2026-08-08

Prediction market repriced: "Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-08-07?" moved -62pp in 24h to 4%

Prediction market repriced: "Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?" moved -28pp in 24h to 43%

Prediction market repriced: "Will St. Truidense VV win on 2026-08-08?" moved -35pp in 24h to 24%

Polymarket order flow on "Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?": $33,499 in orders from 15 wallets absorbed at the 83% level, consistent with hidden resting size on this prediction market

Prediction market repriced: "Will PSV win on 2026-08-08?" moved -28pp in 24h to 54%

Prediction market repriced: "Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?" moved -23pp in 24h to 30%

Prediction market repriced: "Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?" moved +53pp in 24h to 69%

Prediction market repriced: "Will CD Riestra win on 2026-08-08?" moved +41pp in 24h to 70%

Prediction market repriced: "Will Standard Liege win on 2026-08-08?" moved -26pp in 24h to 12%

Prediction market repriced: "Will Telstar 1963 win on 2026-08-08?" moved +57pp in 24h to 72%

Prediction market repriced: "Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 9?" moved -24pp in 24h to 8%

Prediction market repriced: "Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-08-08?" moved -33pp in 24h to 14%

Polymarket order flow on "Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the Sep": $19,938 in orders from 14 wallets absorbed at the 64% level, consistent with hidden resting size on this predic

Prediction market repriced: "Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-08-08?" moved +24pp in 24h to 82%

Prediction market repriced: "Will Vissel Kōbe win on 2026-08-08?" moved +28pp in 24h to 76%

Prediction market repriced: "Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?" moved -28pp in 24h to 36%

Polymarket order flow on "US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?": $10,231 in orders from 134 wallets absorbed at the 80% level, consistent with hidden resting size on this prediction

Polymarket order flow on "Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the Sept": $17,279 in orders from 68 wallets absorbed at the 63% level, consistent with hidden resting size on this predic

Prediction market repriced: "Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?" moved -24pp in 24h to 3%

Polymarket order flow on "Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the Se": 5-level bid ladder, ~0.1pp spacing ($16,071 resting), consistent with programmatic order placement on this pred

Prediction market repriced: "Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by Au" moved +28pp in 24h to 46%

Polymarket order flow on "US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 8, 2026?": $10,312 in orders from 8 wallets absorbed at the 90% level, consistent with hidden resting size on this prediction m

Prediction market repriced: "Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-08-08?" moved -18pp in 24h to 14%

OSINT: US C-5M Transport Aircraft Arrive in Finland Amid NATO Tensions

Polymarket order flow on "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?": 4-level ask ladder, ~1.0pp spacing ($43,541 resting), consistent with programmatic order placement on this prediction m

OSINT: Iran vows to keep Strait of Hormuz closed until US meets demands

OSINT: Iran vows to keep Strait of Hormuz closed until US meets demands

OSINT: Ukraine equips M113 APCs with heavy anti-drone armor

OSINT: UK drops to fifth-largest economy amid shrinking military and low unemployment

OSINT: Russian troops open fire on Ukrainian drone in desperate defense

OSINT: US Government Funding Bill Passes, Boosts Defense and Infrastructure Spending

OSINT: Explosive Drone Strikes Airport in Possible Russian Hybrid Attack

Prediction market repriced: "Will Stade de Reims win on 2026-08-08?" moved -19pp in 24h to 30%

Prediction market repriced: "Will CA Tucumán win on 2026-08-08?" moved -15pp in 24h to 36%

Prediction market repriced: "Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?" moved -16pp in 24h to 12%

Prediction market repriced: "US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?" moved -16pp in 24h to 14%

Prediction market repriced: "US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?" moved -16pp in 24h to 42%

Prediction market repriced: "US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?" moved -15pp in 24h to 8%

Prediction market repriced: "Will Southampton FC win on 2026-08-08?" moved +16pp in 24h to 90%

Prediction market repriced: "US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?" moved -17pp in 24h to 29%

OSINT: EU Delays Patriot License, Pushes for Indigenous Production

OSINT: Iran Sets Conditions to Reopen Strait of Hormuz, Demands Sanctions Lift

OSINT: Iran Sets Six Conditions to Reopen Strait of Hormuz

OSINT: Ukrainian-origin drone detonates in Bulgaria, raising Russian use concerns

OSINT: Ukrainian Drone Evades Pantsir Missiles, Strikes Russian Tanker

OSINT: Ukrainian Drone Evades Pantsir Missiles, Strikes Russian Tanker

OSINT: UK drops to fifth-largest economy amid shrinking military and low unemployment

