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Kresmion event archive

120 cross-asset events fired across commodity, crypto, equity, forex, macro. See also the Kresmion brief for 2026-11-02.

commodity (22)

  • criticalFutures volume spikePA=F

    Palladium volume spike - 4.2× the 20-day average (8 vs 1 avg)

  • criticalCrop stressKC=F

    Vietnam Dak Lak: crop water stress detected (3.1σ above baseline) - potential KC=F supply pressure

  • highFutures volume spikePL=F

    Platinum volume spike - 2.7× the 20-day average (32 vs 11 avg)

  • highFutures volume spikeHE=F

    Lean Hogs volume spike - 2.7× the 20-day average (57,798 vs 21,483 avg)

  • highCrowded short positioningNG=F

    NATURAL GAS: speculators net short 255,164 contracts, 15.18% of open interest (-2.9σ vs 3y mean), crowded short positioning

  • highOSINT energyOIL

    OSINT: Goldman Hikes 2027 Brent Forecast For These Two Reasons

  • highOSINT energyOIL

    OSINT: Gasoline prices in the USA could break a record before the midterm elections, FT

  • highOSINT energyOIL

    OSINT: Goldman raised its oil price forecast due to "significant" risks of reduced market supply

  • mediumFutures volume spikeZM=F

    Soybean Meal volume spike - 2.0× the 20-day average (111,076 vs 54,855 avg)

  • mediumFutures volume spikeHG=F

    Copper volume spike - 2.2× the 20-day average (3,241 vs 1,472 avg)

  • mediumFutures price gapETH=F

    Ethereum (CME) fell 4.2% vs prior close ($2,334.50 → $2,235.76)

  • mediumFutures price gapSI=F

    Silver fell 5.9% vs prior close ($52.19 → $49.10)

  • mediumFutures price gapBTC=F

    Bitcoin (CME) fell 4.1% vs prior close ($80,745.00 → $77,469.00)

  • mediumOSINT eventOIL

    OSINT: Brent, WTI Futs Tumble As Trump May Give Diplomacy A Chance, Iran Floats Two-Day Hormuz Reopening

  • mediumArctic shipping route openCL=F

    Arctic ice extent 7.84 Mkm² on 2026-10-31 - -1.50 vs 1981-2010 median (-16.1%); NSR open: False

  • mediumRSI level crossedGOLD

    GOLD RSI 25.1, oversold (crossed below 30)

  • lowFutures price gapNQ=F

    Nasdaq E-mini fell 3.5% vs prior close ($29,562.00 → $28,534.00)

  • lowFutures price gapRB=F

    RBOB Gasoline rose 4.0% vs prior close ($3.18 → $3.31)

  • lowFutures price gapGC=F

    Gold fell 3.3% vs prior close ($4,031.40 → $3,898.90)

  • lowFutures price gapPL=F

    Platinum fell 3.8% vs prior close ($1,494.80 → $1,438.00)

  • lowFutures price gapGF=F

    Feeder Cattle fell 3.8% vs prior close ($351.10 → $337.77)

  • lowCrop stressCC=F

    Ivory Coast Belt: crop water stress detected (1.6σ above baseline) - potential CC=F supply pressure

equity (81)

  • highInsider cluster: salesWRLD

    2 insiders at WRLD sold $15.7M this week

  • highInsider cluster: salesBROS

    3 insiders at BROS sold $41.0M this week

  • highInsider cluster: salesENVA

    3 insiders at ENVA sold $11.5M this week

  • highInsider cluster: salesIOT

    2 insiders at IOT sold $22.6M this week

  • highInsider cluster: salesSTNG

    2 insiders at STNG sold $34.3M this week

  • highInsider cluster: salesGS

    2 insiders at GS sold $11.2M this week

  • mediumRSI level crossedNVDA

    NVDA RSI 26.9, oversold (crossed below 30)

