Kresmion event archive
260 cross-asset events fired across commodity, crypto, equity, forex, macro. See also the Kresmion brief for 2026-09-23.
commodity (33)
- criticalFutures volume spikeCC=F
Cocoa volume spike - 3.2× the 20-day average (17,562 vs 5,483 avg)
- criticalFutures volume spikeKC=F
Coffee volume spike - 7.8× the 20-day average (14,984 vs 1,910 avg)
- criticalFutures volume spikeCT=F
Cotton volume spike - 364.7× the 20-day average (12,711 vs 34 avg)
- highFutures volume spikeHO=F
Heating Oil volume spike - 3.2× the 20-day average (135,020 vs 42,842 avg)
- highFutures volume spikeZW=F
Wheat volume spike - 2.5× the 20-day average (65,586 vs 25,851 avg)
- mediumOSINT eventOIL
OSINT: Energy Truce Signed Between Russia and Ukraine Raises Market Uncertainty
- mediumOSINT eventOIL
OSINT: EU lifts sanctions on Russian tycoons Usmanov and Fridman
- mediumOSINT eventOIL
OSINT: Bulgaria lifts diesel and aviation fuel export ban
- mediumOSINT eventENERGY
OSINT: Polish and Belarusian officials meet in NY, hinting at diplomatic thaw
- mediumFutures volume spikeZS=F
Soybeans volume spike - 2.4× the 20-day average (117,139 vs 49,640 avg)
- mediumFutures price gapCT=F
Cotton rose 4.2% vs prior close ($79.69 → $83.02)
- mediumFutures volume spikeZC=F
Corn volume spike - 2.1× the 20-day average (210,150 vs 100,231 avg)
- mediumFutures price gapHO=F
Heating Oil fell 5.2% vs prior close ($4.94 → $4.69)
- mediumOSINT eventOIL
OSINT: Seized Iranian Crude, ~6M Barrels, En Route to US via Atlantic
- mediumOSINT eventOIL
OSINT: SAIC Volkswagen Unveils ID. ERA 8X Electric SUV Preview
- mediumOSINT eventOIL
OSINT: Bitcoin Drops as Treasury Yields Surge and Oil Prices Rise
- mediumCrowded long positioningNG=F
NATURAL GAS: speculators net long 270,522 contracts, 67.07% of open interest (+2.4σ vs 3y mean), crowded long positioning
- mediumOSINT eventOIL
OSINT: Ukraine to receive 12 power transformers from UNDP
- mediumOSINT eventOIL
OSINT: UN says 8-month civilian death toll in Ukraine tops 2025 total
- mediumOSINT eventOIL
OSINT: UN warns war could spill beyond Ukraine, raising geopolitical risk
- mediumOSINT eventOIL
OSINT: Lavrov meets Cuban FM at UNGA for diplomatic talks
- mediumOSINT eventOIL
OSINT: Rubio warns on energy truce, Putin invite, US sanctions
- mediumOSINT eventOIL
OSINT: Latvia vows to repatriate Ukrainian children deported by Russia, says UN envoy
- mediumOSINT eventOIL
OSINT: EU Extends Russia Sanctions for Three Years, Moscow Responds
- mediumOSINT eventOIL
OSINT: Russia releases meeting minutes hinting at policy shift
- mediumOSINT eventOIL
OSINT: Operation Ítaca makes three attempts to return Machado to Venezuela
- mediumOSINT eventOIL
OSINT: US Fuel Supply Disruption Sparks Market Concern
- mediumOSINT eventOIL
OSINT: Trump's UN Address Flags Ukraine Stance, Rattles Markets
- mediumOSINT eventOIL
OSINT: Oil Prices Forecast to Rise Amid Geopolitical Tensions
- mediumOSINT eventOIL
OSINT: Russia cuts fuel shipments to Ukraine amid escalating geopolitics
- mediumArctic shipping route openCL=F
Arctic ice extent 4.77 Mkm² on 2026-09-21 - -1.77 vs 1981-2010 median (-27.0%); NSR open: False
- mediumOSINT eventOIL
OSINT: Russia readies massive new offensive against Ukraine
- mediumOSINT eventOIL
OSINT: Oil prices dip as US-Iran dialogue hints ease tensions
crypto (35)
- highDEX thin liquiditySOL
SOL/USDC has $39.8M 24h volume on $741K liquidity (54x turnover): thin market, elevated slippage
- highDEX thin liquiditySOL