OSINT: Ukrainian Drone Evades Pantsir Missiles, Strikes Russian Tanker

OSINT: Congo Ebola Outbreak Tops 4,000 Cases

OSINT: NORAD Conducts Integrated Air-Land Exercise 'Operation Tundra Merlin' in Alaska

Gold +3.76%: significant gain on the session

Oil +1.15%: significant gain on the session

OSINT: Iran vows to keep Strait of Hormuz closed until US meets demands

Sugar No. 11 rose 5.7% vs prior close ($15.57 → $16.45)

Coffee rose 4.3% vs prior close ($321.65 → $335.55)

OSINT: Energy commodities surge sharply YTD

NATURAL GAS: speculators net long 254,489 contracts, 65.20% of open interest (+2.3σ vs 3y mean), crowded long positioning

OSINT: Russian troops open fire on Ukrainian drone in desperate defense

OSINT: US Government Funding Bill Passes, Boosts Defense and Infrastructure Spending

GOLD RSI 72.0, overbought (crossed above 70)

Gold +2.33%: significant gain on the session

OSINT: Explosive Drone Strikes Airport in Possible Russian Hybrid Attack

Polymarket order flow on "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?": 4-level bid ladder, ~1.0pp spacing ($45,601 resting), consistent with programmatic order placement on this predicti

Prediction market repriced: "US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?" moved -18pp in 24h to 59%

Prediction market repriced: "US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?" moved -15pp in 24h to 36%

OSINT: Iran Sets Conditions to Reopen Strait of Hormuz, Demands Sanctions Lift

OSINT: New Market Maps tool offers real-time sector rotation insights

OSINT: New Market Maps tool offers real-time sector rotation insights

Oil +1.15%: significant gain on the session

OSINT: Ukrainian Drone Evades Pantsir Missiles, Strikes Russian Tanker

OSINT: Iran Sets Six Conditions to Reopen Strait of Hormuz

OSINT: Ukrainian-origin drone detonates in Bulgaria, raising Russian use concerns

GOLD RSI 72.0, overbought (crossed above 70)

Gold +2.33%: significant gain on the session

BITCOIN: speculators net long 3,752 contracts, 18.63% of open interest (+2.7σ vs 3y mean), crowded long positioning

Prediction market repriced: "Ethereum Up or Down on August 8?" moved +46pp in 24h to 96%

Prediction market repriced: "Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 August 3-9?" moved -28pp in 24h to 19%

KMNO funding -0.0287% · 1th percentile of its 118d Binance history

KMNO funding -0.0867% · 1th percentile of its 118d Binance history

OSINT: EU to Revise MiCA in 2027 Targeting Non-EU Issuers, Stablecoins, Token Payments

OSINT: Cloudflare Unveils Kitesurf Cloud Browser for AI Agents

KMNO funding -0.0279% · 2th percentile of its 119d Binance history

Polymarket order flow on "Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?": 4-level ask ladder, ~1.0pp spacing ($26,632 resting), consistent with programmatic order placement on this prediction market

OSINT: Bitcoin fork at block 961632: Antpool vs Roughnecks cause BIP-110 stall

OSINT: White House: Democrats Block Crypto Clarity Act Vote Before Recess

OSINT: xAI launches Imagine Image 2.0, next-gen AI image generator

OSINT: Swissblock’s @HenrikZeberg tells @2084Richardson Bitcoin has never faced a real

OSINT: Sen. Lummis vows to keep fighting for crypto rule clarity amid CLARITY Act talks

SOL DEX volume/liquidity ratio elevated (0.53x): on-chain trade volume 0.53x liquidity

OSINT: New Market Maps tool offers real-time sector rotation insights

OSINT: Ethereum and Solana Reevaluate Token Inflation Schedules

Prediction market repriced: "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 9?" moved +15pp in 24h to 98%

OSINT: Bybit Secures US Court Order to Trace $1.5B NK Hack Funds

KMNO funding -0.0341% · 1th percentile of its 119d Binance history

OSINT: Coldcard hack triggers $120M crypto theft spike in 2026

OSINT: Buenos Aires middle-class income threshold rises in July

OSINT: China's central bank adds 20 tonnes of gold in July, biggest buy since Oct 2023

OSINT: US C-5M Transport Aircraft Arrive in Finland Amid NATO Tensions

OSINT: Iran vows to keep Strait of Hormuz closed until US meets demands

OSINT: UK drops to fifth-largest economy amid shrinking military and low unemployment

OSINT: White House: Democrats Block Crypto Clarity Act Vote Before Recess

OSINT: US Government Funding Bill Passes, Boosts Defense and Infrastructure Spending

