Kresmion signals archive
196 cross-asset signals fired across commodity, crypto, equity, forex, macro. See also the Kresmion brief for 2026-07-13.
commodity (14)
Coffee volume spike - 10.0× the 20-day average (18,995 vs 1,902 avg)
WTI Crude Oil bull 9.2% vs prior close ($71.41 → $77.96)
Cocoa volume spike - 7.5× the 20-day average (20,274 vs 2,685 avg)
Cotton volume spike - 16.1× the 20-day average (29,854 vs 1,859 avg)
Soybeans volume spike - 2.4× the 20-day average (122,869 vs 51,139 avg)
Wheat volume spike - 3.0× the 20-day average (87,200 vs 28,865 avg)
OSINT: Bitcoin dips to $62,037 amid Iran conflict‑driven energy concerns
OSINT: Iranian flight grounding sparks heightened Saudi-Yemen-Houthi tensions
OSINT: South Korea KOSPI drops 8%, triggers circuit breaker
CFTC NATURAL GAS speculators at extreme long: 52-week positioning extreme
Heating Oil bull 5.0% vs prior close ($3.55 → $3.73)
Corn bull 5.7% vs prior close ($438.00 → $463.00)
Coffee bear 3.6% vs prior close ($343.00 → $330.50)
Brazil Minas Gerais: crop water stress detected (1.7σ above baseline) - potential KC=F supply pressure
crypto (141)
ARB open interest -62.3% - OI collapse
SUI open interest +59.0% - OI surge
DOGE open interest +238.6% - OI surge
XRP open interest +448.4% - OI surge
UNI open interest +111.5% - OI surge
NEAR open interest -64.8% - OI collapse
INJ open interest +502.4% - OI surge
ATOM open interest -85.9% - OI collapse
OP open interest -72.1% - OI collapse
TIA open interest +423.3% - OI surge
DOT open interest -85.2% - OI collapse
ADA open interest -75.7% - OI collapse
LTC open interest -76.2% - OI collapse
BCH open interest -91.4% - OI collapse
LINK open interest +215.4% - OI surge
AVAX open interest +61.0% - OI surge
APT open interest -75.4% - OI collapse
BTC open interest -43.6% - OI collapse
SOL open interest -66.8% - OI collapse
ETH open interest -23.4% - OI collapse
PYTH open interest +113.4% - OI surge
EIGEN open interest -63.7% - OI collapse
DRIFT open interest -35.1% - OI collapse
W open interest -78.0% - OI collapse
SEI open interest -80.8% - OI collapse
ENA open interest -79.1% - OI collapse
TNSR open interest -92.2% - OI collapse
JUP open interest -65.3% - OI collapse
ME open interest +49.2% - OI surge
KMNO open interest +108.5% - OI surge
STRK open interest -54.5% - OI collapse
IO open interest -80.0% - OI collapse
JTO open interest -30.6% - OI collapse
NEAR open interest -66.1% - OI collapse
ATOM open interest -87.2% - OI collapse
UNI open interest +114.3% - OI surge
BCH open interest +245.2% - OI surge
XRP open interest +270.2% - OI surge
TIA open interest -69.9% - OI collapse
APT open interest +315.9% - OI surge
ARB open interest -77.2% - OI collapse
DOT open interest -40.6% - OI collapse
LTC open interest +58.2% - OI surge
OP open interest -72.1% - OI collapse
LINK open interest +311.2% - OI surge
SUI open interest -61.9% - OI collapse
ADA open interest -27.1% - OI collapse
DOGE open interest -71.3% - OI collapse
INJ open interest -62.6% - OI collapse
AVAX open interest -33.0% - OI collapse
ETH open interest +221.4% - OI surge
BTC open interest -46.7% - OI collapse
SOL open interest -54.5% - OI collapse
W open interest +371.9% - OI surge
STRK open interest +116.2% - OI surge
JUP open interest -71.7% - OI collapse
ME open interest -76.6% - OI collapse
EIGEN open interest -62.3% - OI collapse
IO open interest +117.4% - OI surge
