Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?
Part of: Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by...?. Crowd probability estimates from prediction markets, not financial advice.
As of Aug 29, 2026, Polymarket prices "Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?" at 38 percent YES, up 30.4 points in the last 24 hours, on $123K of lifetime volume.
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Probability history
Gridlines at 25, 50 and 75 percent. History covers the recorded price path of the YES outcome.
History in numbers
Since Aug 28, 2026, this market has traded between 29 percent (Aug 28, 2026) and 50 percent (Aug 28, 2026), across 24 recorded prices.
Market liquidity
The best bid for YES is 38 percent and the best ask is 38 percent, a spread of 0.1 percentage points. Within 1 percent of the mid price the book holds $1K on the bid side and $905 on the ask side.
A tighter spread means the two sides agree more closely on the price. Depth indicates how much can trade near the current price.
Order book captured 2026-08-29 06:29 UTC.
Other outcomes in this event
Yes probabilityMarket details
Venues: Polymarket
How this market resolves
The market currently prices the YES outcome at 38 percent, with the NO outcome at 62 percent. This is read as the crowd's probability estimate for this event, not a forecast or advice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google Maps displays "Lake America," "Lake of America" or similar as the label for the body of water currently known as the "Lake Ontario" for the majority of users within the United States by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Changes which appear only in experimental features, beta versions, or subnational regional variants, will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If both "Lake America" and "Lake Ontario" are used to label the body of water, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source will be Google Maps (maps.google.com) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Source: Polymarket via the public gamma API, synced by Kresmion. Last updated 2026-08-29 06:29 UTC. This page is research context, not an order book. Kresmion accepts no orders and holds no funds. Percentages are YES prices and can move fast.
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