OSINT: S&P 500 Hits New All-Time High, Historical Trend Suggests Further Gains

OSINT: Russian troops open fire on Ukrainian drone in desperate defense

OSINT: Asia posts record month of share sales, SK Hynix tops the list

OSINT: Swissblock’s @HenrikZeberg tells @2084Richardson Bitcoin has never faced a real

OSINT: Vanguard says AI-driven white-collar job loss fears are exaggerated

OSINT: Sen. Lummis vows to keep fighting for crypto rule clarity amid CLARITY Act talks

OSINT: Explosive Drone Strikes Airport in Possible Russian Hybrid Attack

DXY RSI 29.5, oversold (crossed below 30)

DXY -0.37%, dollar weakness signal

OSINT: Chinese Yuan reaches 3-year high vs USD

OSINT: New Market Maps tool offers real-time sector rotation insights

OSINT: Iran Sets Conditions to Reopen Strait of Hormuz, Demands Sanctions Lift

OSINT: EU Delays Patriot License, Pushes for Indigenous Production

OSINT: Zimbabwe caps govt gold purchases at $300M to curb price risk

OSINT: Iran Sets Six Conditions to Reopen Strait of Hormuz

OSINT: Ukrainian-origin drone detonates in Bulgaria, raising Russian use concerns

OSINT: Moscow Mayor Ties Mechanical Engineering Growth to Metro Modernization

DXY RSI 29.5, oversold (crossed below 30)

OSINT: US C-5M Transport Aircraft Arrive in Finland Amid NATO Tensions

Sanofi search volume spiked +77 pts, unusual interest

OSINT: US Computer Science Undergraduate Enrollment Drops 8.4% in Spring 2026

OSINT: Cloudflare Unveils Kitesurf Cloud Browser for AI Agents

OSINT: Ukraine equips M113 APCs with heavy anti-drone armor

7 congress members traded LTH: net selling (0B/0S)

OSINT: BNPL usage for groceries jumps to 29% of users, LendingTree says

OSINT: White House: Democrats Block Crypto Clarity Act Vote Before Recess

NASDAQ MINI: speculators net short 14,639 contracts, 4.82% of open interest (-2.1σ vs 3y mean), crowded short positioning

OSINT: US Government Funding Bill Passes, Boosts Defense and Infrastructure Spending

OSINT: xAI launches Imagine Image 2.0, next-gen AI image generator

OSINT: S&P 500 Hits New All-Time High, Historical Trend Suggests Further Gains

OSINT: Asia posts record month of share sales, SK Hynix tops the list

OSINT: Vanguard says AI-driven white-collar job loss fears are exaggerated

OSINT: Swissblock’s @HenrikZeberg tells @2084Richardson Bitcoin has never faced a real

OSINT: Sen. Lummis vows to keep fighting for crypto rule clarity amid CLARITY Act talks

