Kresmion signals archive
209 cross-asset signals fired across commodity, crypto, equity, forex, macro. See also the Kresmion brief for 2026-07-05.
commodity (27)
Copper volume spike - 4.3× the 20-day average (9,568 vs 2,244 avg)
Silver volume spike - 8.7× the 20-day average (14,657 vs 1,679 avg)
Platinum volume spike - 11.2× the 20-day average (5,170 vs 461 avg)
Gold volume spike - 46.9× the 20-day average (56,121 vs 1,195 avg)
Coffee bear 11.4% vs prior close ($324.30 → $287.45)
Abqaiq Processing: 1 fire hotspots detected (629.0σ above baseline) - potential OIL supply impact
Copper volume spike - 4.2× the 20-day average (9,483 vs 2,244 avg)
Platinum volume spike - 11.1× the 20-day average (5,119 vs 461 avg)
Silver volume spike - 8.2× the 20-day average (13,752 vs 1,679 avg)
Gold volume spike - 45.7× the 20-day average (54,673 vs 1,195 avg)
Coffee bear 11.4% vs prior close ($324.30 → $287.45)
OSINT: Social media alert flags unexpected event
OSINT: Macro Signals Pressure on Gold and Bitcoin
Saudi Arabia (Dhahran): drought conditions detected - potential oil supply impact
OSINT: Iran's top leaders attend Khamenei funeral amid massive public turnout
OSINT: Poll Shows Majority Confident About Achieving American Dream
Corn bull 4.7% vs prior close ($421.00 → $440.75)
Cotton bull 5.8% vs prior close ($73.28 → $77.52)
Silver bull 4.3% vs prior close ($60.64 → $63.23)
RBOB Gasoline bear 5.3% vs prior close ($2.92 → $2.76)
Gold +1.81%: significant gain on the session
OSINT: US Prime‑Age Labor Participation Falls 0.6 pts in June, 2nd‑Largest Drop on Reco
Gold +1.81%: significant gain on the session
Gold +1.81%: significant gain on the session
Corn bull 4.7% vs prior close ($421.00 → $440.75)
Cotton bull 5.8% vs prior close ($73.28 → $77.52)
RBOB Gasoline bear 4.9% vs prior close ($2.92 → $2.77)
equity (27)
Debt issued for acquisition financing - deal likely imminent
S&P 500 MINI - speculators net long (+2.8σ vs 52w mean) - contrarian bear signal
Q4-2026: Missed consensus by 10.3% - EPS $0.43 vs $0.4794 estimate
Bond issued at elevated rate 12.0% - credit-stress signal
OSINT: US Prime‑Age Labor Participation Falls 0.6 pts in June, 2nd‑Largest Drop on Reco
OSINT: Coinbase launches broad expansion into tokenized stocks, AI, derivatives
OSINT: US Economic Data Week: PMI, ADP, Fed Minutes, Jobless Claims
OSINT: Ethereum Foundation Grants $4.34M in stETH to Argot for Fourth Year
OSINT: Chinese robotics firm Unitree cleared for $619M Shanghai IPO
OSINT: Unusual Presidential Stock Trades Spotlighted
OSINT: Satoshi's Email Sparks Birth of Bitcoin and Crypto Market
OSINT: Saylor Says Capital Flows, Not Halvings, Will Shape Bitcoin’s Future
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 12.5% - EPS $2.17 vs $1.9281 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 25.5% - EPS $1.53 vs $1.2196 estimate
Q3-2025: Missed consensus by 22.5% - EPS $-0.1 vs $-0.0816 estimate
Q2-2025: Missed consensus by 150.0% - EPS $-0.17 vs $-0.068 estimate
Q4-2025: Missed consensus by 93.4% - EPS $-0.73 vs $-0.3774 estimate
Q1-2025: Missed consensus by 9.8% - EPS $-0.84 vs $-0.765 estimate
Q4-2025: Beat consensus by 44.4% - EPS $-0.85 vs $-1.53 estimate
Q3-2025: Beat consensus by 42.5% - EPS $-0.88 vs $-1.53 estimate
