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PREDICTION MARKET ODDS

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 August 24-30?

Part of: What price will Bitcoin hit August 24-30?. Crowd probability estimates from prediction markets, not financial advice.

As of Aug 29, 2026, Polymarket prices "Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 August 24-30?" at 1 percent YES, down 0.9 points in the last 24 hours, on $82K of lifetime volume.

Yes probability
1%
24h change
-0.9pp
Volume
$82K
Resolves by
Aug 31, 2026
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Probability history

Gridlines at 25, 50 and 75 percent. History covers the recorded price path of the YES outcome.

History in numbers

Since Aug 24, 2026, this market has traded between 1 percent (Aug 28, 2026) and 5 percent (Aug 25, 2026), across 139 recorded prices.

Lifetime high
5%
Lifetime low
1%
Recorded prices
139

Other outcomes in this event

Yes probability
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 August 24-30?30%Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 August 24-30?6%Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 August 24-30?2%Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 August 24-30?1%Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 August 24-30?1%

Market details

Lifetime volume
$82K
24h volume
$30K
Liquidity
$33K
Resolution date
Aug 31, 2026
Category
Crypto

Venues: Polymarket

How this market resolves

The market currently prices the YES outcome at 1 percent, with the NO outcome at 99 percent. This is read as the crowd's probability estimate for this event, not a forecast or advice.

Resolution rules, as published by Polymarket

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

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Source: Polymarket via the public gamma API, synced by Kresmion. Last updated 2026-08-29 06:29 UTC. This page is research context, not an order book. Kresmion accepts no orders and holds no funds. Percentages are YES prices and can move fast.

Kresmion reports prediction market prices as market data. We are not an operator of any prediction market, we take no positions and hold no funds, and nothing on this page is an invitation to trade on any venue. Prediction markets are not authorised in every jurisdiction. Check the rules that apply where you are before using one.