Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Part of: Will GameStop acquire eBay?. Crowd probability estimates from prediction markets, not financial advice.
Polymarket traders priced "Will GameStop acquire eBay?" at 7% as of Oct 15, 2026, 13:49 UTC, up from 6% a week earlier.
Probability history
Gridlines at 25, 50 and 75 percent. History covers the recorded price path of the YES outcome.
History in numbers
Since May 6, 2026, this market has traded between 6 percent (Oct 2, 2026) and 18 percent (May 6, 2026), across 2,960 recorded prices. The current price of 7 percent is 1.0 percentage points above where it stood 7 days ago (6 percent), and 2.0 percentage points below where it stood 30 days ago (9 percent).
Weekly closes
| Week start | YES probability |
|---|---|
| Jul 27, 2026 | 13% |
| Aug 3, 2026 | 13% |
| Aug 10, 2026 | 7% |
| Aug 17, 2026 | 7% |
| Aug 24, 2026 | 8% |
| Aug 31, 2026 | 8% |
| Sep 7, 2026 | 9% |
| Sep 14, 2026 | 7% |
| Sep 21, 2026 | 7% |
| Sep 28, 2026 | 7% |
| Oct 5, 2026 | 7% |
| Oct 12, 2026 | 7% |
Market details
Venues: Polymarket
How this market resolves
The market currently prices the YES outcome at 7 percent, with the NO outcome at 93 percent. This is read as the crowd's probability estimate for this event, not a forecast or advice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that eBay will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with GameStop, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mergers or acquisitions involving eBay or its parent company, eBay Inc., and GameStop or its parent company (if applicable), will qualify. An announcement by eBay or GameStop within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as GameStop acquires a controlling interest in eBay. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from eBay and GameStop; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Background reading
Evergreen explainers from Kresmion Learn on how prediction-market prices work.
Cite this data
Kresmion stores the venue's YES price on a fixed capture schedule. The figures here are those stored prices and the differences between them, not a Kresmion estimate.
Upstream: Polymarket gamma API, market 2154920
Kresmion, "Will GameStop acquire eBay? (prediction market probability)", data as of 2026-10-15, https://kresmion.com/odds/will-gamestop-acquire-ebay. Upstream data: Polymarket gamma API, market 2154920.
Link to this data (HTML):
<a href="https://kresmion.com/odds/will-gamestop-acquire-ebay">Will GameStop acquire eBay? (prediction market probability) (Kresmion)</a>
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Source: Polymarket via the public gamma API, synced by Kresmion. Last updated 2026-10-15 13:49 UTC. This page is research context, not an order book. Kresmion accepts no orders and holds no funds. Percentages are YES prices and can move fast.
Kresmion reports prediction market prices as market data. We are not an operator of any prediction market, we take no positions and hold no funds, and nothing on this page is an invitation to trade on any venue. Prediction markets are not authorised in every jurisdiction. Check the rules that apply where you are before using one.