poland could repel Russian attack with air superiority

OSINT: Missile strike hits fuel depot near Brest, Belarus

OSINT: Tanker Hit by Unknown Projectile in Strait of Hormuz Catches Fire

OSINT: Russia brings 100k+ Central Asian workers to occupied Ukraine

OSINT: Spain Bars US Air Force Flights Over Iran Conflict, Tanker Rerouted

OSINT: Trump-linked move raises concerns over Russian gasoline supply

OSINT: Polish PM Tusk Calls Emergency Meeting After Drone Attack on Kyiv-Bound Train

OSINT: Saudi East-West Pipeline Closure Threatens 4% Global Oil Supply

OSINT: Russia hires 30k mercenaries, eyeing 50k North Korean troops for Ukraine

OSINT: Iranian cargo ship struck near Qeshm Island, crew casualties, US blamed

OSINT: Russian Drone Strike Hits Polish Petrol Station Near Yahodyn Border

OSINT: Drone breaches Lithuanian airspace, heads to Kaliningrad, probing NATO defenses

OSINT: Upcoming Economic Calendar Event Scheduled

OSINT: Putin says BRICS to offset sanctions, boost intra-bloc trade

Arctic ice extent 4.60 Mkm² on 2026-09-11 - -1.63 vs 1981-2010 median (-26.1%); NSR open: False

OSINT: Iran launches anti-ship missile at commercial vessel in US-secured Strait of Hor

Prediction market repriced: "Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary ele" moved -66pp in 24h to 10%

Prediction market repriced: "Will Caliste Win the LEC 2026 Summer Split MVP?" moved -60pp in 24h to 2%

tanker_freight_etf shipping +11.8%, potential inflation signal

Prediction market repriced: "No one announced as next James Bond?" moved -21pp in 24h to 23%

Prediction market repriced: "Will New England Revolution win on 2026-09-13?" moved +56pp in 24h to 82%

Prediction market repriced: "Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-09-13?" moved -36pp in 24h to 40%

Prediction market repriced: "Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?" moved +21pp in 24h to 42%

Prediction market repriced: "Will CF Universidad de Chile win on 2026-09-13?" moved +42pp in 24h to 94%

Prediction market repriced: "Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-09-13?" moved +48pp in 24h to 82%

Prediction market repriced: "Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary el" moved +44pp in 24h to 68%

Prediction market repriced: "Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?" moved +24pp in 24h to 90%

Prediction market repriced: "Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?" moved -24pp in 24h to 9%

Prediction market repriced: "Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election?" moved +28pp in 24h to 96%

Prediction market repriced: "Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-09-13?" moved -22pp in 24h to 52%

Prediction market repriced: "Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary" moved -52pp in 24h to 26%

Prediction market repriced: "Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-09-13?" moved -39pp in 24h to 18%

Polymarket order flow on "Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the Se": 6-level bid ladder, ~0.1pp spacing ($11,013 resting), consistent with programmatic order placement on this pred

Prediction market repriced: "Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?" moved +21pp in 24h to 46%

Prediction market repriced: "Will IK Start win on 2026-09-13?" moved +25pp in 24h to 54%

Polymarket order flow on "Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the Sep": $14,521 in orders from 12 wallets absorbed at the 21% level, consistent with hidden resting size on this predic

Prediction market repriced: "Will AC Monza win on 2026-09-13?" moved -30pp in 24h to 4%

Prediction market repriced: "Will Hertha BSC win on 2026-09-13?" moved +28pp in 24h to 74%

Prediction market repriced: "Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-09-13?" moved +24pp in 24h to 80%

Prediction market repriced: "Will Tōkyō Verdy win on 2026-09-13?" moved -35pp in 24h to 7%

Prediction market repriced: "Will SBV Excelsior win on 2026-09-13?" moved -28pp in 24h to 14%

Polymarket order flow on "Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the Sept": $11,328 in orders from 29 wallets absorbed at the 20% level, consistent with hidden resting size on this predic

Prediction market repriced: "Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-09-12?" moved -34pp in 24h to 16%

Prediction market repriced: "Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-09-12?" moved -26pp in 24h to 2%

OSINT: US Diesel Prices Hit Record $6.20/gal, California Peaks at $8.14

OSINT: Irish Air Force Tracks Russian Shadow Tanker Near West Ireland

OSINT: Irish Air Force Tracks Russian Shadow Tanker Near West Ireland

OSINT: AI Development Speed Outpaces Safety Safeguards, Industry Leaders Warn

OSINT: Buffett Proposes Ban on Congressional Reelection to Slash Deficit

OSINT: Ukrainian Precision Strike Kills Senior Russian General

OSINT: Iranian hardliners sabotage US peace deal, hit commercial shipping

OSINT: Swedish Exit Poll Forecasts Left-Wing Coalition, Signals Market Concerns

Polymarket order flow on "Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 ": 4-level bid ladder, ~1.0pp spacing ($18,290 resting), consistent with programmatic order placement on this pred

