PREDICTION MARKET ODDS / RESOLVED
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
Part of: US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by...?. This market has settled. The prices below are historical and are no longer tradable.
This market resolved YES. Resolution date Aug 31, 2026. The last recorded YES price before resolution was 100 percent. The market priced the eventual outcome at 20 percent 5 days before resolution.
Probability history
Gridlines at 25, 50 and 75 percent. History covers the recorded price path of the YES outcome up to resolution.
Weekly closes
| Week start | YES probability |
|---|---|
| Jul 13, 2026 | 25% |
| Jul 20, 2026 | 42% |
| Jul 27, 2026 | 100% |
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Source: Polymarket via the public gamma API, synced by Kresmion. This market is settled, so the figures on this page are a historical record kept for research context, not a live order book.
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