Kresmion event archive
120 cross-asset events fired across commodity, crypto, equity, forex, macro. See also the Kresmion brief for 2026-11-02.
commodity (22)
- criticalFutures volume spikePA=F
Palladium volume spike - 4.2× the 20-day average (8 vs 1 avg)
- criticalCrop stressKC=F
Vietnam Dak Lak: crop water stress detected (3.1σ above baseline) - potential KC=F supply pressure
- highFutures volume spikePL=F
Platinum volume spike - 2.7× the 20-day average (32 vs 11 avg)
- highFutures volume spikeHE=F
Lean Hogs volume spike - 2.7× the 20-day average (57,798 vs 21,483 avg)
- highCrowded short positioningNG=F
NATURAL GAS: speculators net short 255,164 contracts, 15.18% of open interest (-2.9σ vs 3y mean), crowded short positioning
- highOSINT energyOIL
OSINT: Goldman Hikes 2027 Brent Forecast For These Two Reasons
- highOSINT energyOIL
OSINT: Gasoline prices in the USA could break a record before the midterm elections, FT
- highOSINT energyOIL
OSINT: Goldman raised its oil price forecast due to "significant" risks of reduced market supply
- mediumFutures volume spikeZM=F
Soybean Meal volume spike - 2.0× the 20-day average (111,076 vs 54,855 avg)
- mediumFutures volume spikeHG=F
Copper volume spike - 2.2× the 20-day average (3,241 vs 1,472 avg)
- mediumFutures price gapETH=F
Ethereum (CME) fell 4.2% vs prior close ($2,334.50 → $2,235.76)
- mediumFutures price gapSI=F
Silver fell 5.9% vs prior close ($52.19 → $49.10)
- mediumFutures price gapBTC=F
Bitcoin (CME) fell 4.1% vs prior close ($80,745.00 → $77,469.00)
- mediumOSINT eventOIL
OSINT: Brent, WTI Futs Tumble As Trump May Give Diplomacy A Chance, Iran Floats Two-Day Hormuz Reopening
- mediumArctic shipping route openCL=F
Arctic ice extent 7.84 Mkm² on 2026-10-31 - -1.50 vs 1981-2010 median (-16.1%); NSR open: False
- mediumRSI level crossedGOLD
GOLD RSI 25.1, oversold (crossed below 30)
- lowFutures price gapNQ=F
Nasdaq E-mini fell 3.5% vs prior close ($29,562.00 → $28,534.00)
- lowFutures price gapRB=F
RBOB Gasoline rose 4.0% vs prior close ($3.18 → $3.31)
- lowFutures price gapGC=F
Gold fell 3.3% vs prior close ($4,031.40 → $3,898.90)
- lowFutures price gapPL=F
Platinum fell 3.8% vs prior close ($1,494.80 → $1,438.00)
- lowFutures price gapGF=F
Feeder Cattle fell 3.8% vs prior close ($351.10 → $337.77)
- lowCrop stressCC=F
Ivory Coast Belt: crop water stress detected (1.6σ above baseline) - potential CC=F supply pressure
equity (81)
2 insiders at WRLD sold $15.7M this week
3 insiders at BROS sold $41.0M this week
3 insiders at ENVA sold $11.5M this week
2 insiders at IOT sold $22.6M this week
2 insiders at STNG sold $34.3M this week
2 insiders at GS sold $11.2M this week
NVDA RSI 26.9, oversold (crossed below 30)
Voyager Acquisition Corp. II search volume spiked +100 pts, unusual interest
Greenlane Holdings, Inc. 8-K references BTC treasury activity · filed 2026-11-02
Nuvalent, Inc. search volume spiked +100 pts, unusual interest
GLOBUS MEDICAL INC search volume spiked +100 pts, unusual interest
Q3-2026: Missed consensus by 27.1%, EPS $0.13 vs $0.1784 estimate
Q3-2026: Missed consensus by 12.7%, EPS $0.85 vs $0.9731 estimate
Q3-2026: Missed consensus by 13.0%, EPS $0.52 vs $0.5977 estimate
Q3-2026: Missed consensus by 7.1%, EPS $1.67 vs $1.7974 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 9.1%, EPS $2.29 vs $2.0992 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 21.6%, EPS $0.63 vs $0.5183 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 188.1%, EPS $0.07 vs $-0.0795 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 17.0%, EPS $2.6132 vs $2.2338 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 86.6%, EPS $1.8751 vs $1.0047 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 181.9%, EPS $0.46 vs $0.1632 estimate
Q3-2026: Missed consensus by 13.0%, EPS $1.38 vs $1.5861 estimate
Q2-2027: Beat consensus by 31.0%, EPS $-0.54 vs $-0.7825 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 21.2%, EPS $20.07 vs $16.5625 estimate
Q2-2027: Missed consensus by 44.7%, EPS $0.31 vs $0.561 estimate
Q2-2026: Missed consensus by 44.7%, EPS $0.31 vs $0.561 estimate
Q1-2027: Missed consensus by 11.7%, EPS $0.34 vs $0.3852 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 31.0%, EPS $3.69 vs $2.8163 estimate
Q2-2027: Beat consensus by 17.8%, EPS $1.90 vs $1.6135 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 7.6%, EPS $0.72 vs $0.6691 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 14.1%, EPS $5.79 vs $5.0725 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 10.7%, EPS $1.12 vs $1.0118 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 7.6%, EPS $5.11 vs $4.7508 estimate
Q2-2026: Beat consensus by 203.0%, EPS $0.17 vs $0.0561 estimate
Q1-2027: Beat consensus by 203.0%, EPS $0.17 vs $0.0561 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 8.0%, EPS $7.27 vs $6.7292 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 16.8%, EPS $0.18 vs $0.1541 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 8.0%, EPS $0.50 vs $0.4628 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 6.4%, EPS $18.77 vs $17.6346 estimate