Q2-2026: Beat consensus by 55.9%, EPS $0.62 vs $0.3978 estimate

Q2-2026: Beat consensus by 7.3%, EPS $0.26 vs $0.2424 estimate

Q2-2026: Beat consensus by 16.6%, EPS $1.02 vs $0.8751 estimate

Q2-2026: Beat consensus by 470.7%, EPS $0.88 vs $-0.2374 estimate

Q2-2026: Beat consensus by 46.1%, EPS $0.52 vs $0.3558 estimate

Q2-2026: Missed consensus by 84.9%, EPS $0.02 vs $0.1326 estimate

Q2-2026: Beat consensus by 30.7%, EPS $0.28 vs $0.2142 estimate

Q2-2026: Beat consensus by 8.2%, EPS $1.49 vs $1.377 estimate

Q2-2026: Beat consensus by 84.8%, EPS $1.75 vs $0.9469 estimate

Q2-2026: Beat consensus by 12.5%, EPS $0.38 vs $0.3379 estimate

Q2-2026: Missed consensus by 24.9%, EPS $-0.48 vs $-0.3842 estimate

Q2-2026: Beat consensus by 9.6%, EPS $0.89 vs $0.8124 estimate

Q2-2026: Beat consensus by 43.1%, EPS $-0.14 vs $-0.246 estimate

Q2-2026: Beat consensus by 9.3%, EPS $1.47 vs $1.345 estimate

Q2-2026: Beat consensus by 44.0%, EPS $0.38 vs $0.2639 estimate

Q1-2027: Beat consensus by 7.1%, EPS $0.36 vs $0.3362 estimate

Q2-2026: Beat consensus by 8.5%, EPS $0.99 vs $0.9127 estimate

Q2-2026: Beat consensus by 31.1%, EPS $-0.15 vs $-0.2176 estimate

Q2-2026: Beat consensus by 22.4%, EPS $0.69 vs $0.5636 estimate

Q2-2026: Beat consensus by 6.5%, EPS $0.22 vs $0.2066 estimate

Q2-2026: Beat consensus by 72.1%, EPS $0.11 vs $0.0639 estimate

Q2-2026: Beat consensus by 159.4%, EPS $0.06 vs $-0.101 estimate

Q2-2026: Missed consensus by 13.1%, EPS $-0.36 vs $-0.3182 estimate

Q2-2026: Beat consensus by 15.7%, EPS $0.35 vs $0.3026 estimate

Q2-2026: Beat consensus by 13.2%, EPS $0.33 vs $0.2914 estimate

Q2-2026: Missed consensus by 101.0%, EPS $-0.43 vs $-0.2139 estimate

Q2-2026: Beat consensus by 92.7%, EPS $0.57 vs $0.2958 estimate

Q2-2026: Beat consensus by 31.2%, EPS $2.55 vs $1.9443 estimate

Q2-2026: Beat consensus by 13.9%, EPS $0.50 vs $0.439 estimate

Q3-2026: Missed consensus by 10.3%, EPS $1.00 vs $1.1144 estimate

Q2-2026: Beat consensus by 6.0%, EPS $-0.35 vs $-0.3723 estimate

Q2-2026: Missed consensus by 22.4%, EPS $-0.55 vs $-0.4493 estimate

Q2-2026: Missed consensus by 89.0%, EPS $0.6638 vs $6.0557 estimate

Q2-2026: Missed consensus by 205.7%, EPS $-1.06 vs $-0.3468 estimate

Q2-2026: Beat consensus by 47.6%, EPS $-0.09 vs $-0.1717 estimate

Q2-2026: Missed consensus by 15.5%, EPS $1.14 vs $1.3489 estimate

Q2-2026: Beat consensus by 21.4%, EPS $-0.72 vs $-0.9162 estimate

Q2-2026: Beat consensus by 14.5%, EPS $-0.25 vs $-0.2924 estimate

Q2-2026: Missed consensus by 21.4%, EPS $-0.26 vs $-0.2142 estimate

Q2-2026: Missed consensus by 39.7%, EPS $-0.47 vs $-0.3365 estimate

Q2-2026: Beat consensus by 105.2%, EPS $0.56 vs $0.2729 estimate

Q1-2027: Beat consensus by 5.9%, EPS $1.28 vs $1.2087 estimate

Q2-2026: Missed consensus by 12.0%, EPS $0.15 vs $0.1704 estimate

Q2-2026: Beat consensus by 6.2%, EPS $2.36 vs $2.2226 estimate

Q2-2026: Missed consensus by 98.9%, EPS $-0.71 vs $-0.357 estimate

Q2-2026: Beat consensus by 89.0%, EPS $0.50 vs $0.2646 estimate

Q2-2026: Missed consensus by 6.2%, EPS $0.32 vs $0.3412 estimate

Q2-2026: Missed consensus by 22.4%, EPS $-0.19 vs $-0.1552 estimate

Q2-2026: Beat consensus by 26.1%, EPS $0.42 vs $0.3332 estimate

Q2-2026: Beat consensus by 10.8%, EPS $0.40 vs $0.3609 estimate

Q2-2026: Beat consensus by 74.7%, EPS $-0.03 vs $-0.1186 estimate

Q2-2026: Missed consensus by 8.7%, EPS $-1.97 vs $-1.8122 estimate

Q2-2026: Beat consensus by 11.9%, EPS $1.93 vs $1.7249 estimate

Q2-2026: Beat consensus by 461.1%, EPS $0.51 vs $0.0909 estimate

Q2-2026: Beat consensus by 382.9%, EPS $0.20 vs $-0.0707 estimate

Q2-2026: Beat consensus by 71.3%, EPS $1.66 vs $0.969 estimate

Q2-2026: Beat consensus by 711.9%, EPS $0.35 vs $-0.0572 estimate

Phillips 66 search volume spiked +34 pts, unusual interest

OSINT: EU Delays Patriot License, Pushes for Indigenous Production

OSINT: Oracle CDS Spike Signals Growing Big Tech Debt Concerns

OSINT: New Market Maps tool offers real-time sector rotation insights

Sanofi search volume spiked +77 pts, unusual interest

7 congress members traded LTH: net selling (0B/0S)

OSINT: Moscow Mayor Ties Mechanical Engineering Growth to Metro Modernization