Kresmion signals archive
279 cross-asset signals fired across commodity, crypto, equity, forex, macro. See also the Kresmion brief for 2026-09-27.
commodity (32)
- criticalfutures_volume_spikeKC=F
Coffee volume spike - 3.8× the 20-day average (12,465 vs 3,248 avg)
- criticalfutures_volume_spikePL=F
Platinum volume spike - 38.7× the 20-day average (267 vs 6 avg)
- highfutures_volume_spikeZC=F
Corn volume spike - 3.2× the 20-day average (331,601 vs 104,511 avg)
- highfutures_volume_spikeZS=F
Soybeans volume spike - 3.0× the 20-day average (180,479 vs 60,222 avg)
- highfutures_volume_spikeZW=F
Wheat volume spike - 3.0× the 20-day average (85,355 vs 28,733 avg)
- highosint_energy_eventOIL
OSINT: US Stock Traders' Positions Shift in Latest COT Review
- highweather_supply_riskZS=F
Brazil (Mato Grosso): drought conditions detected - potential soy supply impact
- highosint_energy_eventOIL
OSINT: US Claims China Slashes Aid to Iran, Raising Geopolitical Tensions
- highosint_energy_eventOIL
OSINT: Canada trade deficit widens, denting CAD outlook
- highcot_extremeNASDAQ MIN
CFTC NASDAQ MINI speculators at extreme long: 52-week positioning extreme
- highcot_extremeCOPPER
CFTC COPPER speculators at extreme long: 52-week positioning extreme
- highcot_extremeNATURAL GA
CFTC NATURAL GAS speculators at extreme long: 52-week positioning extreme
- highPROBABILITY_SHIFTCL=F
Prediction market repriced: "Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 25, 2026?" moved -38pp in 24h to 16%
- mediumcommodity_moveOIL
Oil +1.20%: significant gain on the session
- mediumosint_eventOIL
OSINT: Mosbirzha Trading Surge Sep 21-25 Highlights Russian Market Activity
- mediumosint_eventOIL
OSINT: Fuel Crisis Sparks Macro Concerns
- mediumosint_eventOIL
OSINT: Trump Signals US Fuel Support for Ukraine Amid Russia Tensions
- mediumNET_LONG_EXTREMENG=F
NATURAL GAS: speculators net long 271,372 contracts, 66.28% of open interest (+2.2σ vs 3y mean), crowded long positioning
- mediumosint_eventOIL
OSINT: Ukraine deploys combat robots behind Russian lines in Operation Vivaldi
- mediumosint_eventOIL
OSINT: UK Issues New Statutory Guidance on Russia Sanctions
- mediumosint_eventOIL
OSINT: US CPI Jumps 0.6% in April, Shelter & Gasoline Lead Gains
- mediumosint_eventOIL
OSINT: UK imposes record sanctions breach fine since Russia's 2022 invasion
- mediumosint_eventOIL
OSINT: UK OFSI issues new General Licence guidance easing sanctions on energy trade
- mediumosint_eventOIL
OSINT: US CPI climbs 0.5% in May, driven by gasoline and shelter
- mediumosint_eventOIL
OSINT: UK OFSI grants General Licence INT/2025/6641960 for oil & gas services
- mediumosint_eventOIL
OSINT: Lavrov revives Anchorage agreements, spotlighting Arctic cooperation
- mediumosint_eventOIL
OSINT: UK OFSI issues General Licence INT/2025/5787748 easing sanctions
- mediumosint_eventOIL
OSINT: US CPI Up 0.1% in July, Shelter Costs Lead Gains
- mediumosint_eventOIL
OSINT: Baker Hughes Seeks to Dodge $30M Russian Court Judgment
- mediumosint_eventOIL
OSINT: U.S. Energy Dept Highlights Clean Energy and LNG at G20 Ministerial
- mediumosint_eventOIL
OSINT: SEC Proposes Overhaul of Shareholder Proposal Rule and Proxy Solicitation
- mediumosint_eventOIL
OSINT: CFTC Awards Over $150M in Whistleblower Settlements
macro (40)
- criticalPROBABILITY_SHIFT
Prediction market repriced: "Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by December 31, 2026?" moved +78pp in 24h to 84%
- highALGO_FLOWDXY
Polymarket order flow on "Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the Octo": 5-level bid ladder, ~1.0pp spacing ($11,163 resting), consistent with programmatic order placement on this pred
- highALGO_FLOWDXY
Polymarket order flow on "Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the Octo": $21,271 in orders from 12 wallets absorbed at the 34% level, consistent with hidden resting size on this predic
- highPROBABILITY_SHIFT
