← All prediction markets

PREDICTION MARKET ODDS

Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?

Part of: Which companies will be acquired before 2027?. Crowd probability estimates from prediction markets, not financial advice.

As of Aug 29, 2026, Polymarket prices "Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?" at 4 percent YES, on $8.0M of lifetime volume.

Yes probability
4%
7d change
-0.3pp
Volume
$8.0M
Resolves by
Jan 1, 2027
Notify me when this crosses%

One message when it happens. Nothing else. No account needed.

Probability history

Gridlines at 25, 50 and 75 percent. History covers the recorded price path of the YES outcome.

History in numbers

Since Jul 14, 2026, this market has traded between 4 percent (Aug 22, 2026) and 16 percent (Jul 19, 2026), across 1,106 recorded prices. The current price of 4 percent is 0.3 percentage points below where it stood 7 days ago (4 percent), and 10.7 percentage points below where it stood 30 days ago (14 percent).

Lifetime high
16%
Lifetime low
4%
7 days ago
4%
30 days ago
14%
Recorded prices
1,106

Weekly closes

Last recorded YES probability of each week, oldest first.
Week startYES probability
Jul 13, 202616%
Jul 20, 202614%
Jul 27, 20266%
Aug 3, 20267%
Aug 10, 20265%
Aug 17, 20264%
Aug 24, 20264%

Other outcomes in this event

Yes probability
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?17%Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?14%Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?2%

Market details

Lifetime volume
$8.0M
24h volume
$66
Liquidity
$11K
Resolution date
Jan 1, 2027
Category
Finance

Venues: Polymarket

How this market resolves

The market currently prices the YES outcome at 4 percent, with the NO outcome at 96 percent. This is read as the crowd's probability estimate for this event, not a forecast or advice.

Resolution rules, as published by Polymarket

This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Mergers where the listed company is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution. An announced agreement between the listed company and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the listed company and/or its leadership; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

More finance markets

Will GameStop acquire eBay?7%AI bubble burst in 2026?11%Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?75%Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?28%Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?15%Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?60%

Live markets in the same category, priced by the same venue.

Background reading

Prediction-market calibration and the favorite-longshot biasReadHow to read a prediction-market order bookRead

Evergreen explainers from Kresmion Learn on how prediction-market prices work.

FREE, NO ACCOUNT

Get the smart money brief

Insider trades, 13F flows, and cross asset positioning reads with the source on every number, in your inbox when there is something in the data, or live on Telegram. Free, no account.

Get the morning brief by email

No fixed schedule: it goes out when the data has something in it. Unsubscribe anytime.

Or get live alerts on Telegram
Join on Telegram

One tap. Live alerts, no email needed.

Source: Polymarket via the public gamma API, synced by Kresmion. Last updated 2026-08-29 05:10 UTC. This page is research context, not an order book. Kresmion accepts no orders and holds no funds. Percentages are YES prices and can move fast.

Kresmion reports prediction market prices as market data. We are not an operator of any prediction market, we take no positions and hold no funds, and nothing on this page is an invitation to trade on any venue. Prediction markets are not authorised in every jurisdiction. Check the rules that apply where you are before using one.