Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?

Part of: What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?. Crowd probability estimates from prediction markets, not financial advice.

Yes probability

24h change

+1.0pp

7d change

-2.0pp

Volume

$1.1M

Resolves by

Jan 1, 2027

Probability history

Gridlines at 25, 50 and 75 percent. History covers the recorded price path of the YES outcome.

Other outcomes in this event

Will Ethereum reach $2,000 by December 31, 2026?84%Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?57%Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?14%Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?14%Will Ethereum dip to $500 by December 31, 2026?3%

Resolution criteria

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT “Low” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Source: Polymarket via the public gamma API, synced by Kresmion. Last updated 2026-07-15 00:23 UTC. Trade on the venue itself: this page is research context, not an order book. Percentages are YES prices and can move fast.