Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Part of: Will Base launch a token by ___ ?. Crowd probability estimates from prediction markets, not financial advice.
As of Sep 7, 2026, Polymarket prices "Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?" at 9 percent YES, up 0.5 points in the last 24 hours, on $733K of lifetime volume.
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Probability history
Gridlines at 25, 50 and 75 percent. History covers the recorded price path of the YES outcome.
History in numbers
Since Sep 3, 2026, this market has traded between 5 percent (Sep 3, 2026) and 9 percent (Sep 7, 2026), across 154 recorded prices.
Market details
Venues: Polymarket
How this market resolves
The market currently prices the YES outcome at 9 percent, with the NO outcome at 91 percent. This is read as the crowd's probability estimate for this event, not a forecast or advice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Base officially launches a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Base, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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Source: Polymarket via the public gamma API, synced by Kresmion. Last updated 2026-09-07 20:57 UTC. This page is research context, not an order book. Kresmion accepts no orders and holds no funds. Percentages are YES prices and can move fast.
Kresmion reports prediction market prices as market data. We are not an operator of any prediction market, we take no positions and hold no funds, and nothing on this page is an invitation to trade on any venue. Prediction markets are not authorised in every jurisdiction. Check the rules that apply where you are before using one.