SOL/USDC has $31.3M 24h volume on $547K liquidity (57x turnover): thin market, elevated slippage
- mediumOSINT eventCRYPTO
OSINT: EU lifts sanctions on Russian tycoons Usmanov and Fridman
- mediumOSINT eventCRYPTO
OSINT: Ex-SEC Acting Chair Says Agency Dropped Crypto Cases to Preserve Credibility
- mediumOSINT eventCRYPTO
OSINT: AI Fuels Surge in Digital Trade Development
- mediumOSINT eventCRYPTO
OSINT: CFTC Chair Selig Preps Regulator for 24-7 On-Chain Markets
- mediumOSINT eventCRYPTO
OSINT: Bitcoin Drops as Treasury Yields Surge and Oil Prices Rise
- mediumOSINT eventCRYPTO
OSINT: Gaming-State Lawmakers Push Supreme Court to Review Kalshi Ruling
- mediumOSINT eventCRYPTO
OSINT: Former Hack VC Partner Hsin-Ju Chuang Found Dead at 37
- mediumOSINT eventCRYPTO
OSINT: Forward Industries Raises $25M to Expand SOL Holdings, Securing 1.39% Supply
- mediumOSINT eventCRYPTO
OSINT: Trump Discloses $100K Strategy Stock Purchase in Ethics Filing
- mediumDEX volume vs liquiditySOL
SOL DEX volume/liquidity ratio elevated (0.57x): on-chain trade volume 0.57x liquidity
- mediumOSINT eventCRYPTO
OSINT: Solana Launches Major Consensus Upgrade on Testnet, Targets 150ms Finality
- mediumOSINT eventCRYPTO
OSINT: Bitwise Debuts First Lighter Crypto ETP, Challenging Hyperliquid
- mediumOSINT eventCRYPTO
OSINT: Metaplex Launches Vantage: Customizable Solana Trading Terminal
- mediumOSINT eventCRYPTO
OSINT: Russian Public Debt Rises 2.4 Trillion Rubles in H1
- mediumOSINT eventCRYPTO
OSINT: SEC's Tokenized Stock Rules: Winners, Losers and Market Ripple
- mediumOSINT eventCRYPTO
OSINT: ESMA to Lead EU AI and Tokenization Oversight from 2027
- mediumOSINT eventCRYPTO
OSINT: BTC Market Outlook & Institutional Adoption Forecast Presented by Daniel Hinton
- mediumOSINT eventCRYPTO
OSINT: Bitcoin FOMO Still Early, Says Weisberger
- mediumOSINT eventCRYPTO
OSINT: Stablecoin cross-border flows surge 78%, defying crypto bear market
- mediumDEX volume vs liquiditySOL
SOL DEX volume/liquidity ratio elevated (0.51x): on-chain trade volume 0.51x liquidity
- mediumOSINT eventCRYPTO
OSINT: EU regulators flag quantum threat to crypto security
- mediumOSINT eventCRYPTO
OSINT: Shiba Inu Turns Bullish With 24% Rally: Will SHIB Delete A Zero?
- mediumOSINT eventCRYPTO
OSINT: WatcherGuru questions SpaceX IPO valuation at 90x sales
- mediumOSINT eventCRYPTO
OSINT: Trump's UN Address Flags Ukraine Stance, Rattles Markets
- mediumOSINT eventCRYPTO
OSINT: X adds Trade button to cashtags, enabling $BTC and $SOL trades for U.S. users
- mediumOSINT eventCRYPTO
OSINT: Bitcoin bull market ‘confirmed’ but $90K presents profit-taking risk: Analysis
- mediumOSINT eventCRYPTO
OSINT: CFTC Chair Advocates Tokenization as SEC Greenlights On-Chain Stocks
- mediumOSINT eventCRYPTO
OSINT: Raiffeisen launches crypto trading via Bitpanda in 11 European markets
- mediumOSINT eventCRYPTO
OSINT: BitMEX Halts Trading, Leaves Withdrawals Open
- mediumOSINT eventCRYPTO
OSINT: Zcash November Upgrade Risks Freezing Legacy Sprout Funds
- mediumOSINT eventCRYPTO
OSINT: Bitcoin ETFs attract $1.7B in 2 days, BTC price exceeds cost basis
- mediumOSINT eventCRYPTO
OSINT: Bitcoin Deploys First Quantum-Resistant Defense, Sparks Price Speculation
- mediumDEX volume vs liquiditySOL
SOL DEX volume/liquidity ratio elevated (0.52x): on-chain trade volume 0.52x liquidity
forex (43)
- mediumOSINT eventFOREX
OSINT: Argentina retirees to receive October ANSES payouts and $70k bonus details
