2026-07-14

Prediction market repriced: "Will Russia capture Pokrovka by July 31?" moved +89pp in 24h to 97%

Prediction market repriced: "Set Handicap: Jacquemot (-1.5) vs Amariei (+1.5)" moved +34pp in 24h to 97%

Prediction market repriced: "US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?" moved -26pp in 24h to 10%

Prediction market repriced: "France to win the second half?" moved -32pp in 24h to 5%

Prediction market repriced: "Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?" moved +28pp in 24h to 92%

Prediction market repriced: "Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?" moved -28pp in 24h to 7%

Prediction market repriced: "Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?" moved -27pp in 24h to 7%

Prediction market repriced: "US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?" moved -26pp in 24h to 6%

Prediction market repriced: "Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?" moved +26pp in 24h to 92%

Prediction market repriced: "Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?" moved -46pp in 24h to 46%

Prediction market repriced: "Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?" moved -52pp in 24h to 16%

Prediction market repriced: "Fed rate hike in 2026?" moved -20pp in 24h to 52%

Prediction market repriced: "Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?" moved +54pp in 24h to 59%

Prediction market repriced: "Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?" moved -33pp in 24h to 3%

Prediction market repriced: "Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?" moved +22pp in 24h to 57%

Prediction market repriced: "Cordenons: Peter Makk vs Thiago Seyboth Wild" moved +20pp in 24h to 40%

Prediction market repriced: "Over $40M committed to the Credible public sale?" moved -17pp in 24h to 21%

Prediction market repriced: "Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?" moved -18pp in 24h to 42%

Prediction market repriced: "US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?" moved -18pp in 24h to 3%

Prediction market repriced: "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 15?" moved +67pp in 24h to 78%

ATOM open interest -74.8% - OI collapse

UNI open interest +111.2% - OI surge

TIA open interest -80.1% - OI collapse

BCH open interest -80.1% - OI collapse

ADA open interest -65.9% - OI collapse

XRP open interest -52.5% - OI collapse

DOGE open interest +168.8% - OI surge

SUI open interest +122.5% - OI surge

OP open interest +181.4% - OI surge

LINK open interest +122.6% - OI surge

LTC open interest +392.7% - OI surge

AVAX open interest -73.5% - OI collapse

DOT open interest +575.8% - OI surge

NEAR open interest +192.4% - OI surge

INJ open interest -24.2% - OI collapse

APT open interest -74.7% - OI collapse

ARB open interest -59.4% - OI collapse

SOL open interest -23.4% - OI collapse

BTC open interest -46.5% - OI collapse

ETH open interest -68.3% - OI collapse

Prediction market repriced: "Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?" moved -23pp in 24h to 14%

Prediction market repriced: "Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?" moved +41pp in 24h to 94%

Prediction market repriced: "Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?" moved -33pp in 24h to 34%

Prediction market repriced: "Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in July?" moved +48pp in 24h to 90%

Prediction market repriced: "Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?" moved +28pp in 24h to 56%

