Kresmion event archive
237 cross-asset events fired across commodity, crypto, equity, forex, macro. See also the Kresmion brief for 2026-11-05.
commodity (16)
- criticalFutures volume spikeLE=F
Live Cattle volume spike - 4.9× the 20-day average (30,858 vs 6,332 avg)
- criticalFutures price gapCL=F
WTI Crude Oil fell 8.3% vs prior close ($96.09 → $88.12)
- criticalFutures price gapBZ=F
Brent Crude Oil fell 8.7% vs prior close ($103.60 → $94.62)
- highFutures price gapPA=F
Palladium rose 7.5% vs prior close ($930.00 → $999.80)
- highFutures price gapRB=F
RBOB Gasoline fell 7.0% vs prior close ($2.94 → $2.73)
- highFutures price gapHO=F
Heating Oil fell 7.2% vs prior close ($4.53 → $4.21)
- highOSINT energyOIL
OSINT: Trump on the diesel deal with Russia: we are looking at the law that prohibits it
- highCrowded short positioningNG=F
NATURAL GAS: speculators net short 255,164 contracts, 15.18% of open interest (-2.9σ vs 3y mean), crowded short positioning
- highOSINT energyOIL
OSINT: KIRILL DMITRIEV CALLED REPORTS THAT RUSSIAN DIESEL TANKERS HEADING TO THE USA CHANGED COURSE A "FAKE
- highOSINT energyOIL
OSINT: After several months of growth, oil refining profitability in Russia has begun to decline. In Q4, th
- highOSINT energyOIL
OSINT: Global Diesel Crunch Set To Last Well Into 2027
- highCommodityGOLD
Gold +3.39%: significant gain on the session
- mediumFutures price gapPL=F
Platinum rose 4.8% vs prior close ($1,432.40 → $1,501.10)
- mediumFutures price gapSI=F
Silver rose 5.1% vs prior close ($49.59 → $52.12)
- mediumFutures price gapETH=F
Ethereum (CME) rose 5.8% vs prior close ($2,295.50 → $2,428.00)
- mediumCommodityGOLD
Gold +1.46%: significant gain on the session
macro (6)
- highShippingSHIPPING
tanker_freight_etf shipping -17.2%, potential inflation signal
- highVIXVIX
VIX at 26.9: ELEVATED FEAR: VIX above 25 (historical capitulation zone)
- highTrade corridor above its rangeUS-KR-854232-M
US from KR memory (import side) $385.6M in September 2026, +3.08 sigma on its 36 month window, highest September since 2015
- highTrade corridor above its rangeUS-MX-847150-M
US from MX processing units (servers) $20.52B in September 2026, +3.26 sigma on its 36 month window, highest September since 2015
- highTrade corridor above its rangeUS-NL-848620-M
US from NL device-fab equipment (import side) $523.2M in September 2026, +3.54 sigma on its 36 month window, highest September since 2015
- mediumOSINT eventMACRO
OSINT: Federal Bank Regulatory Agencies Release 2025 Small Business, Small Farm, and Community Development Lending Data
equity (174)
7 insiders at REGN sold $42.5M this week
2 insiders at AXP sold $37.6M this week
2 insiders at ANET sold $46.7M this week
3 insiders at BROS sold $217.9M this week
5 insiders at KNSA sold $62.8M this week
6 insiders at REGN sold $35.3M this week
5 insiders at CVNA sold $26.2M this week
Q3-2026: Missed consensus by 8.7%, EPS $0.55 vs $0.6025 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 27.9%, EPS $0.63 vs $0.4924 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 37.7%, EPS $0.13 vs $0.0944 estimate
Q3-2026: Missed consensus by 36.2%, EPS $0.92 vs $1.442 estimate
Q3-2026: Missed consensus by 19.1%, EPS $0.27 vs $0.3336 estimate
Q3-2026: Missed consensus by 24.6%, EPS $0.10 vs $0.1327 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 16.7%, EPS $0.93 vs $0.7972 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 14.8%, EPS $0.32 vs $0.2788 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 113.5%, EPS $0.69 vs $0.3232 estimate
Q2-2027: Beat consensus by 906.8%, EPS $649.358 vs $64.4986 estimate
Q3-2026: Missed consensus by 37.9%, EPS $5.65 vs $9.0934 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 10.5%, EPS $1.65 vs $1.4937 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 9.5%, EPS $1.33 vs $1.2141 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 20.8%, EPS $-0.06 vs $-0.0758 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 46.3%, EPS $0.17 vs $0.1162 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 46.9%, EPS $2.31 vs $1.5725 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 24.7%, EPS $0.19 vs $0.1524 estimate