Prediction market repriced: "Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?" moved +24pp in 24h to 36%
- highALGO_FLOWCL=F
Polymarket order flow on "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?": 5-level bid ladder, ~1.0pp spacing ($11,205 resting), consistent with programmatic order placement on this predict
- highPROBABILITY_SHIFT
Prediction market repriced: "Will Norway win on 2026-09-27?" moved -20pp in 24h to 18%
- highALGO_FLOW
Polymarket order flow on "Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2": 8-level ask ladder, ~1.0pp spacing ($22,640 resting), consistent with programmatic order placement on this pred
- highPROBABILITY_SHIFT
Prediction market repriced: "Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-09-27?" moved -22pp in 24h to 26%
- highALGO_FLOWSPX
Polymarket order flow on "2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House": $16,058 in orders from 11 wallets absorbed at the 60% level, consistent with hidden resting size on this prediction market
- highPROBABILITY_SHIFT
Prediction market repriced: "Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?" moved -27pp in 24h to 6%
- highPROBABILITY_SHIFT
Prediction market repriced: "Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?" moved +26pp in 24h to 61%
- highPROBABILITY_SHIFT
Prediction market repriced: "Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-09-27?" moved -24pp in 24h to 22%
- highPROBABILITY_SHIFT
Prediction market repriced: "Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2026-09-27?" moved +30pp in 24h to 71%
- highPROBABILITY_SHIFT
Prediction market repriced: "Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?" moved +24pp in 24h to 42%
- highALGO_FLOWCL=F
Polymarket order flow on "US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?": 5-level bid ladder, ~1.0pp spacing ($20,357 resting), consistent with programmatic order placement on this predict
- highPROBABILITY_SHIFT
Prediction market repriced: "Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m?" moved -30pp in 24h to 40%
- highPROBABILITY_SHIFT
Prediction market repriced: "Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-09-26?" moved -34pp in 24h to 10%
- highPROBABILITY_SHIFT
Prediction market repriced: "Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2026-09-26?" moved +38pp in 24h to 68%
- highPROBABILITY_SHIFT
Prediction market repriced: "Will CDP Junior FC win on 2026-09-26?" moved +54pp in 24h to 98%
- highPROBABILITY_SHIFT
Prediction market repriced: "Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-09-26?" moved +26pp in 24h to 62%
- highPROBABILITY_SHIFT
Prediction market repriced: "Will FC Dallas win on 2026-09-26?" moved +22pp in 24h to 64%
- mediumPROBABILITY_SHIFT
Prediction market repriced: "Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?" moved -16pp in 24h to 42%
- mediumPROBABILITY_SHIFT
Prediction market repriced: "Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?" moved +16pp in 24h to 57%
- mediumALGO_FLOWDXY
Polymarket order flow on "US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?": 4-level ask ladder, ~1.0pp spacing ($14,164 resting), consistent with programmatic order placement on this prediction mark
- mediumosint_eventSHIPPING
OSINT: Fuel Crisis Sparks Macro Concerns
- mediumosint_eventDEFENSE
OSINT: Trump Signals US Fuel Support for Ukraine Amid Russia Tensions
- mediumosint_eventDEFENSE
OSINT: Ukraine deploys combat robots behind Russian lines in Operation Vivaldi
- mediumPROBABILITY_SHIFT
Prediction market repriced: "Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?" moved -17pp in 24h to 53%
- mediumPROBABILITY_SHIFT
Prediction market repriced: "Will “Hate That I Made You Love Me” by Ariana Grande win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV" moved -16pp in 24h to 18%
- mediumosint_eventSHIPPING
OSINT: UK Issues New Statutory Guidance on Russia Sanctions
- mediumosint_eventDEFENSE
OSINT: UK Issues New Statutory Guidance on Russia Sanctions
