Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in October?
Part of: What price will Ethereum hit in October?. Crowd probability estimates from prediction markets, not financial advice.
Polymarket traders priced "Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in October?" at 93% as of Oct 15, 2026, 01:52 UTC.
Probability history
Gridlines at 25, 50 and 75 percent. History covers the recorded price path of the YES outcome.
History in numbers
Since Oct 8, 2026, this market has traded between 52 percent (Oct 12, 2026) and 95 percent (Oct 8, 2026), across 207 recorded prices.
Other outcomes in this event
Yes probabilityMarket details
Venues: Polymarket
How this market resolves
The market currently prices the YES outcome at 93 percent, with the NO outcome at 7 percent. This is read as the crowd's probability estimate for this event, not a forecast or advice.
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
More crypto markets
Live markets priced by the same venue, with their latest YES price.
Background reading
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Cite this data
Kresmion stores the venue's YES price on a fixed capture schedule. The figures here are those stored prices and the differences between them, not a Kresmion estimate.
Upstream: Polymarket gamma API, market 5170787
Kresmion, "Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in October? (prediction market probability)", data as of 2026-10-15, https://kresmion.com/odds/will-ethereum-dip-to-2400-in-october-2026. Upstream data: Polymarket gamma API, market 5170787.
Link to this data (HTML):
<a href="https://kresmion.com/odds/will-ethereum-dip-to-2400-in-october-2026">Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in October? (prediction market probability) (Kresmion)</a>
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Source: Polymarket via the public gamma API, synced by Kresmion. Last updated 2026-10-15 01:52 UTC. This page is research context, not an order book. Kresmion accepts no orders and holds no funds. Percentages are YES prices and can move fast.
Kresmion reports prediction market prices as market data. We are not an operator of any prediction market, we take no positions and hold no funds, and nothing on this page is an invitation to trade on any venue. Prediction markets are not authorised in every jurisdiction. Check the rules that apply where you are before using one.