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PREDICTION MARKET ODDS / RESOLVED

Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?

Part of: Best Chinese AI Company end of July?. This market has settled. The prices below are historical and are no longer tradable.

Outcome
Resolved NO

This market resolved NO. Resolution date Jul 31, 2026. The last recorded YES price before resolution was 0 percent. The market priced the eventual outcome at 1 percent 7 days before resolution.

Resolved
Jul 31, 2026
Final YES price
0%
Priced at lead
1%
Lead
7 days
Category
Other

Probability history

Gridlines at 25, 50 and 75 percent. History covers the recorded price path of the YES outcome up to resolution.

Weekly closes

Last recorded YES probability of each week, oldest first.
Week startYES probability
Jun 29, 20266%
Jul 13, 20260%
Jul 20, 20261%
Jul 27, 20260%

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Source: Polymarket via the public gamma API, synced by Kresmion. This market is settled, so the figures on this page are a historical record kept for research context, not a live order book.

Kresmion reports prediction market prices as market data. We are not an operator of any prediction market, we take no positions and hold no funds, and nothing on this page is an invitation to trade on any venue. Prediction markets are not authorised in every jurisdiction. Check the rules that apply where you are before using one.