PYTH open interest -75.9% - OI collapse

DRIFT open interest -25.8% - OI collapse

IO open interest +401.1% - OI surge

SEI open interest +418.3% - OI surge

JUP open interest +32.5% - OI surge

KMNO open interest +84.5% - OI surge

TNSR open interest +332.6% - OI surge

ME open interest -67.0% - OI collapse

EIGEN open interest -65.8% - OI collapse

JTO open interest -39.4% - OI collapse

W open interest -79.5% - OI collapse

ENA open interest -21.6% - OI collapse

STRK open interest +105.3% - OI surge

NEAR open interest -64.0% - OI collapse

ARB open interest +175.1% - OI surge

ATOM open interest -74.9% - OI collapse

ADA open interest +193.5% - OI surge

INJ open interest -31.9% - OI collapse

TIA open interest +65.0% - OI surge

AVAX open interest -72.3% - OI collapse

DOT open interest -74.9% - OI collapse

BCH open interest +426.3% - OI surge

XRP open interest +196.1% - OI surge

LTC open interest -79.3% - OI collapse

APT open interest +315.3% - OI surge

DOGE open interest +244.6% - OI surge

LINK open interest +228.0% - OI surge

OP open interest -67.0% - OI collapse

UNI open interest +307.4% - OI surge

SUI open interest +268.4% - OI surge

SOL open interest -47.3% - OI collapse

BTC open interest +52.9% - OI surge

ETH open interest +177.9% - OI surge

DRIFT open interest +33.4% - OI surge

JUP open interest -73.6% - OI collapse

EIGEN open interest -75.1% - OI collapse

PYTH open interest -46.9% - OI collapse

SEI open interest -81.2% - OI collapse

ME open interest -36.1% - OI collapse

W open interest -56.0% - OI collapse

TNSR open interest +335.6% - OI surge

JTO open interest +31.6% - OI surge

KMNO open interest +300.3% - OI surge

IO open interest +115.6% - OI surge

ENA open interest +120.6% - OI surge

STRK open interest -25.7% - OI collapse

LTC open interest -39.1% - OI collapse

LINK open interest -69.3% - OI collapse

XRP open interest -66.4% - OI collapse

DOT open interest -38.6% - OI collapse

INJ open interest +540.5% - OI surge

DOGE open interest -63.5% - OI collapse

ARB open interest +57.4% - OI surge

APT open interest +316.3% - OI surge

NEAR open interest +190.8% - OI surge

AVAX open interest -73.4% - OI collapse

TIA open interest -71.2% - OI collapse

ADA open interest -65.9% - OI collapse

ATOM open interest -45.0% - OI collapse

UNI open interest +311.0% - OI surge

OP open interest +246.3% - OI surge

SUI open interest -61.9% - OI collapse

BCH open interest -35.2% - OI collapse

BTC open interest -45.2% - OI collapse

SOL open interest +94.4% - OI surge

ETH open interest +22.5% - OI surge

W open interest -79.1% - OI collapse

ENA open interest -87.7% - OI collapse

DRIFT open interest +32.0% - OI surge

IO open interest +414.4% - OI surge

KMNO open interest -53.6% - OI collapse

SEI open interest -80.5% - OI collapse

STRK open interest -81.0% - OI collapse

ME open interest +751.1% - OI surge

JUP open interest -73.3% - OI collapse

TNSR open interest -77.1% - OI collapse

JTO open interest +86.1% - OI surge

EIGEN open interest -71.0% - OI collapse

PYTH open interest -55.1% - OI collapse

NEAR open interest -65.7% - OI collapse

AVAX open interest +62.9% - OI surge

DOT open interest -38.3% - OI collapse

ADA open interest -65.7% - OI collapse

ATOM open interest +612.6% - OI surge

LINK open interest -68.8% - OI collapse

SUI open interest +59.0% - OI surge

UNI open interest +315.2% - OI surge

XRP open interest +50.7% - OI surge

INJ open interest -31.8% - OI collapse

OP open interest -60.0% - OI collapse

DOGE open interest -63.1% - OI collapse

ARB open interest -76.3% - OI collapse

TIA open interest +399.6% - OI surge

LTC open interest -65.9% - OI collapse

APT open interest -75.7% - OI collapse

BCH open interest -71.0% - OI collapse

BTC open interest -45.0% - OI collapse

ETH open interest +26.6% - OI surge

SOL open interest +91.6% - OI surge

KMNO funding -0.0213% · 1th percentile of its 93d Binance history

EIGEN open interest -64.6% - OI collapse

ENA open interest +712.2% - OI surge

SEI open interest -81.2% - OI collapse

JUP open interest +275.1% - OI surge

STRK open interest -57.7% - OI collapse

KMNO open interest -74.2% - OI collapse

ME open interest -82.2% - OI collapse

TNSR open interest +1159.3% - OI surge

PYTH open interest -84.0% - OI collapse

JTO open interest +83.4% - OI surge

W open interest -42.0% - OI collapse

IO open interest +420.6% - OI surge

DRIFT open interest -28.6% - OI collapse

Prediction market repriced: "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 15?" moved +16pp in 24h to 17%