  • mediumTrend spikeVAII

    Voyager Acquisition Corp. II search volume spiked +100 pts, unusual interest

  • mediumCorporate crypto treasuryGNLN

    Greenlane Holdings, Inc. 8-K references BTC treasury activity · filed 2026-11-02

  • mediumTrend spikeNUVL.D

    Nuvalent, Inc. search volume spiked +100 pts, unusual interest

  • mediumTrend spikeGMED

    GLOBUS MEDICAL INC search volume spiked +100 pts, unusual interest

  • mediumEarnings below estimatesVTR

    Q3-2026: Missed consensus by 27.1%, EPS $0.13 vs $0.1784 estimate

  • mediumEarnings below estimatesUBS

    Q3-2026: Missed consensus by 12.7%, EPS $0.85 vs $0.9731 estimate

  • mediumEarnings below estimatesTFIN

    Q3-2026: Missed consensus by 13.0%, EPS $0.52 vs $0.5977 estimate

  • mediumEarnings below estimatesTFII

    Q3-2026: Missed consensus by 7.1%, EPS $1.67 vs $1.7974 estimate

  • mediumEarnings above estimatesTER

    Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 9.1%, EPS $2.29 vs $2.0992 estimate

  • mediumEarnings above estimatesTENB

    Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 21.6%, EPS $0.63 vs $0.5183 estimate

  • mediumEarnings above estimatesTEM

    Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 188.1%, EPS $0.07 vs $-0.0795 estimate

  • mediumEarnings above estimatesTELNY

    Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 17.0%, EPS $2.6132 vs $2.2338 estimate

  • mediumEarnings above estimatesTECK

    Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 86.6%, EPS $1.8751 vs $1.0047 estimate

  • mediumEarnings above estimatesSPOK

    Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 181.9%, EPS $0.46 vs $0.1632 estimate

  • mediumEarnings below estimatesSEIC

    Q3-2026: Missed consensus by 13.0%, EPS $1.38 vs $1.5861 estimate

  • mediumEarnings above estimatesREPL

    Q2-2027: Beat consensus by 31.0%, EPS $-0.54 vs $-0.7825 estimate

  • mediumEarnings above estimatesREGN

    Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 21.2%, EPS $20.07 vs $16.5625 estimate

  • mediumEarnings below estimatesPPIH

    Q2-2027: Missed consensus by 44.7%, EPS $0.31 vs $0.561 estimate

  • mediumEarnings below estimatesPPIH

    Q2-2026: Missed consensus by 44.7%, EPS $0.31 vs $0.561 estimate

  • mediumEarnings below estimatesNSSC

    Q1-2027: Missed consensus by 11.7%, EPS $0.34 vs $0.3852 estimate

  • mediumEarnings above estimatesMEOH

    Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 31.0%, EPS $3.69 vs $2.8163 estimate

  • mediumEarnings above estimatesMDB

    Q2-2027: Beat consensus by 17.8%, EPS $1.90 vs $1.6135 estimate

  • mediumEarnings above estimatesMD

    Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 7.6%, EPS $0.72 vs $0.6691 estimate

  • mediumEarnings above estimatesLFUS

    Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 14.1%, EPS $5.79 vs $5.0725 estimate

  • mediumEarnings above estimatesKBR

    Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 10.7%, EPS $1.12 vs $1.0118 estimate

  • mediumEarnings above estimatesIMO

    Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 7.6%, EPS $5.11 vs $4.7508 estimate

  • mediumEarnings above estimatesIMMR

    Q2-2026: Beat consensus by 203.0%, EPS $0.17 vs $0.0561 estimate

  • mediumEarnings above estimatesIMMR

    Q1-2027: Beat consensus by 203.0%, EPS $0.17 vs $0.0561 estimate

  • mediumEarnings above estimatesHCA

    Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 8.0%, EPS $7.27 vs $6.7292 estimate

  • mediumEarnings above estimatesHAYW

    Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 16.8%, EPS $0.18 vs $0.1541 estimate

