PREDICTION MARKET ODDS

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Part of: California Governor Election Winner. Crowd probability estimates from prediction markets, not financial advice.

Yes probability
6%
24h change
-0.1pp
7d change
+0.3pp
Volume
$2.5M
Resolves by
Nov 3, 2026

Other outcomes in this event

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?94%

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

Source: Polymarket via the public gamma API, synced by Kresmion. Last updated 2026-07-15 00:23 UTC. Trade on the venue itself: this page is research context, not an order book. Percentages are YES prices and can move fast.