- mediumosint_eventSHIPPING
OSINT: UK OFSI issues new General Licence guidance easing sanctions on energy trade
- mediumosint_eventDEFENSE
OSINT: UK imposes record sanctions breach fine since Russia's 2022 invasion
- mediumosint_eventSHIPPING
OSINT: UK OFSI grants General Licence INT/2025/6641960 for oil & gas services
- mediumosint_eventSHIPPING
OSINT: Lavrov revives Anchorage agreements, spotlighting Arctic cooperation
- mediumosint_eventDEFENSE
OSINT: Lavrov revives Anchorage agreements, spotlighting Arctic cooperation
- mediumosint_eventSHIPPING
OSINT: UK OFSI issues General Licence INT/2025/5787748 easing sanctions
- mediumosint_eventDEFENSE
OSINT: DOE Allocates $73M to Boost U.S. Mining Technology
- mediumPROBABILITY_SHIFT
Prediction market repriced: "Jets Team Total: O/U 20.5" moved -18pp in 24h to 31%
- mediumPROBABILITY_SHIFT
Prediction market repriced: "Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-09-27?" moved -17pp in 24h to 6%
crypto (24)
JUP open interest +20.6% over 24h, OI surge
- highoi_spikeNEAR
NEAR open interest +20.6% over 24h, OI surge
- highPROBABILITY_SHIFTETH
Prediction market repriced: "Ethereum Up or Down on September 27?" moved +34pp in 24h to 84%
JTO/JitoSOL has $672.2M 24h volume on $1565K liquidity (429x turnover): thin market, elevated slippage
W funding -0.0508% · 0th percentile of its 168d Binance history
- highPROBABILITY_SHIFT
Prediction market repriced: "Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET" moved +38pp in 24h to 92%
- highPROBABILITY_SHIFTBTC
Prediction market repriced: "Bitcoin Up or Down on September 27?" moved +36pp in 24h to 86%
- highPROBABILITY_SHIFT
Prediction market repriced: "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 27?" moved +40pp in 24h to 86%
- mediumALGO_FLOWETH
Polymarket order flow on "Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?": $21,514 in orders from 5 wallets absorbed at the 63% level, consistent with hidden resting size on this prediction market
- mediumrsi_crossBTC
BTC RSI 71.0, overbought (crossed above 70)
- mediumosint_eventCRYPTO
OSINT: August JOLTS Shows Flat Job Openings, Minimal Hiring Changes
- mediumosint_eventCRYPTO
OSINT: Basel Committee to Release ICT Risk Report and Advance Cryptoasset Review
- mediumosint_eventCRYPTO
OSINT: CPMI-IOSCO releases draft guidance on initial margin implementation
- mediumosint_eventCRYPTO
OSINT: UK imposes record sanctions breach fine since Russia's 2022 invasion
- mediumosint_eventCRYPTO
OSINT: SEC Charges Toms River Trio Over $47M Fraud Scheme Targeting Jewish Communities
- mediumosint_eventCRYPTO
OSINT: CFTC fines UBS $8M for AML supervision failures
- mediumosint_eventCRYPTO
OSINT: SEC Schedules Roundtable on 24-Hour Trading Preparations
- mediumosint_eventCRYPTO
OSINT: SEC Proposes New Regulation for Crypto Assets
- mediumosint_eventCRYPTO
OSINT: SEC Proposes Modernized Rules for Transfer Agents
- mediumosint_eventCRYPTO
OSINT: SEC flags 38 entities for fake adviser filings targeting retail investors
- mediumosint_eventCRYPTO
OSINT: CFTC Settles Enforcement Actions Against Former Alameda CEO and FTX Co-Founder
- mediumosint_eventCRYPTO
OSINT: OCC Unveils September 2026 Enforcement Actions Targeting Banks and FinTech
- mediumosint_eventCRYPTO
OSINT: UK, US Officials Discuss Coordination on Central Counterparty Resolution
- mediumosint_eventCRYPTO
OSINT: US-UK Leaders Discuss Joint Plan for Central Counterparty Resolution
equity (51)
4 insiders at SNOW sold $52.6M this week
2 insiders at META sold $29.5M this week
2 insiders at CLS sold $15.8M this week
4 insiders at CRWD sold $172.1M this week
2 insiders at CRWV sold $31.6M this week
OSINT: Russian Interior Ministry outlines fraud prevention measures for Gosuslugi porta
AAPL RSI 74.4, overbought (crossed above 70)
EchoStar CORP search volume spiked +100 pts, unusual interest
DOCUSIGN, INC. search volume spiked +100 pts, unusual interest
TransUnion search volume spiked +37 pts, unusual interest