  • mediumEarnings above estimatesHAPN

    Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 8.0%, EPS $0.50 vs $0.4628 estimate

  • mediumEarnings above estimatesGHC

    Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 6.4%, EPS $18.77 vs $17.6346 estimate

  • mediumEarnings below estimatesGFL

    Q3-2026: Missed consensus by 8.6%, EPS $0.26 vs $0.2844 estimate

  • mediumEarnings below estimatesFMC

    Q3-2026: Missed consensus by 4665.2%, EPS $-4.41 vs $0.0966 estimate

  • mediumEarnings above estimatesFMBH

    Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 7.8%, EPS $1.26 vs $1.1693 estimate

  • mediumEarnings below estimatesFISI

    Q3-2026: Missed consensus by 7.6%, EPS $0.99 vs $1.071 estimate

  • mediumEarnings above estimatesFINW

    Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 10.5%, EPS $0.263 vs $0.238 estimate

  • mediumEarnings above estimatesEQT

    Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 8.0%, EPS $0.42 vs $0.3889 estimate

  • mediumEarnings below estimatesEQNR

    Q3-2026: Missed consensus by 14.9%, EPS $1.20 vs $1.41 estimate

  • mediumEarnings above estimatesEQIX

    Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 17.8%, EPS $4.93 vs $4.1856 estimate

  • mediumEarnings above estimatesEPR

    Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 44.4%, EPS $1.22 vs $0.845 estimate

  • mediumEarnings above estimatesENTG

    Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 17.7%, EPS $1.23 vs $1.045 estimate

  • mediumEarnings above estimatesDMC

    Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 7.6%, EPS $0.50 vs $0.4646 estimate

  • mediumEarnings below estimatesDLR

    Q3-2026: Missed consensus by 10.1%, EPS $0.48 vs $0.534 estimate

  • mediumEarnings above estimatesCROX

    Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 9.6%, EPS $3.69 vs $3.368 estimate

  • mediumEarnings above estimatesCRI

    Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 19.8%, EPS $1.03 vs $0.8599 estimate

  • mediumEarnings below estimatesCRARF

    Q3-2026: Missed consensus by 41.2%, EPS $0.3215 vs $0.5468 estimate

  • mediumEarnings below estimatesCHMI

    Q3-2026: Missed consensus by 5.3%, EPS $0.14 vs $0.1479 estimate

  • mediumEarnings below estimatesCGAU

    Q3-2026: Missed consensus by 22.8%, EPS $0.37 vs $0.479 estimate

  • mediumEarnings above estimatesAKR

    Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 283.7%, EPS $0.31 vs $0.0808 estimate