Q4-2026: Beat consensus by 202.0%, EPS $0.34 vs $-0.3333 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 215.1%, EPS $0.34 vs $-0.2954 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 51.6%, EPS $0.45 vs $0.2968 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 10.8%, EPS $1.39 vs $1.255 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 40.3%, EPS $-0.98 vs $-1.6422 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 37.9%, EPS $-0.08 vs $-0.1289 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 7.2%, EPS $0.79 vs $0.7367 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 6.9%, EPS $0.29 vs $0.2713 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 13.2%, EPS $0.40 vs $0.3534 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 12.2%, EPS $-0.12 vs $-0.1367 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 24.9%, EPS $0.28 vs $0.2242 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 42.2%, EPS $0.86 vs $0.6049 estimate
Q3-2026: Missed consensus by 17.7%, EPS $1.01 vs $1.2266 estimate
Q2-2027: Beat consensus by 9870.7%, EPS $16.1127 vs $0.1616 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 17.6%, EPS $0.12 vs $0.102 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 6.1%, EPS $1.61 vs $1.5175 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 7.0%, EPS $-1.70 vs $-1.8289 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 17.6%, EPS $0.18 vs $0.153 estimate
Q1-2027: Missed consensus by 10.3%, EPS $0.19 vs $0.2117 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 79.5%, EPS $0.36 vs $0.2006 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 11.3%, EPS $0.89 vs $0.7994 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 25.3%, EPS $-0.16 vs $-0.2142 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 82.4%, EPS $0.32 vs $0.1754 estimate
Q3-2026: Missed consensus by 14.0%, EPS $1.07 vs $1.2447 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 52.7%, EPS $0.81 vs $0.5304 estimate
Q3-2026: Missed consensus by 14.9%, EPS $-0.29 vs $-0.2525 estimate
Q3-2026: Missed consensus by 22.7%, EPS $2.44 vs $3.1564 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 9.6%, EPS $0.93 vs $0.8484 estimate
Q3-2026: Missed consensus by 48.5%, EPS $0.2655 vs $0.5151 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 162.2%, EPS $1.12 vs $0.4271 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 225.1%, EPS $0.52 vs $-0.4157 estimate
Q4-2026: Beat consensus by 15.9%, EPS $1.22 vs $1.0529 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 243.2%, EPS $1.04 vs $-0.7262 estimate
Q3-2026: Missed consensus by 16.9%, EPS $-0.64 vs $-0.5476 estimate
Q3-2026: Missed consensus by 18.6%, EPS $0.53 vs $0.6515 estimate
Q3-2026: Missed consensus by 10.4%, EPS $5.47 vs $6.1025 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 35.0%, EPS $0.53 vs $0.3927 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 12.9%, EPS $4.18 vs $3.7031 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 56.8%, EPS $43.40 vs $27.6816 estimate
Q3-2026: Missed consensus by 26.0%, EPS $0.21 vs $0.2836 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 27.4%, EPS $-0.19 vs $-0.2617 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 39.3%, EPS $-0.14 vs $-0.2305 estimate
Q2-2027: Beat consensus by 12.5%, EPS $2.06 vs $1.8304 estimate
Q1-2027: Missed consensus by 91.4%, EPS $-0.21 vs $-0.1097 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 36.2%, EPS $0.71 vs $0.5212 estimate
Q2-2027: Missed consensus by 5.9%, EPS $0.17 vs $0.1807 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 27.8%, EPS $0.72 vs $0.5632 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 86.0%, EPS $0.39 vs $0.2097 estimate
Q3-2026: Missed consensus by 56.2%, EPS $0.12 vs $0.274 estimate