OSINT: Ukraine deploys combat robots behind Russian lines in Operation Vivaldi
OSINT: October JOLTS shows flat job openings, minimal hiring and separations
OSINT: August JOLTS Shows Flat Job Openings, Minimal Hiring Changes
OSINT: December Job Openings Slip as Hires Remain Flat, Separations Steady
OSINT: July Job Openings Remain Flat, Hires and Separations Unchanged
OSINT: US December jobs report shows modest payroll gain, unemployment steady
OSINT: US CPI climbs 0.3% in December, driven by shelter and food
OSINT: US Producer Prices Edge Up 0.5% in December, Services Up 0.7%
OSINT: US Final Demand PPI dips 0.1% in August, services down 0.2%
OSINT: US CPI climbs 2.7% YoY in November, driven by shelter costs
OSINT: February US hires dip while job openings hold steady, separations unchanged
OSINT: March JOLTS Shows Rise in Hires Amid Flat Job Openings
OSINT: U.S. Payrolls Rise 115K in April, Unemployment Holds at 4.3%
OSINT: US CPI climbs 0.3% in February, shelter costs lead rise
OSINT: January Job Openings, Separations Flat; Hires Unchanged
OSINT: Basel Committee to Release ICT Risk Report and Advance Cryptoasset Review
OSINT: US June Jobs Report: Unemployment Holds at 4.2%, Payrolls Up 57K
OSINT: UK OFSI issues new General Licence guidance easing sanctions on energy trade
OSINT: U.S. Payrolls Rise 172K in May, Unemployment Holds at 4.3%
OSINT: UK regulator fines Sabre Global Technologies for sanctions breach
OSINT: US July Jobs Report Shows Minimal Change, Slight Payroll Drop
OSINT: US June PPI drops 0.3%, goods prices fall 1.4%
OSINT: SEC Charges Toms River Trio Over $47M Fraud Scheme Targeting Jewish Communities
OSINT: SEC flags 38 entities for fake adviser filings targeting retail investors
OSINT: SEC Proposes New Regulation for Crypto Assets
OSINT: SEC Proposes Modernized Rules for Transfer Agents
OSINT: SEC Schedules Roundtable on 24-Hour Trading Preparations
OSINT: DOE Allocates $73M to Boost U.S. Mining Technology
OSINT: OCC Unveils September 2026 Enforcement Actions Targeting Banks and FinTech
OSINT: SEC Provides Exemptive Relief on Inline XBRL Filing Requirements
OSINT: UK, US Officials Discuss Coordination on Central Counterparty Resolution
OSINT: U.S. August Payrolls Rise 162K, Unemployment Holds at 4.1%
Q2-2027: Beat consensus by 236.1%, EPS $0.11 vs $-0.0808 estimate
Q2-2027: Missed consensus by 16.5%, EPS $0.23 vs $0.2754 estimate
Q2-2026: Beat consensus by 20.4%, EPS $7.27 vs $6.0401 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 19.6%, EPS $5.68 vs $4.7493 estimate
Q1-2027: Missed consensus by 66.2%, EPS $-0.13 vs $-0.0782 estimate
Q4-2026: Beat consensus by 32.6%, EPS $-0.22 vs $-0.3264 estimate
Q2-2026: Beat consensus by 12.8%, EPS $3.87 vs $3.4299 estimate
OSINT: CFTC Grants No-Action Relief to Passive Software Providers
OSINT: SEC Proposes Overhaul of Shareholder Proposal Rule and Proxy Solicitation
forex (53)
- mediumosint_eventFOREX
OSINT: Serbia braces for shift as Vučić exits presidency
- mediumosint_eventFOREX
OSINT: Russian Interior Ministry outlines fraud prevention measures for Gosuslugi porta
- mediumosint_eventFOREX
OSINT: Mosbirzha Trading Surge Sep 21-25 Highlights Russian Market Activity
- mediumosint_eventFOREX
OSINT: Trump Signals US Fuel Support for Ukraine Amid Russia Tensions
- mediumosint_eventFOREX
OSINT: Fuel Crisis Sparks Macro Concerns
- mediumosint_eventFOREX
OSINT: Ukraine deploys combat robots behind Russian lines in Operation Vivaldi
- mediumosint_eventFOREX
OSINT: August JOLTS Shows Flat Job Openings, Minimal Hiring Changes
- mediumosint_eventFOREX
OSINT: US December jobs report shows modest payroll gain, unemployment steady
- mediumosint_eventFOREX
OSINT: US CPI climbs 0.4% in August, shelter and food prices lead rise
- mediumosint_eventFOREX
OSINT: US CPI climbs 0.3% in December, driven by shelter and food
- mediumosint_eventFOREX
OSINT: July Job Openings Remain Flat, Hires and Separations Unchanged