Q2-2025: Missed consensus by 33.3% - EPS $-1.02 vs $-0.765 estimate
Q2-2025: Missed consensus by 15.3% - EPS $-1.04 vs $-0.902 estimate
Q2-2026: Missed consensus by 39.9% - EPS $156.35808 vs $259.974 estimate
Q1-2026: Beat consensus by 90.0% - EPS $-24.65123 vs $-246.137 estimate
Q2-2025: Beat consensus by 90.0% - EPS $-24.65123 vs $-246.137 estimate
Q4-2025: Beat consensus by 143.8% - EPS $172.36585 vs $70.7 estimate
Q1-2026: Beat consensus by 66.3% - EPS $-13.44 vs $-39.8412 estimate
crypto (139)
JUP open interest -76.9% - OI collapse
ENA open interest +47.4% - OI surge
IO open interest -79.7% - OI collapse
W open interest +367.3% - OI surge
JTO open interest +23.2% - OI surge
PYTH open interest +477.9% - OI surge
KMNO open interest +113.3% - OI surge
EIGEN open interest -72.0% - OI collapse
DRIFT open interest -35.2% - OI collapse
ME open interest -23.0% - OI collapse
STRK open interest +37.6% - OI surge
SEI open interest +449.0% - OI surge
TNSR open interest +330.4% - OI surge
BCH open interest -71.6% - OI collapse
ATOM open interest +314.2% - OI surge
LINK open interest -47.0% - OI collapse
DOGE open interest -27.0% - OI collapse
APT open interest -77.5% - OI collapse
UNI open interest -54.5% - OI collapse
NEAR open interest -65.3% - OI collapse
LTC open interest +152.0% - OI surge
AVAX open interest -71.3% - OI collapse
INJ open interest +186.3% - OI surge
TIA open interest +23.8% - OI surge
ARB open interest -72.7% - OI collapse
XRP open interest -75.9% - OI collapse
DOT open interest -73.9% - OI collapse
SUI open interest +45.3% - OI surge
OP open interest +23.6% - OI surge
ADA open interest -34.5% - OI collapse
SOL open interest +70.6% - OI surge
BTC open interest +78.3% - OI surge
ETH open interest -68.3% - OI collapse
ME open interest -84.9% - OI collapse
JTO open interest +21.2% - OI surge
ENA open interest -81.9% - OI collapse
IO open interest -53.4% - OI collapse
TNSR open interest -77.2% - OI collapse
PYTH open interest +460.9% - OI surge
STRK open interest -73.7% - OI collapse
DRIFT open interest +54.2% - OI surge
W open interest -56.7% - OI collapse
SEI open interest -82.3% - OI collapse
KMNO open interest -49.5% - OI collapse
JUP open interest -76.6% - OI collapse
EIGEN open interest +210.2% - OI surge
ATOM open interest +502.6% - OI surge
XRP open interest -76.0% - OI collapse
AVAX open interest -69.6% - OI collapse
APT open interest -75.7% - OI collapse
DOT open interest -52.4% - OI collapse
LINK open interest +22.7% - OI surge
DOGE open interest +595.5% - OI surge
TIA open interest -20.6% - OI collapse
BCH open interest -55.8% - OI collapse
LTC open interest -64.0% - OI collapse
NEAR open interest -63.5% - OI collapse
SUI open interest -72.6% - OI collapse
OP open interest -60.8% - OI collapse
ARB open interest +329.9% - OI surge
UNI open interest +20.1% - OI surge
ADA open interest +55.2% - OI surge
INJ open interest +271.3% - OI surge
SOL open interest -66.2% - OI collapse
BTC open interest +242.2% - OI surge
ETH open interest +197.7% - OI surge
JTO open interest -20.9% - OI collapse
ENA open interest -87.6% - OI collapse
STRK open interest -42.4% - OI collapse
DRIFT open interest +52.7% - OI surge
IO open interest -56.0% - OI collapse
W open interest -60.8% - OI collapse
JUP open interest +233.0% - OI surge