- mediumOSINT eventFOREX
OSINT: Chile weighs cost of Escudo de las Américas defense system
- mediumOSINT eventFOREX
OSINT: Energy Truce Signed Between Russia and Ukraine Raises Market Uncertainty
- mediumOSINT eventFOREX
OSINT: China imports over 1,000 tons of gold in 2026, boosting demand
- mediumOSINT eventFOREX
OSINT: Polish and Belarusian officials meet in NY, hinting at diplomatic thaw
- mediumOSINT eventFOREX
OSINT: Russian skiers cleared to rejoin World Cup circuit
- mediumOSINT eventFOREX
OSINT: Sberbank's Gref cites sanctions and data gaps for Russia's AI lag vs China
- mediumOSINT eventFOREX
OSINT: Bulgaria lifts diesel and aviation fuel export ban
- mediumOSINT eventFOREX
OSINT: EU lifts sanctions on Russian tycoons Usmanov and Fridman
- mediumOSINT eventFOREX
OSINT: AI Fuels Surge in Digital Trade Development
- mediumOSINT eventFOREX
OSINT: VOYAH Dreamer 9 Debuts at 42-53 万元 Price Range
- mediumOSINT eventFOREX
OSINT: Seized Iranian Crude, ~6M Barrels, En Route to US via Atlantic
- mediumOSINT eventFOREX
OSINT: SAIC Volkswagen Unveils ID. ERA 8X Electric SUV Preview
- mediumOSINT eventFOREX
OSINT: Bitcoin Drops as Treasury Yields Surge and Oil Prices Rise
- mediumOSINT eventFOREX
OSINT: UN warns war could spill beyond Ukraine, raising geopolitical risk
- mediumOSINT eventFOREX
OSINT: Zelenskyy Discusses Broad Topics with Trump in High-Profile Meeting
- mediumOSINT eventFOREX
OSINT: UN says 8-month civilian death toll in Ukraine tops 2025 total
- mediumOSINT eventFOREX
OSINT: Ukraine to receive 12 power transformers from UNDP
- mediumOSINT eventFOREX
OSINT: Rubio warns on energy truce, Putin invite, US sanctions
- mediumOSINT eventFOREX
OSINT: Central Bank Accelerates Lending, Cites Growth and Inflation Concerns
- mediumOSINT eventFOREX
OSINT: Lavrov meets Cuban FM at UNGA for diplomatic talks
- mediumOSINT eventFOREX
OSINT: Latvia vows to repatriate Ukrainian children deported by Russia, says UN envoy
- mediumOSINT eventFOREX
OSINT: EU Extends Russia Sanctions for Three Years, Moscow Responds
- mediumOSINT eventFOREX
OSINT: US 10-Year Treasury Yields Hit 19-Year High
- mediumOSINT eventFOREX
OSINT: Russia releases meeting minutes hinting at policy shift
- mediumOSINT eventFOREX
OSINT: Russian Public Debt Rises 2.4 Trillion Rubles in H1
- mediumOSINT eventFOREX
OSINT: Chengdu Double Holiday Retail Expo Showcases New Products and Coffee
- mediumOSINT eventFOREX
OSINT: Sevilla Libraries Launch Classical Culture Days & Oral Storytelling Festival
- mediumOSINT eventFOREX
OSINT: Operation Ítaca makes three attempts to return Machado to Venezuela
- mediumOSINT eventFOREX
OSINT: Stablecoin cross-border flows surge 78%, defying crypto bear market
- mediumOSINT eventFOREX
OSINT: US Fuel Supply Disruption Sparks Market Concern
- mediumOSINT eventFOREX
OSINT: French Livret A Savings Surge as Rate Increases
- mediumOSINT eventFOREX
OSINT: ECB hints rate level may modestly slow economy
- mediumOSINT eventFOREX
OSINT: Trump's UN Address Flags Ukraine Stance, Rattles Markets
- mediumOSINT eventFOREX
OSINT: Bitcoin bull market ‘confirmed’ but $90K presents profit-taking risk: Analysis
- mediumOSINT eventFOREX
OSINT: Oil Prices Forecast to Rise Amid Geopolitical Tensions
- mediumOSINT eventFOREX
OSINT: Raiffeisen launches crypto trading via Bitpanda in 11 European markets
- mediumOSINT eventFOREX
OSINT: Yingrao Fuchang Copper Cluster Nears 1 Trillion Yuan Valuation
- mediumOSINT eventFOREX