- mediumosint_eventFOREX
OSINT: October JOLTS shows flat job openings, minimal hiring and separations
- mediumosint_eventFOREX
OSINT: December Job Openings Slip as Hires Remain Flat, Separations Steady
- mediumosint_eventFOREX
OSINT: US Producer Prices Edge Up 0.5% in December, Services Up 0.7%
- mediumosint_eventFOREX
OSINT: February US hires dip while job openings hold steady, separations unchanged
- mediumosint_eventFOREX
OSINT: UK Issues New Statutory Guidance on Russia Sanctions
- mediumosint_eventFOREX
OSINT: US August Jobs Report Shows Minimal Change in Payrolls and Unemployment
- mediumosint_eventFOREX
OSINT: US CPI climbs 2.7% YoY in November, driven by shelter costs
- mediumosint_eventFOREX
OSINT: US Final Demand PPI dips 0.1% in August, services down 0.2%
- mediumosint_eventFOREX
OSINT: US Producer Prices Rise 0.5% in Jan, Services Up 0.8%, Goods Down 0.3%
- mediumosint_eventFOREX
OSINT: Central Bank Governors Named to Lead BIS Board and Key Committees
- mediumosint_eventFOREX
OSINT: January Job Openings, Separations Flat; Hires Unchanged
- mediumosint_eventFOREX
OSINT: CPMI-IOSCO releases draft guidance on initial margin implementation
- mediumosint_eventFOREX
OSINT: U.S. Payrolls Rise 115K in April, Unemployment Holds at 4.3%
- mediumosint_eventFOREX
OSINT: US CPI climbs 0.3% in February, shelter costs lead rise
- mediumosint_eventFOREX
OSINT: US PPI climbs 1.4% in April, driven by goods price surge
- mediumosint_eventFOREX
OSINT: US CPI Jumps 0.6% in April, Shelter & Gasoline Lead Gains
- mediumosint_eventFOREX
OSINT: March JOLTS Shows Rise in Hires Amid Flat Job Openings
- mediumosint_eventFOREX
OSINT: Basel Committee to Release ICT Risk Report and Advance Cryptoasset Review
- mediumosint_eventFOREX
OSINT: UK regulator fines Sabre Global Technologies for sanctions breach
- mediumosint_eventFOREX
OSINT: US CPI climbs 0.5% in May, driven by gasoline and shelter
- mediumosint_eventFOREX
OSINT: US June Jobs Report: Unemployment Holds at 4.2%, Payrolls Up 57K
- mediumosint_eventFOREX
OSINT: U.S. Payrolls Rise 172K in May, Unemployment Holds at 4.3%
- mediumosint_eventFOREX
OSINT: US Producer Prices Jump 1.1% in May, Goods Prices Surge
- mediumosint_eventFOREX
OSINT: UK imposes record sanctions breach fine since Russia's 2022 invasion
- mediumosint_eventFOREX
OSINT: CFTC fines UBS $8M for AML supervision failures
- mediumosint_eventFOREX
OSINT: UK OFSI issues General Licence INT/2025/5787748 easing sanctions
- mediumosint_eventFOREX
OSINT: US CPI Up 0.1% in July, Shelter Costs Lead Gains
- mediumosint_eventFOREX
OSINT: Semenenko Upsets Olympic Champion Shaidorov at Nepela Memorial
- mediumosint_eventFOREX
OSINT: US June PPI drops 0.3%, goods prices fall 1.4%
- mediumosint_eventFOREX
OSINT: US July Jobs Report Shows Minimal Change, Slight Payroll Drop
- mediumosint_eventFOREX
OSINT: CFTC Final Rule Adjusts Clearing for CAD & MXN Interest Rate Swaps
- mediumosint_eventFOREX
OSINT: US July JOLTS Shows Minimal Change in Job Openings, Hires, Separations
- mediumosint_eventFOREX
OSINT: SEC Schedules Roundtable on 24-Hour Trading Preparations
- mediumosint_eventFOREX
OSINT: SEC proposes rule change to include EU debt obligations
- mediumosint_eventFOREX
OSINT: OCC Enhances Transparency, Consistency in Bank Supervision
- mediumosint_eventFOREX
OSINT: UK OFSI fines Citibank London branch for sanctions breach
- mediumosint_eventFOREX
OSINT: UK, US Officials Discuss Coordination on Central Counterparty Resolution
- mediumosint_eventFOREX
OSINT: OCC Unveils September 2026 Enforcement Actions Targeting Banks and FinTech
- mediumosint_eventFOREX
OSINT: SEC Provides Exemptive Relief on Inline XBRL Filing Requirements
- mediumosint_eventFOREX
OSINT: U.S. August Payrolls Rise 162K, Unemployment Holds at 4.1%
- mediumosint_eventFOREX
OSINT: US-UK Leaders Discuss Joint Plan for Central Counterparty Resolution
- mediumosint_eventFOREX
OSINT: U.S. Energy Sec. Wright Addresses IAEA, Emphasizes Nuclear Security