Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Part of: Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?. Crowd probability estimates from prediction markets, not financial advice.
As of Aug 29, 2026, Polymarket prices "Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?" at 1 percent YES, on $65.4M of lifetime volume.
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Probability history
Gridlines at 25, 50 and 75 percent. History covers the recorded price path of the YES outcome.
History in numbers
Since Jul 14, 2026, this market has traded between 1 percent (Aug 28, 2026) and 2 percent (Jul 14, 2026), across 9,094 recorded prices. The current price of 1 percent is 0.5 percentage points below where it stood 7 days ago (2 percent), and 0.5 percentage points below where it stood 30 days ago (2 percent).
Weekly closes
| Week start | YES probability |
|---|---|
| Jul 13, 2026 | 2% |
| Jul 20, 2026 | 2% |
| Jul 27, 2026 | 2% |
| Aug 3, 2026 | 2% |
| Aug 10, 2026 | 2% |
| Aug 17, 2026 | 2% |
| Aug 24, 2026 | 1% |
Market liquidity
The best bid for YES is 1 percent and the best ask is 2 percent, a spread of 0.1 percentage points. Within 1 percent of the mid price the book holds $0 on the bid side and $0 on the ask side.
A tighter spread means the two sides agree more closely on the price. Depth indicates how much can trade near the current price.
Order book captured 2026-08-29 05:26 UTC.
Market details
Venues: Polymarket
How this market resolves
The market currently prices the YES outcome at 1 percent, with the NO outcome at 99 percent. This is read as the crowd's probability estimate for this event, not a forecast or advice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if The Second Coming of Jesus Christ occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
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Source: Polymarket via the public gamma API, synced by Kresmion. Last updated 2026-08-29 05:31 UTC. This page is research context, not an order book. Kresmion accepts no orders and holds no funds. Percentages are YES prices and can move fast.
Kresmion reports prediction market prices as market data. We are not an operator of any prediction market, we take no positions and hold no funds, and nothing on this page is an invitation to trade on any venue. Prediction markets are not authorised in every jurisdiction. Check the rules that apply where you are before using one.