  • mediumUnusual options activityC

    C Dec 18 calls traded 68.5x prior open interest, premium over $5M

  • mediumUnusual options activityC

    C Nov 20 calls traded 9442.0x prior open interest, premium over $5M

  • mediumUnusual options activityQQQ

    QQQ Sep 17 calls traded 34.0x prior open interest, premium over $5M

  • mediumUnusual options activityMU

    MU Feb 19 calls traded 18.2x prior open interest, premium over $5M

  • mediumUnusual options activityAAPL

    AAPL Mar 17 calls traded 6.3x prior open interest, premium over $5M

  • mediumUnusual options activityAMD

    AMD Feb 19 calls traded 14.1x prior open interest, premium over $5M

  • mediumUnusual options activityC

    C Dec 18 calls traded 1216.0x prior open interest, premium over $5M

  • mediumUnusual options activityC

    C Dec 18 calls traded 16.5x prior open interest, premium over $5M

  • mediumUnusual options activityQQQ

    QQQ Sep 17 calls traded 10.4x prior open interest, premium over $5M

  • mediumUnusual options activityQQQ

    QQQ Sep 17 calls traded 14.9x prior open interest, premium over $5M

  • mediumUnusual options activitySPY

    SPY Nov 13 puts traded 5.3x prior open interest, premium over $5M

  • mediumUnusual options activityQQQ

    QQQ Dec 17 calls traded 30.9x prior open interest, premium over $5M

  • mediumUnusual options activityQQQ

    QQQ Dec 17 calls traded 8.6x prior open interest, premium over $5M

  • mediumUnusual options activityQQQ

    QQQ Jun 17 calls traded 5.7x prior open interest, premium over $5M

  • mediumUnusual options activityQQQ

    QQQ Jun 17 calls traded 6.4x prior open interest, premium over $5M

  • mediumTrend spikeHE

    HAWAIIAN ELECTRIC INDUSTRIES INC search volume spiked +100 pts, unusual interest

  • mediumRSI level crossedMSFT

    MSFT RSI 29.6, oversold (crossed below 30)

  • mediumTrend spikeQGEN

    QIAGEN N.V. search volume spiked +100 pts, unusual interest

  • mediumRSI level crossedNVDA

    NVDA RSI 29.6, oversold (crossed below 30)

  • mediumCorporate crypto treasury

    BITMINE IMMERSION TECHNOLOGIES, INC. (BMNP, BMNR) 8-K references ETH treasury activity · filed 2026-11-02

  • mediumCorporate crypto treasuryEMPD

    Empery Digital Inc. 8-K references BTC treasury activity · filed 2026-11-02

  • mediumTrend spikeTW

    Tradeweb Markets Inc. search volume spiked +100 pts, unusual interest

  • mediumRSI level crossedQQQ

    QQQ RSI 28.7, oversold (crossed below 30)

  • mediumTrend spikeNWSA

    NEWS CORP search volume spiked +25 pts, unusual interest

forex (3)

  • mediumCrowded short positioningEURUSD

    EUR/USD: speculators net short 143,894 contracts, 16.57% of open interest (-2.5σ vs 3y mean), crowded short positioning

  • mediumOSINT eventFOREX

    OSINT: TRUMP: Oil prices are FALLING RAPIDLY - by almost 10 dollars per barrel, which is a RECORD - because people believe ther

  • mediumOSINT eventFOREX

    OSINT: The Central Bank of China strengthened the yuan exchange rate against the dollar to a new high since 2022

macro (6)

  • mediumVIXVIX

    VIX at 21.7: CAUTION territory

  • mediumOSINT eventMACRO

    OSINT: OCC Releases CRA Performance Evaluations for 19 National Banks and Federal Savings Associations

  • mediumVIXVIX

    VIX at 19.1: CAUTION territory

  • mediumVIXVIX

    VIX at 19.0: CAUTION territory

  • mediumShippingSHIPPING

    china_us_east shipping -6.2%, potential inflation signal

  • mediumVIXVIX

    VIX at 19.4: CAUTION territory

crypto (8)

  • mediumDEX volume vs liquidityETH

    ETH DEX volume/liquidity ratio elevated (0.66x): on-chain trade volume 0.66x liquidity

  • mediumOSINT eventCRYPTO

    OSINT: Solana Ecosystem Token Unlocks: What to Watch in November 2026

  • mediumDEX volume vs liquiditySOL

    SOL DEX volume/liquidity ratio elevated (0.51x): on-chain trade volume 0.51x liquidity

  • mediumDEX volume vs liquidityETH

    ETH DEX volume/liquidity ratio elevated (0.50x): on-chain trade volume 0.50x liquidity

  • mediumDEX volume vs liquiditySOL

    SOL DEX volume/liquidity ratio elevated (0.70x): on-chain trade volume 0.70x liquidity

  • mediumNet flow reversedUSDT

    USDT 7d exchange netflow flipped to net outflow of $61M after $1,781M net inflow the prior 7d · self-transfers excluded

  • mediumFunding rate percentileKMNO

    KMNO funding -0.0205% · 4th percentile of its 204d Binance history

  • mediumDEX volume vs liquiditySOL

    SOL DEX volume/liquidity ratio elevated (0.60x): on-chain trade volume 0.60x liquidity