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PREDICTION MARKET ODDS / RESOLVED

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?

Part of: Elon Musk # tweets July 28 - August 4, 2026?. This market has settled. The prices below are historical and are no longer tradable.

Outcome
Resolved NO

This market resolved NO. Resolution date Aug 4, 2026. The last recorded YES price before resolution was 0 percent. The market priced the eventual outcome at 6 percent 2 days before resolution.

Resolved
Aug 4, 2026
Final YES price
0%
Priced at lead
6%
Lead
2 days
Category
Other

Probability history

Gridlines at 25, 50 and 75 percent. History covers the recorded price path of the YES outcome up to resolution.

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Source: Polymarket via the public gamma API, synced by Kresmion. This market is settled, so the figures on this page are a historical record kept for research context, not a live order book.

Kresmion reports prediction market prices as market data. We are not an operator of any prediction market, we take no positions and hold no funds, and nothing on this page is an invitation to trade on any venue. Prediction markets are not authorised in every jurisdiction. Check the rules that apply where you are before using one.