ME open interest +62.4% - OI surge
EIGEN open interest -73.4% - OI collapse
TNSR open interest -77.8% - OI collapse
KMNO open interest +307.4% - OI surge
PYTH open interest -70.5% - OI collapse
SEI open interest +471.3% - OI surge
NEAR open interest +190.9% - OI surge
INJ open interest +193.6% - OI surge
BCH open interest -80.7% - OI collapse
APT open interest +334.3% - OI surge
XRP open interest +140.4% - OI surge
TIA open interest -80.4% - OI collapse
UNI open interest -60.3% - OI collapse
ARB open interest -72.3% - OI collapse
ADA open interest -51.4% - OI collapse
LTC open interest -59.7% - OI collapse
OP open interest -51.6% - OI collapse
DOGE open interest +152.2% - OI surge
DOT open interest +108.5% - OI surge
ATOM open interest -87.0% - OI collapse
LINK open interest -53.4% - OI collapse
AVAX open interest +59.0% - OI surge
SUI open interest -21.9% - OI collapse
BTC open interest -39.8% - OI collapse
ETH open interest -69.1% - OI collapse
SOL open interest -24.8% - OI collapse
PYTH open interest -53.5% - OI collapse
IO open interest +131.3% - OI surge
STRK open interest +32.8% - OI surge
SEI open interest -83.0% - OI collapse
TNSR open interest -78.0% - OI collapse
JTO open interest -42.9% - OI collapse
ME open interest -75.3% - OI collapse
JUP open interest -76.4% - OI collapse
KMNO open interest +101.0% - OI surge
W open interest -61.7% - OI collapse
DRIFT open interest +48.4% - OI surge
ENA open interest +918.9% - OI surge
EIGEN open interest -73.9% - OI collapse
LTC open interest -45.4% - OI collapse
LINK open interest +24.2% - OI surge
INJ open interest -66.3% - OI collapse
DOGE open interest -73.3% - OI collapse
ATOM open interest -72.3% - OI collapse
OP open interest -51.9% - OI collapse
ARB open interest -73.3% - OI collapse
DOT open interest -71.2% - OI collapse
ADA open interest -70.0% - OI collapse
SUI open interest -23.8% - OI collapse
XRP open interest +313.7% - OI surge
AVAX open interest -52.4% - OI collapse
TIA open interest +414.4% - OI surge
BCH open interest -56.5% - OI collapse
APT open interest +316.2% - OI surge
NEAR open interest +175.3% - OI surge
UNI open interest -53.7% - OI collapse
BTC open interest +65.2% - OI surge
SOL open interest +69.4% - OI surge
ETH open interest -68.1% - OI collapse
BITCOIN - speculators net long (+2.5σ vs 52w mean) - contrarian bear signal
OSINT: Coinbase launches broad expansion into tokenized stocks, AI, derivatives
OSINT: Ethereum Foundation Grants $4.34M in stETH to Argot for Fourth Year
ATOM funding -0.0463% · 5th percentile of its 168d Binance history
OSINT: Satoshi's Email Sparks Birth of Bitcoin and Crypto Market
OSINT: Saylor Says Capital Flows, Not Halvings, Will Shape Bitcoin’s Future
ATOM funding -0.0464% · 5th percentile of its 168d Binance history
macro (4)
china_us_west shipping +8.4% - potential inflation signal
china_us_west shipping +8.4% - potential inflation signal
china_us_west shipping +8.4% - potential inflation signal
china_us_west shipping +8.4% - potential inflation signal
forex (3)
OSINT: US Prime‑Age Labor Participation Falls 0.6 pts in June, 2nd‑Largest Drop on Reco
OSINT: US Economic Data Week: PMI, ADP, Fed Minutes, Jobless Claims
OSINT: Saylor Says Capital Flows, Not Halvings, Will Shape Bitcoin’s Future