Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
Part of: Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?. Crowd probability estimates from prediction markets, not financial advice.
As of Aug 29, 2026, Polymarket prices "Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?" at 2 percent YES, on $2.6M of lifetime volume.
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Probability history
Gridlines at 25, 50 and 75 percent. History covers the recorded price path of the YES outcome.
History in numbers
Since Jul 14, 2026, this market has traded between 2 percent (Jul 14, 2026) and 3 percent (Aug 17, 2026), across 1,254 recorded prices. The current price of 2 percent is 0.1 percentage points above where it stood 7 days ago (2 percent), and 0.3 percentage points above where it stood 30 days ago (2 percent).
Weekly closes
| Week start | YES probability |
|---|---|
| Jul 13, 2026 | 2% |
| Jul 20, 2026 | 2% |
| Jul 27, 2026 | 2% |
| Aug 3, 2026 | 2% |
| Aug 10, 2026 | 2% |
| Aug 17, 2026 | 2% |
| Aug 24, 2026 | 2% |
Market details
Venues: Polymarket
How this market resolves
The market currently prices the YES outcome at 2 percent, with the NO outcome at 98 percent. This is read as the crowd's probability estimate for this event, not a forecast or advice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if incontrovertible proof is publicly revealed that Jeff Epstein, the New York financier, is still alive between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
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Source: Polymarket via the public gamma API, synced by Kresmion. Last updated 2026-08-29 06:29 UTC. This page is research context, not an order book. Kresmion accepts no orders and holds no funds. Percentages are YES prices and can move fast.
Kresmion reports prediction market prices as market data. We are not an operator of any prediction market, we take no positions and hold no funds, and nothing on this page is an invitation to trade on any venue. Prediction markets are not authorised in every jurisdiction. Check the rules that apply where you are before using one.