ENA open interest +28.9% - OI surge
PYTH open interest +202.5% - OI surge
SEI open interest +416.8% - OI surge
TNSR open interest +361.9% - OI surge
KMNO open interest +298.2% - OI surge
JTO open interest +36.1% - OI surge
DRIFT open interest -37.0% - OI collapse
ATOM open interest +646.4% - OI surge
OP open interest -71.0% - OI collapse
DOT open interest -54.2% - OI collapse
LINK open interest -20.4% - OI collapse
UNI open interest +96.3% - OI surge
APT open interest -75.9% - OI collapse
LTC open interest -38.3% - OI collapse
NEAR open interest +181.3% - OI surge
AVAX open interest -30.9% - OI collapse
INJ open interest +491.2% - OI surge
ARB open interest -49.5% - OI collapse
BCH open interest +51.2% - OI surge
XRP open interest +84.7% - OI surge
ADA open interest -73.8% - OI collapse
TIA open interest -68.1% - OI collapse
DOGE open interest +585.6% - OI surge
SUI open interest -61.4% - OI collapse
BTC open interest +88.4% - OI surge
ETH open interest -61.6% - OI collapse
SOL open interest -65.5% - OI collapse
W open interest -60.0% - OI collapse
TNSR open interest -92.2% - OI collapse
PYTH open interest -50.4% - OI collapse
JUP open interest -64.3% - OI collapse
KMNO open interest -50.4% - OI collapse
JTO open interest +26.4% - OI surge
IO open interest -79.5% - OI collapse
EIGEN open interest -25.6% - OI collapse
ENA open interest +907.1% - OI surge
STRK open interest -58.7% - OI collapse
SEI open interest -80.5% - OI collapse
ME open interest +190.8% - OI surge
DRIFT open interest -38.6% - OI collapse
APT open interest -75.9% - OI collapse
LTC open interest -61.6% - OI collapse
AVAX open interest -81.0% - OI collapse
LINK open interest +24.6% - OI surge
BCH open interest -69.9% - OI collapse
DOT open interest -40.4% - OI collapse
NEAR open interest +211.9% - OI surge
ARB open interest +80.6% - OI surge
TIA open interest -68.1% - OI collapse
UNI open interest -74.6% - OI collapse
SUI open interest -71.1% - OI collapse
OP open interest +169.7% - OI surge
XRP open interest -45.3% - OI collapse
INJ open interest -62.7% - OI collapse
ADA open interest +272.7% - OI surge
DOGE open interest +104.2% - OI surge
ATOM open interest -76.4% - OI collapse
SOL open interest -43.9% - OI collapse
BTC open interest -44.9% - OI collapse
ETH open interest -67.2% - OI collapse
JUP open interest -71.1% - OI collapse
ME open interest -29.7% - OI collapse
KMNO open interest -51.0% - OI collapse
SEI open interest +413.2% - OI surge
DRIFT open interest -38.8% - OI collapse
W open interest +156.5% - OI surge
EIGEN open interest +199.5% - OI surge
STRK open interest -80.1% - OI collapse
IO open interest -55.1% - OI collapse
PYTH open interest +39.9% - OI surge
JTO open interest -21.4% - OI collapse
ENA open interest -87.8% - OI collapse
TNSR open interest -75.4% - OI collapse
OSINT: Lawson launches Japan's first POS pilot using JPYC stablecoin
OSINT: Brazil's OranjeBTC adds 8 BTC, total 3,912, tops LATAM holdings
ETH DEX volume/liquidity ratio elevated (0.52x): on-chain trade volume 0.52x liquidity
SOL DEX volume/liquidity ratio elevated (1.09x): on-chain trade volume 1.09x liquidity
SOL DEX volume/liquidity ratio elevated (1.05x): on-chain trade volume 1.05x liquidity
ATOM funding -0.0452% · 5th percentile of its 176d Binance history
BITCOIN - speculators net long (+2.3σ vs 52w mean) - contrarian bear signal
TNSR funding -0.0986% · 4th percentile of its 92d Binance history
