Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?
Part of: What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?. Crowd probability estimates from prediction markets, not financial advice.
Polymarket traders priced "Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?" at 36% as of Sep 22, 2026, 15:36 UTC, up from 20% a week earlier.
As of . Source: Polymarket gamma API, market 4063373. Method and limitations.
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Probability history
Gridlines at 25, 50 and 75 percent. History covers the recorded price path of the YES outcome.
History in numbers
Since Sep 9, 2026, this market has traded between 14 percent (Sep 15, 2026) and 53 percent (Sep 22, 2026), across 456 recorded prices. The current price of 36 percent is 15.5 percentage points above where it stood 7 days ago (20 percent).
Weekly closes
| Week start | YES probability |
|---|---|
| Sep 7, 2026 | 24% |
| Sep 14, 2026 | 19% |
| Sep 21, 2026 | 36% |
Other outcomes in this event
Yes probabilityMarket details
Venues: Polymarket
How this market resolves
The market currently prices the YES outcome at 36 percent, with the NO outcome at 64 percent. This is read as the crowd's probability estimate for this event, not a forecast or advice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of September 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract's last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract's last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery...
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Background reading
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Cite this data
Kresmion stores the venue's YES price on a fixed capture schedule. The figures here are those stored prices and the differences between them, not a Kresmion estimate.
Upstream: Polymarket gamma API, market 4063373
Kresmion, "Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September? (prediction market probability)", data as of 2026-09-22, https://kresmion.com/odds/will-wti-dip-to-85-in-september-2026. Upstream data: Polymarket gamma API, market 4063373.
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Source: Polymarket via the public gamma API, synced by Kresmion. Last updated 2026-09-22 15:36 UTC. This page is research context, not an order book. Kresmion accepts no orders and holds no funds. Percentages are YES prices and can move fast.
Kresmion reports prediction market prices as market data. We are not an operator of any prediction market, we take no positions and hold no funds, and nothing on this page is an invitation to trade on any venue. Prediction markets are not authorised in every jurisdiction. Check the rules that apply where you are before using one.