OSINT: Russian drones hit medical teams in Kherson, destroying ambulance

OSINT: Poland ramps up border readiness amid rising Russian attacks

OSINT: Russian drones drop antipersonnel mines in Kherson, injuring civilian

OSINT: Polish FM Sikorski claims Poland could repel Russian attack with air superiority

OSINT: Missile strike hits fuel depot near Brest, Belarus

Prediction market repriced: "Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?" moved +16pp in 24h to 44%

Prediction market repriced: "Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?" moved +16pp in 24h to 70%

OSINT: Tanker Hit by Unknown Projectile in Strait of Hormuz Catches Fire

Polymarket order flow on "Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the Sept": 4-level bid ladder, ~1.0pp spacing ($27,875 resting), consistent with programmatic order placement on this pred

OSINT: Spain Bars US Air Force Flights Over Iran Conflict, Tanker Rerouted

OSINT: Spain Bars US Air Force Flights Over Iran Conflict, Tanker Rerouted

OSINT: Russia brings 100k+ Central Asian workers to occupied Ukraine

Prediction market repriced: "Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?" moved +15pp in 24h to 37%

OSINT: Polish PM Tusk Calls Emergency Meeting After Drone Attack on Kyiv-Bound Train

OSINT: Polish PM Tusk Calls Emergency Meeting After Drone Attack on Kyiv-Bound Train

OSINT: Russia hires 30k mercenaries, eyeing 50k North Korean troops for Ukraine

OSINT: UK Delays New Attack Submarine Order Until 2028

OSINT: UK Delays New Attack Submarine Order Until 2028

OSINT: Drone spotted over Vilnius triggers amber alert in Lithuania

OSINT: Iranian cargo ship struck near Qeshm Island, crew casualties, US blamed

OSINT: Iranian cargo ship struck near Qeshm Island, crew casualties, US blamed

OSINT: Upcoming Economic Calendar Event Scheduled

OSINT: Upcoming Economic Calendar Event Scheduled

OSINT: Russian Drone Strike Hits Polish Petrol Station Near Yahodyn Border

OSINT: Drone breaches Lithuanian airspace, heads to Kaliningrad, probing NATO defenses

Polymarket order flow on "Fed rate hike in 2026?": 4-level bid ladder, ~1.0pp spacing ($38,600 resting), consistent with programmatic order placement on this prediction market

Prediction market repriced: "Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by Se" moved -16pp in 24h to 26%

Prediction market repriced: "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 13?" moved -70pp in 24h to 17%

Polymarket order flow on "Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?": $25,440 in orders from 13 wallets absorbed at the 25% level, consistent with hidden resting size on this prediction market

Prediction market repriced: "Bitcoin Up or Down on September 13?" moved -41pp in 24h to 7%

OSINT: OpenAI unveils Millennium Prize solution as Anthropic warns of extinction risk

OSINT: AI Development Speed Outpaces Safety Safeguards, Industry Leaders Warn

OSINT: Private Data Center Construction Surges in Dec 2023, WSJ Reports

Prediction market repriced: "Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 September 7-13?" moved -15pp in 24h to 4%

SOL DEX volume/liquidity ratio elevated (1.32x): on-chain trade volume 1.32x liquidity

OSINT: US Household Net Worth Hits Record $185.7T, Up $12.5T in Q2 2026

OSINT: OpenAI IPO Delayed Amid AI Safety Calls, Markets Brace for Impact

OSINT: Fed Holds Rates Amid Mixed Retail Sales and Philly Manufacturing Data

Polymarket order flow on "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 13?": 4-level ask ladder, ~0.1pp spacing ($12,097 resting), consistent with programmatic order placement on this predi

SOL DEX volume/liquidity ratio elevated (1.45x): on-chain trade volume 1.45x liquidity

Prediction market repriced: "Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in September?" moved -16pp in 24h to 40%

OSINT: Anthropic CEO Calls for Slower, Safer AI Development Pace

OSINT: Revolut data breach via fake government email exposes customer info

OSINT: Argentina's Milei Faces Mixed Sentiment as Reforms Stall

3 insiders at CRWV sold $42.1M this week

3 insiders at KIDS sold $19.1M this week

2 insiders at HNGE sold $27.3M this week

5 insiders at DELL sold $143.8M this week

6 insiders at ESTC sold $18.8M this week

AAPL RSI 70.6, overbought (crossed above 70)

OSINT: Manhattan Luxury Rentals Surge: $50k+ Units Double, $100k+ Up Sevenfold

OSINT: OpenAI unveils Millennium Prize solution as Anthropic warns of extinction risk