Q3-2026: Missed consensus by 49.8%, EPS $0.06 vs $0.1195 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 10.3%, EPS $0.18 vs $0.1632 estimate
Q3-2026: Missed consensus by 31.8%, EPS $0.26 vs $0.381 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 48.7%, EPS $0.56 vs $0.3766 estimate
Q3-2026: Missed consensus by 7.5%, EPS $2.43 vs $2.6273 estimate
Q1-2027: Beat consensus by 30.1%, EPS $3.48 vs $2.6753 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 78.0%, EPS $1.01 vs $0.5673 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 13.1%, EPS $-1.53 vs $-1.7609 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 147.7%, EPS $1.53 vs $0.6178 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 15.3%, EPS $1.07 vs $0.928 estimate
Q3-2026: Missed consensus by 551.3%, EPS $-0.93 vs $-0.1428 estimate
Q3-2026: Missed consensus by 43.8%, EPS $0.14 vs $0.2491 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 29.6%, EPS $0.61 vs $0.4707 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 10.3%, EPS $2.13 vs $1.9312 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 42.6%, EPS $-0.05 vs $-0.0871 estimate
Q3-2026: Missed consensus by 13.4%, EPS $0.38 vs $0.4386 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 11.5%, EPS $0.18 vs $0.1615 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 286.1%, EPS $0.39 vs $0.101 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 12.6%, EPS $1.56 vs $1.3849 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 376.2%, EPS $2.10 vs $0.441 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 81.5%, EPS $1.72 vs $0.9476 estimate
Q3-2026: Missed consensus by 30.0%, EPS $0.81 vs $1.1577 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 33.6%, EPS $3.91 vs $2.9262 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 141.0%, EPS $0.28 vs $-0.6834 estimate
Q3-2026: Missed consensus by 8.4%, EPS $1.35 vs $1.4739 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 16.7%, EPS $-2.21 vs $-2.6531 estimate
Q2-2027: Beat consensus by 15.5%, EPS $-0.1954 vs $-0.2313 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 586.3%, EPS $0.35 vs $0.051 estimate
Q3-2026: Missed consensus by 17.2%, EPS $0.83 vs $1.0025 estimate
Q1-2027: Missed consensus by 37.0%, EPS $0.44 vs $0.6979 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 24.7%, EPS $0.43 vs $0.3448 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 36.9%, EPS $2.70 vs $1.9719 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 9.7%, EPS $0.59 vs $0.538 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 57.8%, EPS $0.34 vs $0.2155 estimate
Q3-2026: Missed consensus by 5.2%, EPS $-0.44 vs $-0.4182 estimate
Q3-2026: Missed consensus by 72.7%, EPS $0.2223 vs $0.8146 estimate
Q2-2027: Beat consensus by 76.5%, EPS $0.09 vs $0.051 estimate
Q2-2027: Missed consensus by 39.6%, EPS $32.8881 vs $54.4923 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 5.2%, EPS $5.86 vs $5.5683 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 10.7%, EPS $0.38 vs $0.3433 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 18.7%, EPS $0.49 vs $0.4129 estimate
Q1-2027: Beat consensus by 15.0%, EPS $0.33 vs $0.2869 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 16.5%, EPS $2.65 vs $2.2745 estimate
Q2-2027: Missed consensus by 8.7%, EPS $3.63 vs $3.9758 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 8.8%, EPS $0.62 vs $0.5699 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 5.4%, EPS $0.80 vs $0.759 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 7.4%, EPS $1.07 vs $0.9959 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 9.7%, EPS $2.58 vs $2.3518 estimate
Q2-2027: Beat consensus by 52.1%, EPS $0.12 vs $0.0789 estimate
Q1-2027: Missed consensus by 90.1%, EPS $0.19 vs $1.9109 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 6.8%, EPS $0.23 vs $0.2154 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 63.1%, EPS $5.57 vs $3.4145 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 53.1%, EPS $-0.13 vs $-0.277 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 23.3%, EPS $1.06 vs $0.8594 estimate