Prediction market repriced: "Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?" moved +16pp in 24h to 28%

ETH RSI 80.6 - overbought (crossed above 70)

BTC RSI 72.4 - overbought (crossed above 70)

SOL DEX volume/liquidity ratio elevated (0.80x): on-chain trade volume 0.80x liquidity

ETH DEX volume/liquidity ratio elevated (0.51x): on-chain trade volume 0.51x liquidity

OSINT: Iran attacks Kuwaiti naval vessel near Strait of Hormuz, 4 sailors injured

OSINT: Houthis Warn Airlines Against Saudi Airspace Operations

OSINT: Ukraine sinks 11 Russian ships in Sea of Azov, Russia to reroute grain, oil

Oil +3.75%: significant gain on the session

OSINT: Iran Conflict Resumes, US Oil Prices Set to Top $85/bbl

Oil +2.16%: significant gain on the session

Gold +1.47%: significant gain on the session

Phase 3 trial terminated early - BRISTOL Low-Dose Adjunctive Aripiprazole in the Treatment of Bipolar Depression: Double-

Phase 3 trial terminated early - AMGEN Evaluation of the Conversion From Peginesatide to Epoetin Alfa in Patients Recei

Phase 3 trial terminated early - AMGEN First-Line Treatment for Locally Advanced or Metastatic Mesenchymal Epithelial T

Phase 3 trial terminated early - PFIZER A Study Evaluating the Efficacy and Safety of Oral Etrasimod in the Treatment of

Phase 3 trial terminated early - PFIZER Efficacy and Safety of Inhaled Insulin Compared With Subcutaneous Human Insulin

Phase 3 trial terminated early - PFIZER Biological, Pathological and Imagery Markers in the First-line Treatment of Meta

Phase 3 trial terminated early - PFIZER Study Comparing Effect On Carotid Atherosclerosis Following Conversion From Tacr

Phase 3 trial terminated early - Merck A Study of the Co-administration of Sitagliptin and Atorvastatin in Inadequately

Debt issued for acquisition financing - deal likely imminent

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd search volume spiked +100 pts - unusual interest

Q4-2025: Beat consensus by 14.3% - EPS $21522 vs $18837.1724 estimate

Q1-2026: Beat consensus by 41.8% - EPS $56670 vs $39952.1207 estimate

Q3-2025: Beat consensus by 39.4% - EPS $17850 vs $12807.1344 estimate

Q3-2024: Missed consensus by 115.7% - EPS $-0.11 vs $-0.051 estimate

Q4-2024: Missed consensus by 194.1% - EPS $-0.15 vs $-0.051 estimate

Q1-2026: Beat consensus by 56.9% - EPS $0.08 vs $0.051 estimate

Q2-2025: Missed consensus by 64.7% - EPS $0.03 vs $0.085 estimate

Q4-2025: Missed consensus by 8.5% - EPS $0.41 vs $0.448 estimate

Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 61.0% - EPS $2.09 vs $1.298 estimate

Q2-2026: Beat consensus by 14.3% - EPS $3.15 vs $2.7565 estimate

Q2-2026: Missed consensus by 267.0% - EPS $-0.44 vs $-0.1199 estimate

Q2-2025: Missed consensus by 15.0% - EPS $0.5 vs $0.588 estimate

Q1-2026: Missed consensus by 9.1% - EPS $0.58 vs $0.6381 estimate

Q4-2025: Missed consensus by 24.5% - EPS $3.6 vs $4.7685 estimate

Q1-2026: Beat consensus by 34.3% - EPS $1.2 vs $0.8935 estimate

DESCARTES SYSTEMS GROUP INC search volume spiked +100 pts - unusual interest

SOUTHERN CO search volume spiked +34 pts - unusual interest

GAP INC search volume spiked +93 pts - unusual interest

DXY -0.32% - dollar weakness signal