Q3-2026: Missed consensus by 8.6%, EPS $0.26 vs $0.2844 estimate
Q3-2026: Missed consensus by 4665.2%, EPS $-4.41 vs $0.0966 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 7.8%, EPS $1.26 vs $1.1693 estimate
Q3-2026: Missed consensus by 7.6%, EPS $0.99 vs $1.071 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 10.5%, EPS $0.263 vs $0.238 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 8.0%, EPS $0.42 vs $0.3889 estimate
Q3-2026: Missed consensus by 14.9%, EPS $1.20 vs $1.41 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 17.8%, EPS $4.93 vs $4.1856 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 44.4%, EPS $1.22 vs $0.845 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 17.7%, EPS $1.23 vs $1.045 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 7.6%, EPS $0.50 vs $0.4646 estimate
Q3-2026: Missed consensus by 10.1%, EPS $0.48 vs $0.534 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 9.6%, EPS $3.69 vs $3.368 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 19.8%, EPS $1.03 vs $0.8599 estimate
Q3-2026: Missed consensus by 41.2%, EPS $0.3215 vs $0.5468 estimate
Q3-2026: Missed consensus by 5.3%, EPS $0.14 vs $0.1479 estimate
Q3-2026: Missed consensus by 22.8%, EPS $0.37 vs $0.479 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 283.7%, EPS $0.31 vs $0.0808 estimate
C Dec 18 calls traded 68.5x prior open interest, premium over $5M
C Nov 20 calls traded 9442.0x prior open interest, premium over $5M
QQQ Sep 17 calls traded 34.0x prior open interest, premium over $5M
MU Feb 19 calls traded 18.2x prior open interest, premium over $5M
AAPL Mar 17 calls traded 6.3x prior open interest, premium over $5M
AMD Feb 19 calls traded 14.1x prior open interest, premium over $5M
C Dec 18 calls traded 1216.0x prior open interest, premium over $5M
C Dec 18 calls traded 16.5x prior open interest, premium over $5M
QQQ Sep 17 calls traded 10.4x prior open interest, premium over $5M
QQQ Sep 17 calls traded 14.9x prior open interest, premium over $5M
SPY Nov 13 puts traded 5.3x prior open interest, premium over $5M
QQQ Dec 17 calls traded 30.9x prior open interest, premium over $5M
QQQ Dec 17 calls traded 8.6x prior open interest, premium over $5M
QQQ Jun 17 calls traded 5.7x prior open interest, premium over $5M
QQQ Jun 17 calls traded 6.4x prior open interest, premium over $5M
HAWAIIAN ELECTRIC INDUSTRIES INC search volume spiked +100 pts, unusual interest
MSFT RSI 29.6, oversold (crossed below 30)
QIAGEN N.V. search volume spiked +100 pts, unusual interest
NVDA RSI 29.6, oversold (crossed below 30)
- mediumCorporate crypto treasury
BITMINE IMMERSION TECHNOLOGIES, INC. (BMNP, BMNR) 8-K references ETH treasury activity · filed 2026-11-02
Empery Digital Inc. 8-K references BTC treasury activity · filed 2026-11-02
Tradeweb Markets Inc. search volume spiked +100 pts, unusual interest
QQQ RSI 28.7, oversold (crossed below 30)
NEWS CORP search volume spiked +25 pts, unusual interest
forex (3)
- mediumCrowded short positioningEURUSD
EUR/USD: speculators net short 143,894 contracts, 16.57% of open interest (-2.5σ vs 3y mean), crowded short positioning
- mediumOSINT eventFOREX
OSINT: TRUMP: Oil prices are FALLING RAPIDLY - by almost 10 dollars per barrel, which is a RECORD - because people believe ther
- mediumOSINT eventFOREX
OSINT: The Central Bank of China strengthened the yuan exchange rate against the dollar to a new high since 2022
macro (6)
- mediumVIXVIX
VIX at 21.7: CAUTION territory
- mediumOSINT eventMACRO
OSINT: OCC Releases CRA Performance Evaluations for 19 National Banks and Federal Savings Associations
- mediumVIXVIX
VIX at 19.1: CAUTION territory
- mediumVIXVIX
VIX at 19.0: CAUTION territory
- mediumShippingSHIPPING
china_us_east shipping -6.2%, potential inflation signal
- mediumVIXVIX
VIX at 19.4: CAUTION territory
crypto (8)
- mediumDEX volume vs liquidityETH
ETH DEX volume/liquidity ratio elevated (0.66x): on-chain trade volume 0.66x liquidity
- mediumOSINT eventCRYPTO
OSINT: Solana Ecosystem Token Unlocks: What to Watch in November 2026
- mediumDEX volume vs liquiditySOL
SOL DEX volume/liquidity ratio elevated (0.51x): on-chain trade volume 0.51x liquidity
- mediumDEX volume vs liquidityETH
ETH DEX volume/liquidity ratio elevated (0.50x): on-chain trade volume 0.50x liquidity
- mediumDEX volume vs liquiditySOL
SOL DEX volume/liquidity ratio elevated (0.70x): on-chain trade volume 0.70x liquidity
- mediumNet flow reversedUSDT
USDT 7d exchange netflow flipped to net outflow of $61M after $1,781M net inflow the prior 7d · self-transfers excluded
KMNO funding -0.0205% · 4th percentile of its 204d Binance history
- mediumDEX volume vs liquiditySOL
SOL DEX volume/liquidity ratio elevated (0.60x): on-chain trade volume 0.60x liquidity