Q3-2026: Missed consensus by 43.8%, EPS $0.41 vs $0.7297 estimate
Q1-2027: Beat consensus by 26.7%, EPS $0.16 vs $0.1263 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 24.7%, EPS $1.01 vs $0.8099 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 9.3%, EPS $3.27 vs $2.9914 estimate
Q3-2026: Missed consensus by 44.9%, EPS $-6.77 vs $-4.6716 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 26.5%, EPS $-0.50 vs $-0.68 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 15.6%, EPS $0.41 vs $0.3548 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 8.3%, EPS $3.26 vs $3.0092 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 28.0%, EPS $0.37 vs $0.289 estimate
Q3-2026: Missed consensus by 407.5%, EPS $-0.27 vs $-0.0532 estimate
Q3-2026: Missed consensus by 11.5%, EPS $0.14 vs $0.1582 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 9.3%, EPS $0.36 vs $0.3295 estimate
Q3-2026: Missed consensus by 13.5%, EPS $-0.86 vs $-0.7579 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 65.1%, EPS $-0.25 vs $-0.7171 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 426.3%, EPS $0.17 vs $-0.0521 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 462.4%, EPS $1.09 vs $0.1938 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 10.1%, EPS $2.4025 vs $2.1828 estimate
Q3-2026: Missed consensus by 100.0%, EPS $0.00 vs $0.5406 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 42.1%, EPS $1.07 vs $0.7528 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 13.0%, EPS $-0.19 vs $-0.2183 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 40.1%, EPS $9.76 vs $6.9653 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 225.0%, EPS $0.09 vs $-0.072 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 1236.0%, EPS $0.66 vs $-0.0581 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 94.5%, EPS $-0.03 vs $-0.5431 estimate
Q3-2026: Missed consensus by 22.2%, EPS $2.06 vs $2.6492 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 2926.8%, EPS $1.73 vs $-0.0612 estimate
Q3-2026: Missed consensus by 48.9%, EPS $0.37 vs $0.7242 estimate
SMH Nov 13 puts traded 92.9x prior open interest, premium over $5M
INTC Dec 18 puts traded 5.6x prior open interest, premium over $5M
ARM Nov 20 puts traded 5.3x prior open interest, premium over $5M
INTC Nov 20 puts traded 5.1x prior open interest, premium over $5M
BA Dec 18 puts traded 5.4x prior open interest, premium over $5M
INTC Nov 20 puts traded 5.5x prior open interest, premium over $5M
INTC Nov 20 puts traded 5.6x prior open interest, premium over $5M
BA Dec 18 puts traded 6.9x prior open interest, premium over $5M
ORCL Dec 18 puts traded 5.3x prior open interest, premium over $5M
BA Nov 20 puts traded 6.7x prior open interest, premium over $5M
SPY Nov 27 puts traded 10.7x prior open interest, premium over $5M
BA Jan 15 puts traded 6.8x prior open interest, premium over $5M
BA Jan 15 puts traded 5.7x prior open interest, premium over $5M
BA Nov 20 puts traded 6.9x prior open interest, premium over $5M
NVDA RSI 27.6, oversold (crossed below 30)
Unum Group search volume spiked +100 pts, unusual interest
Encompass Health Corp search volume spiked +100 pts, unusual interest
Li Auto Inc. search volume spiked +100 pts, unusual interest
AST SpaceMobile, Inc. search volume spiked +100 pts, unusual interest
EchoStar CORP search volume spiked +100 pts, unusual interest
crypto (3)
- highLiquidation clusterBTC
BTC liquidations totaled $17.7M in the past hour, 100% from long positions · above the 95th percentile of its 30d hourly history (OKX)
- mediumDEX volume vs liquidityETH
ETH DEX volume/liquidity ratio elevated (0.90x): on-chain trade volume 0.90x liquidity
- mediumOSINT eventCRYPTO
OSINT: Solana Labs’ Leap Launches High-Performance Mobile Trading App
forex (1)
- mediumCrowded short positioningEURUSD
EUR/USD: speculators net short 143,894 contracts, 16.57% of open interest (-2.5σ vs 3y mean), crowded short positioning