PREDICTION MARKET ODDS

Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Part of: Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?. Crowd probability estimates from prediction markets, not financial advice.

Yes probability
24%
24h change
-1.0pp
7d change
-8.0pp
Volume
$952K
Resolves by
Jan 1, 2027

Other outcomes in this event

Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?46%Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?7%Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?1%

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Extended's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Extended (https://x.com/extendedapp) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Source: Polymarket via the public gamma API, synced by Kresmion. Last updated 2026-07-15 00:23 UTC. Trade on the venue itself: this page is research context, not an order book. Percentages are YES prices and can move fast.