OSINT: EU urges Ukraine to speed up reforms before extra aid
- mediumOSINT eventFOREX
OSINT: Russia cuts fuel shipments to Ukraine amid escalating geopolitics
- mediumOSINT eventFOREX
OSINT: Russia readies massive new offensive against Ukraine
- mediumOSINT eventFOREX
OSINT: Oil prices dip as US-Iran dialogue hints ease tensions
- mediumOSINT eventFOREX
OSINT: Brazil and Russia Push Dedollarization in FX Markets
macro (20)
- mediumOSINT eventDEFENSE
OSINT: Energy Truce Signed Between Russia and Ukraine Raises Market Uncertainty
- mediumOSINT eventDEFENSE
OSINT: Chile weighs cost of Escudo de las Américas defense system
- mediumOSINT eventDEFENSE
OSINT: Sberbank's Gref cites sanctions and data gaps for Russia's AI lag vs China
- mediumOSINT eventDEFENSE
OSINT: Polish and Belarusian officials meet in NY, hinting at diplomatic thaw
- mediumOSINT eventSHIPPING
OSINT: Polish and Belarusian officials meet in NY, hinting at diplomatic thaw
- mediumOSINT eventSHIPPING
OSINT: EU lifts sanctions on Russian tycoons Usmanov and Fridman
- mediumOSINT eventSHIPPING
OSINT: Bulgaria lifts diesel and aviation fuel export ban
- mediumOSINT eventSHIPPING
OSINT: Seized Iranian Crude, ~6M Barrels, En Route to US via Atlantic
- mediumOSINT eventDEFENSE
OSINT: UN warns war could spill beyond Ukraine, raising geopolitical risk
- mediumOSINT eventDEFENSE
OSINT: Zelenskyy Discusses Broad Topics with Trump in High-Profile Meeting
- mediumOSINT eventSHIPPING
OSINT: UN warns war could spill beyond Ukraine, raising geopolitical risk
- mediumOSINT eventDEFENSE
OSINT: UN says 8-month civilian death toll in Ukraine tops 2025 total
- mediumOSINT eventDEFENSE
OSINT: Rubio warns on energy truce, Putin invite, US sanctions
- mediumOSINT eventSHIPPING
OSINT: EU Extends Russia Sanctions for Three Years, Moscow Responds
- mediumOSINT eventDEFENSE
OSINT: EU Extends Russia Sanctions for Three Years, Moscow Responds
- mediumOSINT eventDEFENSE
OSINT: Latvia vows to repatriate Ukrainian children deported by Russia, says UN envoy
- mediumOSINT eventDEFENSE
OSINT: Trump's UN Address Flags Ukraine Stance, Rattles Markets
- mediumOSINT eventSHIPPING
OSINT: Oil Prices Forecast to Rise Amid Geopolitical Tensions
- mediumOSINT eventDEFENSE
OSINT: EU urges Ukraine to speed up reforms before extra aid
- mediumOSINT eventDEFENSE
OSINT: Russia readies massive new offensive against Ukraine
equity (69)
OSINT: Sberbank's Gref cites sanctions and data gaps for Russia's AI lag vs China
OSINT: EU lifts sanctions on Russian tycoons Usmanov and Fridman
OSINT: GAC launches Trumpchi Yue 7, shares rise to 20.78 万元
OSINT: VOYAH Dreamer 9 Debuts at 42-53 万元 Price Range
OSINT: SAIC Volkswagen Unveils ID. ERA 8X Electric SUV Preview
OSINT: AI Fuels Surge in Digital Trade Development
OSINT: Gaming-State Lawmakers Push Supreme Court to Review Kalshi Ruling
OSINT: Former Hack VC Partner Hsin-Ju Chuang Found Dead at 37
OSINT: Ukraine to receive 12 power transformers from UNDP
OSINT: Zelenskyy Discusses Broad Topics with Trump in High-Profile Meeting
OSINT: Trump Discloses $100K Strategy Stock Purchase in Ethics Filing
OSINT: Central Bank Accelerates Lending, Cites Growth and Inflation Concerns
OSINT: Solana Launches Major Consensus Upgrade on Testnet, Targets 150ms Finality
OSINT: US 10-Year Treasury Yields Hit 19-Year High
Q4-2026: Missed consensus by 71.6%, EPS $-0.21 vs $-0.1224 estimate
Q2-2026: Beat consensus by 57.3%, EPS $0.76 vs $0.483 estimate
Q2-2027: Missed consensus by 769.9%, EPS $-0.82 vs $0.1224 estimate