OSINT: Trump says growth success won’t trigger inflation

OSINT: Unusual Whales Launches Updated Charting Tool with Proprietary Metrics

OSINT: Private Data Center Construction Surges in Dec 2023, WSJ Reports

OSINT: GameStop insiders trade shares, signaling potential shift

OSINT: Buffett Proposes Ban on Congressional Reelection to Slash Deficit

OSINT: Anthropic researcher quits, blames AI firms for risking human lives

OSINT: AI Development Speed Outpaces Safety Safeguards, Industry Leaders Warn

OSINT: Swedish Exit Poll Forecasts Left-Wing Coalition, Signals Market Concerns

ABEONA THERAPEUTICS INC. search volume spiked +100 pts, unusual interest

OSINT: US Household Net Worth Hits Record $185.7T, Up $12.5T in Q2 2026

OSINT: Fed Holds Rates Amid Mixed Retail Sales and Philly Manufacturing Data

OSINT: OpenAI IPO Delayed Amid AI Safety Calls, Markets Brace for Impact

Q1-2027: Beat consensus by 217.6%, EPS $0.06 vs $-0.051 estimate

Q2-2027: Beat consensus by 40.8%, EPS $0.79 vs $0.561 estimate

Q1-2027: Missed consensus by 55.1%, EPS $0.22 vs $0.4896 estimate

Q2-2027: Beat consensus by 56.4%, EPS $-0.03 vs $-0.0688 estimate

Q2-2027: Beat consensus by 35.9%, EPS $0.26 vs $0.1913 estimate

Q4-2026: Missed consensus by 14.2%, EPS $-0.80 vs $-0.7004 estimate

Q4-2026: Beat consensus by 66.3%, EPS $0.084 vs $0.0505 estimate

OSINT: Anthropic CEO Calls for Slower, Safer AI Development Pace

OSINT: Drone spotted over Vilnius triggers amber alert in Lithuania

OSINT: Upcoming Economic Calendar Event Scheduled

OSINT: Dongshan Precision COO Compensation Exceeds Chairman in 2025

OSINT: Revolut data breach via fake government email exposes customer info

OSINT: Mystical Marketing Campaign Sparks Consumer Backlash Over Lack of Empathy

OSINT: Trump urges Ukraine to halt attacks on Russian diesel plants

OSINT: US Diesel Prices Hit Record $6.20/gal, California Peaks at $8.14

OSINT: OpenAI unveils Millennium Prize solution as Anthropic warns of extinction risk

OSINT: Trump says growth success won’t trigger inflation

OSINT: US Inflation Data Raises Monetary Policy Concerns

OSINT: Natural Gas Hits New All-Time High of $5.85

OSINT: Buffett Proposes Ban on Congressional Reelection to Slash Deficit

OSINT: Ukrainian Precision Strike Kills Senior Russian General

OSINT: Iranian hardliners sabotage US peace deal, hit commercial shipping

OSINT: US Consumer Inflation Expectations Jump to 4.6% for Next Year

OSINT: Swedish Exit Poll Forecasts Left-Wing Coalition, Signals Market Concerns

OSINT: Poland ramps up border readiness amid rising Russian attacks

OSINT: Russian drones hit medical teams in Kherson, destroying ambulance

OSINT: Russian drones drop antipersonnel mines in Kherson, injuring civilian

OSINT: Polish FM Sikorski claims Poland could repel Russian attack with air superiority

OSINT: US Household Net Worth Hits Record $185.7T, Up $12.5T in Q2 2026

OSINT: Fed Holds Rates Amid Mixed Retail Sales and Philly Manufacturing Data

OSINT: OpenAI IPO Delayed Amid AI Safety Calls, Markets Brace for Impact

OSINT: Tanker Hit by Unknown Projectile in Strait of Hormuz Catches Fire

OSINT: Spain Bars US Air Force Flights Over Iran Conflict, Tanker Rerouted

OSINT: Russia brings 100k+ Central Asian workers to occupied Ukraine

OSINT: Trump-linked move raises concerns over Russian gasoline supply

OSINT: Polish PM Tusk Calls Emergency Meeting After Drone Attack on Kyiv-Bound Train

OSINT: Saudi East-West Pipeline Closure Threatens 4% Global Oil Supply

OSINT: Russia hires 30k mercenaries, eyeing 50k North Korean troops for Ukraine

OSINT: UK Delays New Attack Submarine Order Until 2028

OSINT: Drone spotted over Vilnius triggers amber alert in Lithuania

OSINT: Iranian cargo ship struck near Qeshm Island, crew casualties, US blamed

OSINT: Scotland, Wales, NI Leaders Plan Independence Declaration Meeting

OSINT: Upcoming Economic Calendar Event Scheduled

OSINT: Drone breaches Lithuanian airspace, heads to Kaliningrad, probing NATO defenses

OSINT: Russian Drone Strike Hits Polish Petrol Station Near Yahodyn Border

OSINT: Revolut data breach via fake government email exposes customer info

OSINT: Argentina's Milei Faces Mixed Sentiment as Reforms Stall

OSINT: Putin says BRICS to offset sanctions, boost intra-bloc trade