Ethereum Up or Down on August 29?
Part of: Ethereum Up or Down on August 29?. Crowd probability estimates from prediction markets, not financial advice.
As of Aug 29, 2026, Polymarket prices "Ethereum Up or Down on August 29?" at 6 percent YES, down 45.0 points in the last 24 hours, on $61K of lifetime volume.
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Probability history
Gridlines at 25, 50 and 75 percent. History covers the recorded price path of the YES outcome.
History in numbers
Since Aug 28, 2026, this market has traded between 5 percent (Aug 29, 2026) and 17 percent (Aug 28, 2026), across 16 recorded prices.
Market liquidity
The best bid for YES is 5 percent and the best ask is 6 percent, a spread of 1.0 percentage points. Within 1 percent of the mid price the book holds $0 on the bid side and $0 on the ask side.
A tighter spread means the two sides agree more closely on the price. Depth indicates how much can trade near the current price.
Order book captured 2026-08-29 05:26 UTC.
Market details
Venues: Polymarket
How this market resolves
The market currently prices the YES outcome at 6 percent, with the NO outcome at 94 percent. This is read as the crowd's probability estimate for this event, not a forecast or advice.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Aug 28 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Aug 29 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Aug 28 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Aug 29 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
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Source: Polymarket via the public gamma API, synced by Kresmion. Last updated 2026-08-29 05:32 UTC. This page is research context, not an order book. Kresmion accepts no orders and holds no funds. Percentages are YES prices and can move fast.
Kresmion reports prediction market prices as market data. We are not an operator of any prediction market, we take no positions and hold no funds, and nothing on this page is an invitation to trade on any venue. Prediction markets are not authorised in every jurisdiction. Check the rules that apply where you are before using one.