SOL DEX volume/liquidity ratio elevated (0.98x): on-chain trade volume 0.98x liquidity
equity (35)
Phase 3 trial terminated early - BRISTOL Mechanistic Studies of B- and T-Cell Function in RA Patients Treated With TNF An
Phase 3 trial terminated early - BRISTOL Calf Deep Vein Thrombosis Treatment Trial
Phase 3 trial terminated early - AMGEN Etanercept Treatment in Patients With Moderate to Severe Plaque Psoriasis Who Lo
Phase 3 trial terminated early - AMGEN An Exploratory Sub-study for the RED-HF™ (Reduction of Events With Darbepoetin A
Phase 3 trial terminated early - PFIZER An Open Label Trial to Investigate Macugen for the Preservation of Visual Functi
Phase 3 trial terminated early - PFIZER Study Evaluating Desvenlafaxine Succinate Sustained-release (DVS SR) in Adult Ou
Phase 3 trial terminated early - PFIZER TITRATE (inducTIon for acuTe ulceRATivE Colitis)
Phase 3 trial terminated early - PFIZER Evaluate Parasitological Clearance Rates And Pharmacokinetics Of The Combination
Phase 3 trial terminated early - ABBOTT Depakote Extended Release (ER) Versus Seroquel for Agitated Behaviors in Nursing
Phase 3 trial terminated early - Merck Study of GSK3359609 and Pembrolizumab in Programmed Death Receptor 1-ligand 1 (P
Phase 3 trial terminated early - Merck Varicella Zoster Vaccine in Patients With Plaque Psoriasis Treated With Biologic
Phase 3 trial terminated early - Merck A Weight Maintenance Study in Obese Patients (0364-012)(TERMINATED)
GAP INC search volume spiked +93 pts - unusual interest
DESCARTES SYSTEMS GROUP INC search volume spiked +100 pts - unusual interest
SOUTHERN CO search volume spiked +34 pts - unusual interest
GAP INC search volume spiked +93 pts - unusual interest
DESCARTES SYSTEMS GROUP INC search volume spiked +100 pts - unusual interest
SOUTHERN CO search volume spiked +34 pts - unusual interest
Q3-2025: Missed consensus by 30.0% - EPS $0.07 vs $0.1 estimate
Q2-2025: Missed consensus by 13.4% - EPS $0.53 vs $0.612 estimate
Q2-2026: Missed consensus by 12.6% - EPS $1.02 vs $1.1676 estimate
Q2-2012: Missed consensus by 121.2% - EPS $-0.3 vs $1.414 estimate
Q2-2026: Beat consensus by 5.9% - EPS $1.56 vs $1.4736 estimate
S&P 500 MINI - speculators net long (+2.3σ vs 52w mean) - contrarian bear signal
GAP INC search volume spiked +93 pts - unusual interest
DESCARTES SYSTEMS GROUP INC search volume spiked +100 pts - unusual interest
Sanofi search volume spiked +35 pts - unusual interest
SOUTHERN CO search volume spiked +34 pts - unusual interest
GAP INC search volume spiked +93 pts - unusual interest
Sanofi search volume spiked +35 pts - unusual interest
DESCARTES SYSTEMS GROUP INC search volume spiked +100 pts - unusual interest
SOUTHERN CO search volume spiked +34 pts - unusual interest
Q4-2025: EPS $0.00 vs $0.0049 estimate, in line on a near-zero consensus
Q1-2026: EPS $0.08 vs $-0.0124 estimate, +0.09 on a near-zero consensus
Q1-2019: EPS $0.064 vs $0.004 estimate, +0.06 on a near-zero consensus
forex (2)
OSINT: Lawson launches Japan's first POS pilot using JPYC stablecoin
EUR/USD - speculators net short (-2.2σ vs 52w mean) - contrarian bull signal
macro (4)
china_us_west shipping +7.1% - potential inflation signal
china_us_west shipping +7.1% - potential inflation signal
china_us_west shipping +7.1% - potential inflation signal
Financial conditions loosening: NFCI at -0.52, liquidity supportive