Q1-2027: Beat consensus by 21.1%, EPS $0.17 vs $0.1404 estimate
Q1-2027: Beat consensus by 6.4%, EPS $-0.21 vs $-0.2244 estimate
Q4-2026: Beat consensus by 559.1%, EPS $0.99 vs $0.1502 estimate
Q2-2026: Missed consensus by 746.6%, EPS $-8.75 vs $-1.0336 estimate
Q4-2026: Beat consensus by 84.9%, EPS $-0.05 vs $-0.3315 estimate
Q2-2026: Beat consensus by 42.2%, EPS $0.52 vs $0.3657 estimate
Q2-2026: Missed consensus by 22.0%, EPS $0.26 vs $0.3333 estimate
Q1-2027: Beat consensus by 112.3%, EPS $0.03 vs $-0.2448 estimate
Q4-2026: Beat consensus by 46.3%, EPS $-0.13 vs $-0.2423 estimate
Q2-2026: Beat consensus by 10.4%, EPS $1.03 vs $0.9327 estimate
Q2-2026: Beat consensus by 10.5%, EPS $0.37 vs $0.3349 estimate
Q2-2026: Beat consensus by 13.5%, EPS $-0.40 vs $-0.4624 estimate
Q2-2026: Beat consensus by 34.6%, EPS $-0.18 vs $-0.2754 estimate
Q2-2026: Beat consensus by 13.2%, EPS $-0.65 vs $-0.7492 estimate
Q2-2026: Missed consensus by 14.8%, EPS $-0.28 vs $-0.2438 estimate
Q2-2026: Missed consensus by 9.1%, EPS $-0.19 vs $-0.1742 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 8.8%, EPS $-0.08 vs $-0.0877 estimate
Q2-2026: Beat consensus by 5.7%, EPS $2.21 vs $2.0911 estimate
Q2-2026: Beat consensus by 12.8%, EPS $-0.129 vs $-0.1479 estimate
Q2-2026: Missed consensus by 3071.8%, EPS $-5.70 vs $0.1918 estimate
Q2-2027: Beat consensus by 20.5%, EPS $2.42 vs $2.0086 estimate
Q2-2026: Beat consensus by 13.0%, EPS $1.02 vs $0.9026 estimate
Q2-2026: Beat consensus by 185.9%, EPS $0.35 vs $0.1224 estimate
Q2-2026: Beat consensus by 45.9%, EPS $2.15 vs $1.4739 estimate
Q2-2026: Missed consensus by 5.0%, EPS $-0.60 vs $-0.5712 estimate
Q2-2026: Beat consensus by 32.7%, EPS $-0.59 vs $-0.8772 estimate
Q2-2026: Beat consensus by 5.0%, EPS $2.30 vs $2.1896 estimate
Q4-2026: Beat consensus by 1218.5%, EPS $4.62 vs $0.3504 estimate
Q2-2026: Beat consensus by 6.1%, EPS $0.23 vs $0.2168 estimate
Q2-2026: Beat consensus by 6.0%, EPS $-0.41 vs $-0.4361 estimate
Q2-2026: Beat consensus by 11.5%, EPS $-0.13 vs $-0.1469 estimate
Q2-2026: Missed consensus by 15.1%, EPS $0.44 vs $0.5181 estimate
Q2-2027: Missed consensus by 64.0%, EPS $0.08 vs $0.2222 estimate
Q1-2027: Missed consensus by 402.1%, EPS $-4.02 vs $-0.8007 estimate
Q2-2026: Beat consensus by 22.1%, EPS $2.74 vs $2.2447 estimate
Q2-2026: Beat consensus by 9.4%, EPS $0.33 vs $0.3016 estimate
Q2-2026: Missed consensus by 65.9%, EPS $0.52 vs $1.5251 estimate
Q4-2026: Missed consensus by 194.1%, EPS $-0.15 vs $-0.051 estimate
OSINT: Metaplex Launches Vantage: Customizable Solana Trading Terminal
OSINT: ESMA to Lead EU AI and Tokenization Oversight from 2027
OSINT: SEC's Tokenized Stock Rules: Winners, Losers and Market Ripple
OSINT: Chengdu Double Holiday Retail Expo Showcases New Products and Coffee
OSINT: EU regulators flag quantum threat to crypto security
OSINT: WatcherGuru questions SpaceX IPO valuation at 90x sales
OSINT: X adds Trade button to cashtags, enabling $BTC and $SOL trades for U.S. users
OSINT: Bitcoin bull market ‘confirmed’ but $90K presents profit-taking risk: Analysis
OSINT: CFTC Chair Advocates Tokenization as SEC Greenlights On-Chain Stocks
OSINT: Yingrao Fuchang Copper Cluster Nears 1 Trillion Yuan Valuation
OSINT: Bitcoin Deploys First Quantum-Resistant Defense, Sparks Price Speculation
Large debt issuance: $1.0B at 5.2% due 2036
Large debt issuance: $1.0B at 5.35% due 2036
Bond issued at elevated rate 8.0%, above the credit-stress threshold