Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Part of: Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?. Crowd probability estimates from prediction markets, not financial advice.
As of Aug 29, 2026, Polymarket prices "Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?" at 21 percent YES, on $132K of lifetime volume.
One message when it happens. Nothing else. No account needed.
Probability history
Gridlines at 25, 50 and 75 percent. History covers the recorded price path of the YES outcome.
History in numbers
Since Jul 5, 2026, this market has traded between 9 percent (Aug 5, 2026) and 35 percent (Jul 5, 2026), across 1,288 recorded prices. The current price of 21 percent is 3.1 percentage points below where it stood 7 days ago (24 percent), and 0.6 percentage points above where it stood 30 days ago (20 percent).
Weekly closes
| Week start | YES probability |
|---|---|
| Jun 29, 2026 | 34% |
| Jul 6, 2026 | 30% |
| Jul 13, 2026 | 30% |
| Jul 20, 2026 | 21% |
| Jul 27, 2026 | 14% |
| Aug 3, 2026 | 12% |
| Aug 10, 2026 | 14% |
| Aug 17, 2026 | 21% |
| Aug 24, 2026 | 21% |
Other outcomes in this event
Yes probabilityMarket details
Venues: Polymarket
How this market resolves
The market currently prices the YES outcome at 21 percent, with the NO outcome at 79 percent. This is read as the crowd's probability estimate for this event, not a forecast or advice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opensea's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opensea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
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Source: Polymarket via the public gamma API, synced by Kresmion. Last updated 2026-08-29 09:06 UTC. This page is research context, not an order book. Kresmion accepts no orders and holds no funds. Percentages are YES prices and can move fast.
Kresmion reports prediction market prices as market data. We are not an operator of any prediction market, we take no positions and hold no funds, and nothing on this page is an invitation to trade on any venue. Prediction markets are not authorised in every jurisdiction. Check the rules that apply where you are before using one.