2026-09-24

Prediction market repriced: "Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?" moved +21pp in 24h to 36%

Prediction market repriced: "Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?" moved -50pp in 24h to 9%

Prediction market repriced: "Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?" moved +20pp in 24h to 73%

OSINT: Australian Govt Site Breached by OpenAI Agent, Raises Security Concerns

Prediction market repriced: "Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?" moved +16pp in 24h to 28%

Prediction market repriced: "Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?" moved -16pp in 24h to 16%

Financial conditions loosening: NFCI at -0.56, liquidity supportive

Prediction market repriced: "Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?" moved -30pp in 24h to 17%

Prediction market repriced: "Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 21-27?" moved -49pp in 24h to 18%

Prediction market repriced: "Will XRP reach $1.80 in September?" moved -21pp in 24h to 14%

Prediction market repriced: "Will Solana reach $120 in September?" moved -30pp in 24h to 62%

Prediction market repriced: "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 24?" moved -48pp in 24h to 46%

OSINT: Australian Govt Site Breached by OpenAI Agent, Raises Security Concerns

OSINT: Russia proposes tax hikes in upcoming budget

SOL DEX volume/liquidity ratio elevated (0.73x): on-chain trade volume 0.73x liquidity

OSINT: US Signals New Stablecoin Regulation Tied to Bond Market

OSINT: StarkWare cuts quantum-safe Bitcoin solution cost by 79%

OSINT: US Considers Global Push for Dollar-Backed Stablecoins

Prediction market repriced: "Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September?" moved +18pp in 24h to 31%

Polymarket order flow on "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 24?": 4-level ask ladder, ~0.1pp spacing ($12,188 resting), consistent with programmatic order placement on this predi

SOL DEX volume/liquidity ratio elevated (0.52x): on-chain trade volume 0.52x liquidity

OSINT: Kalshi flags $5B unusual trading, CFTC yet to respond

OSINT: Australian Govt Site Breached by OpenAI Agent, Raises Security Concerns

OSINT: Xidi Zhijia advances AI mining agent Xiao Yuan, eyeing world’s first mining AI

OSINT: Sci-Tech AI ETF Xinyuan slides 2.16% on modest turnover

OSINT: Chinese SZSE and ChiNext Indices Drop Over 2% as 4,300+ Stocks Fall

OSINT: Yuan Jiajun Calls for Research to Lower Mass Medical Costs

POWERCOMPUTE, INC. 8-K references BTC treasury activity · filed 2026-09-23

Bond issued at elevated rate 4.9%, above the credit-stress threshold

Bond issued at elevated rate 6.0%, above the credit-stress threshold

Bond issued at elevated rate 5.15%, above the credit-stress threshold

Bond issued at elevated rate 6.2%, above the credit-stress threshold

OSINT: StarkWare cuts quantum-safe Bitcoin solution cost by 79%

Prediction market repriced: "Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?" moved -16pp in 24h to 50%

OSINT: Russia proposes tax hikes in upcoming budget

Arctic ice extent 4.87 Mkm² on 2026-09-22 - -1.73 vs 1981-2010 median (-26.2%); NSR open: False

OSINT: Trump Rebukes Venezuelan FM Delcy Rodriguez Over Election Calls

OSINT: US Moves to Block Machado's Return, Claims Control Over Venezuela

OSINT: Government set to approve energy aid package amid EU fiscal review

OSINT: Russia launches new sovereign bond issuance amid sanctions pressure

OSINT: Russia proposes tax hikes in upcoming budget

OSINT: Xidi Zhijia advances AI mining agent Xiao Yuan, eyeing world’s first mining AI

OSINT: Yuan Jiajun Calls for Research to Lower Mass Medical Costs

OSINT: US Signals New Stablecoin Regulation Tied to Bond Market

OSINT: US Considers Global Push for Dollar-Backed Stablecoins

OSINT: ⬆️🇺🇸#fx #сша

OSINT: Yen slides to upper 157 per dollar amid US rate hike speculation

OSINT: US Long-Term Yields Hit 19-Year High on Expected Rate Hikes

OSINT: Trump Rebukes Venezuelan FM Delcy Rodriguez Over Election Calls

OSINT: Kalshi flags $5B unusual trading, CFTC yet to respond

OSINT: Government set to approve energy aid package amid EU fiscal review

OSINT: US Moves to Block Machado's Return, Claims Control Over Venezuela